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We study the near-critical behavior of the sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$ on $n\gg1$ vertices, where the connection probability $p$ satisfies $np = 1+\theta(b_n^2/n)^{1/3}$, with $n^{3/10}\ll {b_n}\ll n^{1/2}$, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-29 Luisa Andreis , Gianmarco Bet , Maxence Phalempin

The problem of estimating a parameter in the drift coefficient is addressed for $N$ discretely observed independent and identically distributed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). This is done considering additional constraints,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter , Hélène Halconruy

We study a model of stochastic evolutionary game dynamics in which the probabilities that agents choose suboptimal actions are dependent on payoff consequences. We prove a sample path large deviation principle, characterizing the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-10 William H. Sandholm , Mathias Staudigl

We present a large-deviations/thermodynamic approach to the classic problem of percolation on the complete graph. Specifically, we determine the large-deviation rate function for the probability that the giant component occupies a fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Marek Biskup , Lincoln Chayes , S. Alex Smith

We present a framework to address a class of sequential decision making problems. Our framework features learning the optimal control policy with robustness to noisy data, determining the unknown state and action parameters, and performing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-20 Amber Srivastava , Srinivasa M Salapaka

We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Wenqing Hu , Hong Qian

Although real-world complex systems typically interact through sparse and heterogeneous networks, analytic solutions of their dynamics are limited to models with all-to-all interactions. Here, we solve the dynamics of a broad range of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-28 Fernando L. Metz

We consider the maximum entropy Markov chain inference approach to characterize the collective statistics of neuronal spike trains, focusing on the statistical properties of the inferred model. We review large deviations techniques useful…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-15 Rodrigo Cofre , Cesar Maldonado , Fernando Rosas

We introduce a novel procedure that, given sparse data generated from a stationary deterministic nonlinear dynamical system, can characterize specific local and/or global dynamic behavior with rigorous probability guarantees. More…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Bogdan Batko , Marcio Gameiro , Ying Hung , William Kalies , Konstantin Mischaikow , Ewerton Vieira

We consider a discounted infinite horizon optimal stopping problem. If the underlying distribution is known a priori, the solution of this problem is obtained via dynamic programming (DP) and is given by a well known threshold rule. When…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Daniel Russo , Assaf Zeevi , Tianyi Zhang

Gaussian processes (GPs) have gained popularity as flexible machine learning models for regression and function approximation with an in-built method for uncertainty quantification. However, GPs suffer when the amount of training data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-26 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

In an era of unprecedented deluge of (mostly unstructured) data, graphs are proving more and more useful, across the sciences, as a flexible abstraction to capture complex relationships between complex objects. One of the main challenges…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-10-17 Alaa Saade

We consider large-scale Markov decision processes (MDPs) with a risk measure of variability in cost, under the risk-aware MDPs paradigm. Previous studies showed that risk-aware MDPs, based on a minimax approach to handling risk, can be…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell , Huan Xu

A basic model in sequential decision making is the Markov decision process (MDP), which is extended to Robust MDPs (RMDPs) by allowing uncertainty in transition probabilities and optimizing against the worst-case transition probabilities…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Ali Asadi , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Alipasha Montaseri , Ali Shafiee

Graph pattern counting serves as a cornerstone of network analysis with extensive real-world applications. Its integration with local differential privacy (LDP) has gained growing attention for protecting sensitive graph information in…

Databases · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Yihua Hu , Kuncan Wang , Wei Dong

Moderate deviation principles for empirical measure processes associated with weakly interacting Markov processes are established. Two families of models are considered: the first corresponds to a system of interacting diffusions whereas…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Amarjit Budhiraja , Ruoyu Wu

This paper focuses on systems of nonlinear second-order stochastic differential equations with multi-scales. The motivation for our study stems from mathematical physics and statistical mechanics, for examples, Langevin dynamics and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Nhu N. Nguyen , George Yin

We continue the development, started in of the asymptotic description of certain stochastic neural networks. We use the Large Deviation Principle (LDP) and the good rate function H announced there to prove that H has a unique minimum mu_e,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-10 Olivier Faugeras , James MacLaurin

We study the greedy independent set algorithm on sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graphs ${\mathcal G}(n,c/n)$. This range of $p$ is of interest due to the threshold at $c=e$, beyond which it appears that greedy algorithms are affected by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Brett Kolesnik

While deep learning (DL)-based methods have achieved remarkable success in continuous wireless resource allocation, efficient solutions for problems involving discrete variables remain challenging. This is primarily due to the zero-gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Yikun Wang , Yang Li , Yik-Chung Wu , Rui Zhang
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