English

A functional limit theorem for dependent sequences with infinite variance stable limits

Probability 2012-10-12 v2 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

Under an appropriate regular variation condition, the affinely normalized partial sums of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables converges weakly to a non-Gaussian stable random variable. A functional version of this is known to be true as well, the limit process being a stable L\'{e}vy process. The main result in the paper is that for a stationary, regularly varying sequence for which clusters of high-threshold excesses can be broken down into asymptotically independent blocks, the properly centered partial sum process still converges to a stable L\'{e}vy process. Due to clustering, the L\'{e}vy triple of the limit process can be different from the one in the independent case. The convergence takes place in the space of c\`{a}dl\`{a}g functions endowed with Skorohod's M1M_1 topology, the more usual J1J_1 topology being inappropriate as the partial sum processes may exhibit rapid successions of jumps within temporal clusters of large values, collapsing in the limit to a single jump. The result rests on a new limit theorem for point processes which is of independent interest. The theory is applied to moving average processes, squared GARCH(1,1) processes and stochastic volatility models.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1001.1345,
  title  = {A functional limit theorem for dependent sequences with infinite variance stable limits},
  author = {Bojan Basrak and Danijel Krizmanić and Johan Segers},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1001.1345},
  year   = {2012}
}

Comments

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/11-AOP669 the Annals of Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aop/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)

R2 v1 2026-06-21T14:32:30.434Z