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Providing non-conservative uncertainty quantification for function estimates derived from noisy observations remains a fundamental challenge in statistical machine learning, particularly for applications in safety-critical domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Johannes Teutsch , Oleksii Molodchyk , Marion Leibold , Timm Faulwasser , Armin Lederer

Univariate and multivariate general linear regression models, subject to linear inequality constraints, arise in many scientific applications. The linear inequality restrictions on model parameters are often available from phenomenological…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Solmaz Seifollahi , Kaniav Kamary , Hossein Bevrani

Algorithm-dependent generalization error bounds are central to statistical learning theory. A learning algorithm may use a large hypothesis space, but the limited number of iterations controls its model capacity and generalization error.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-20 Wenlong Mou , Liwei Wang , Xiyu Zhai , Kai Zheng

The remarkable generalization performance of large-scale models has been challenging the conventional wisdom of the statistical learning theory. Although recent theoretical studies have shed light on this behavior in linear models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Tomoya Wakayama

Datasets displaying temporal dependencies abound in science and engineering applications, with Markov models representing a simplified and popular view of the temporal dependence structure. In this paper, we consider Bayesian settings that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Imon Banerjee , Vinayak A. Rao , Harsha Honnappa

While there has been progress in developing non-vacuous generalization bounds for deep neural networks, these bounds tend to be uninformative about why deep learning works. In this paper, we develop a compression approach based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Sanae Lotfi , Marc Finzi , Sanyam Kapoor , Andres Potapczynski , Micah Goldblum , Andrew Gordon Wilson

The core of generalization theory was developed for independent observations. Some PAC and PAC-Bayes bounds are available for data that exhibit a temporal dependence. However, there are constants in these bounds that depend on properties of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-12 Vahe Karagulyan , Pierre Alquier

Analysing statistical properties of neural networks is a central topic in statistics and machine learning. However, most results in the literature focus on the properties of the neural network minimizing the training error. The goal of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Laura Tinsi , Arnak S. Dalalyan

We develop a technique for deriving data-dependent error bounds for transductive learning algorithms based on transductive Rademacher complexity. Our technique is based on a novel general error bound for transduction in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Ran El-Yaniv , Dmitry Pechyony

We introduce a data-driven approach to analyze the performance of continuous optimization algorithms using generalization guarantees from statistical learning theory. We study classical and learned optimizers to solve families of parametric…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Rajiv Sambharya , Bartolomeo Stellato

We implement a Bayesian inference process for Neural Networks to model the time to failure of highly reliable weapon systems with interval-censored data and time-varying covariates. We analyze and benchmark our approach, LaplaceNN, on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Michael Potter , Miru Jun

For the last two decades, high-dimensional data and methods have proliferated throughout the literature. Yet, the classical technique of linear regression has not lost its usefulness in applications. In fact, many high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja , Edward I. George , Linda Zhao

The aim in model order reduction is to approximate an input-output map described by a large-scale dynamical system with a low-dimensional and cheaper-to-evaluate reduced order model. While high fidelity can be achieved by a variety of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Björn Liljegren-Sailer

Generalization error bounds are critical to understanding the performance of machine learning models. In this work, building upon a new bound of the expected value of an arbitrary function of the population and empirical risk of a learning…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-07 Gholamali Aminian , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

We study the generalization error of statistical learning algorithms in a non-i.i.d. setting, where the training data is sampled from a stationary mixing process. We develop an analytic framework for this scenario based on a reduction to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Baptiste Abeles , Eugenio Clerico , Gergely Neu

Due to the increasing complexity of technical systems, accurate first principle models can often not be obtained. Supervised machine learning can mitigate this issue by inferring models from measurement data. Gaussian process regression is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-11 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

We extend the theory from Fan and Li (2001) on penalized likelihood-based estimation and model-selection to statistical and econometric models which allow for non-negativity constraints on some or all of the parameters, as well as…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-07 Heino Bohn Nielsen , Anders Rahbek

This paper derives error bounds for regression in continuous time over subsets of certain types of Riemannian manifolds.The regression problem is typically driven by a nonlinear evolution law taking values on the manifold, and it is cast as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-09 Nathan Powell , Jia Guo , Sai Tej Parachuri , John Burns , Boone Estes , Andrew Kurdila

Recently, there has been a significant focus on exploring the theoretical aspects of deep learning, especially regarding its performance in classification tasks. Bayesian deep learning has emerged as a unified probabilistic framework,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-24 The Tien Mai

Despite being widely adopted as a canonical framework for learning robust models, adversarial training suffers from robust overfitting. Existing empirical measures and theoretical explorations are insufficient to provide satisfying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Yuelin Xu , Xiao Zhang