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Let $Y=\sum_{k\ge 1} 1_{A_k}$ be an infinite sum of the indicators of independent events. We investigate a precise (as opposed to logarithmic) first-order asymptotic behavior of the tail probabilities $\mathbb{P}\{Y\ge n\}$ and the point…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Alexander Iksanov , Valeriya Kotelnikova

Markov-modulated L\'evy processes with two different regimes of restarting are studied. These regimes correspond to the completely renewed process and to the process of Markov modulation, accompanied by jumps. We give explicit expressions…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Nikita Ratanov

This work is a continuation of [7]. We consider a continuous-time birth-and-death process in which the transition rates have an asymptotical power-law dependence upon the position of the process. We establish rough exponential asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. A. Yambartsev

Under an appropriate regular variation condition, the affinely normalized partial sums of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables converges weakly to a non-Gaussian stable random variable. A functional version…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Bojan Basrak , Danijel Krizmanić , Johan Segers

L\'evy walks are continuous time random walks with spatio-temporal coupling of jump lengths and waiting times, often used to model superdiffusive spreading processes such as animals searching for food, tracer motion in weakly chaotic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-27 Bartłomiej Dybiec , Karol Capała , Aleksei Chechkin , Ralf Metzler

We study the exponential functional $\int_0^\infty e^{-\xi_{s-}} \, d\eta_s$ of two one-dimensional independent L\'evy processes $\xi$ and $\eta$, where $\eta$ is a subordinator. In particular, we derive an integro-differential equation for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-24 Anita Behme

We investigate the tail behaviour of the steady state distribution of a stochastic recursion that generalises Lindley's recursion. This recursion arises in queuing systems with dependent interarrival and service times, and includes…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-23 Maria Vlasiou , Zbigniew Palmowski

We analyze confining mechanisms for L\'{e}vy flights. When they evolve in suitable external potentials their variance may exist and show signatures of a superdiffusive transport. Two classes of stochastic jump - type processes are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Piotr Garbaczewski , Vladimir Stephanovich

For a stochastic difference equation $D_n=A_nD_{n-1}+B_n$ which stabilises upon time we study tail distribution asymptotics of $D_n$ under the assumption that the distribution of $\log(1+|A_1|+|B_1|)$ is heavy-tailed, that is, all its…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Dmitry Korshunov

Nonlinear conservation laws driven by L\'evy processes have solutions which, in the case of supercritical nonlinearities, have an asymptotic behavior dictated by the solutions of the linearized equations. Thus the explicit representation of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-10-09 K. Górska , W. A. Woyczynski

L\'{e}vy processes with completely monotone jumps appear frequently in various applications of probability. For example, all popular stock price models based on L\'{e}vy processes (such as the Variance Gamma, CGMY/KoBoL and Normal Inverse…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Daniel Hackmann , Alexey Kuznetsov

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

Hawkes point processes are first-order non-Markovian stochastic models of intermittent bursty dynamics with applications to physical, seismic, epidemic, biological, financial, and social systems. While accounting for positive feedback loops…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-02 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Didier Sornette

L\'evy Flights are paradigmatic generalised random walk processes, in which the independent stationary increments---the "jump lengths"---are drawn from an $\alpha$-stable jump length distribution with long-tailed, power-law asymptote. As a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 A. Padash , A. V. Chechkin , B. Dybiec , I. Pavlyukevich , B. Shokri , R. Metzler

In this paper, we study the existence of the density associated to the exponential functional of the L\'evy process $\xi$, \[ I_{\ee_q}:=\int_0^{\ee_q} e^{\xi_s} \, \mathrm{d}s, \] where $\ee_q$ is an independent exponential r.v. with…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-20 Juan Carlos Pardo , Victor Rivero , Kees van Schaik

We construct superharmonic functions and give sharp bounds for the expected exit time and probability of survival for isotropic unimodal L\'evy processes

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Krzysztof Bogdan , Tomasz Grzywny , Michał Ryznar

The implied volatility skew has received relatively little attention in the literature on short-term asymptotics for financial models with jumps, despite its importance in model selection and calibration. We rectify this by providing…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-15 José E. Figueroa-López , Sveinn Ólafsson

We consider a Markov chain on $R^+$ with asymptotically zero drift and finite second moments of jumps which is positive recurrent. A power-like asymptotic behaviour of the invariant tail distribution is proven; such a heavy-tailed invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-16 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

By using large deviation theory that deals with the decay of probabilities of rare events on an exponential scale, we study the longtime behaviors and establish action functionals for scaled Brownian motion and L\'evy processes with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Shenglan Yuan , Jinqiao Duan

This article studies the dynamics of a nonlinear dissipative reaction-diffusion equation with well-separated stable states which is perturbed by infinite-dimensional multiplicative L\'evy noise with a regularly varying component at…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Michael A. Högele
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