Related papers: Rare event asymptotics for exploration processes f…

We prove a sample path large deviation principle (LDP) with sub-linear speed for unbounded functionals of certain Markov chains induced by the Lindley recursion. The LDP holds in the Skorokhod space $\mathbb{D}[0,T]$ equipped with the…

We study the large deviation behavior of a system of diffusing particles with a mean field interaction, described through a collection of stochastic differential equations, in which each particle is driven by a vanishing independent…

Consider the Erd\H{o}s-Renyi random graph on n vertices where each edge is present independently with probability c/n, with c>0 fixed. For large n, a typical random graph locally behaves like a Galton-Watson tree with Poisson offspring…

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Dynamical processes can be transformed into graphs through a family of mappings called visibility algorithms, enabling the possibility of (i) making empirical data analysis and signal processing and (ii) characterising classes of dynamical…

Anomalous random walks having long-range jumps are a critical branch of dynamical processes on networks, which can model a number of search and transport processes. However, traditional measurements based on mean first passage time are not…

We prove a large deviation principle for the point process associated to $k$-element connected components in $\mathbb R^d$ with respect to the connectivity radii $r_n\to\infty$. The random points are generated from a homogeneous Poisson…

It is known that simulation of the mean position of a Reflected Random Walk (RRW) $\{W_n\}$ exhibits non-standard behavior, even for light-tailed increment distributions with negative drift. The Large Deviation Principle (LDP) holds for…

Extreme events occur across the natural, engineering, and socioeconomic sciences, where rare but high-impact episodes can lead to disproportionate consequences that pose major challenges for prediction and risk management. Existing studies…

We develop a variant of rough path theory tailor-made for analyzing a class of financial asset price models known as rough volatility models. As an application, we prove a pathwise large deviation principle (LDP) for a certain class of…

To investigate the complex dynamics of a biological neuron that is subject to small random perturbations we can use stochastic neuron models. While many techniques have already been developed to study properties of such models, especially…

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

In offline reinforcement learning (RL), the absence of active exploration calls for attention on the model robustness to tackle the sim-to-real gap, where the discrepancy between the simulated and deployed environments can significantly…

We prove large deviation principles (LDPs) for full chordal, radial, and multichordal SLE(0+) curves parameterized by capacity. The rate function is given by the appropriate variant of the Loewner energy. There are two key novelties in the…

Statistical analysis of large and sparse graphs is a challenging problem in data science due to the high dimensionality and nonlinearity of the problem. This paper presents a fast and scalable algorithm for partitioning such graphs into…

We study rare events in systems of diffusive fields driven out of equilibrium by the boundaries. We present a numerical technique and use it to calculate the probabilities of rare events in one and two dimensions. Using this technique, we…

In many real-world decision problems there is partially observed, hidden or latent information that remains fixed throughout an interaction. Such decision problems can be modeled as Latent Markov Decision Processes (LMDPs), where a latent…

For the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter is totally different in the stable, unstable, and explosive cases. Notwithstanding of this trichotomy, we investigate…

$\ell_1$ optimization is a well known heuristic often employed for solving various forms of sparse linear problems. In this paper we look at its a variant that we refer to as the \emph{partial} $\ell_1$ and discuss its mathematical…

This paper is devoted to the problem of sample path large deviations for the Markov processes on R_+^N having a constant but different transition mechanism on each boundary set {x:x_i=0 for i\notin\Lambda, x_i>0 for i\in\Lambda}. The global…