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The uncertainty quantification and risk modeling are hot topics in the operation and planning of energy systems. The system operators and planners are decision-makers that need to handle the uncertainty of input data of their models. As an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-03 Majid Majidi , Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatlooa , Alireza Soroudi

Climate adaptation could yield significant benefits. However, the uncertainty of which future climate scenarios will occur decreases the feasibility of proactively adapting. Climate adaptation projects could be underwritten by benefits paid…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-06 John Nay

Power grid expansion planning requires making large investment decisions in the present that will impact the future cost and reliability of a system exposed to wide-ranging uncertainties. Extreme temperatures can pose significant challenges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Ramsey Rossmann , Mihai Anitescu , Julie Bessac , Michael Ferris , Mitchell Krock , James Luedtke , Line Roald

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

Overhead distribution lines play a vital role in distributing electricity, however, their freestanding nature makes them vulnerable to extreme weather conditions and resultant disruption of supply. The current UK regulation of power…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-09 Antoni M. Sieminski , Carl R. Donovan

Nowadays, with the unprecedented penetration of renewable distributed energy resources (DERs), the necessity of an efficient energy forecasting model is more demanding than before. Generally, forecasting models are trained using observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-18 Hossein Sangrody , Morteza Sarailoo , Ning Zhou , Ahmad Shokrollahi , Elham Foruzan

When the climate system is forced, e.g. by emission of greenhouse gases, it responds on multiple time scales. As temperatures rise, feedback processes might intensify or weaken. Current methods to analyze feedback strength, however, do not…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-03 Robbin Bastiaansen , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

The energy system is rapidly changing to accommodate the increasing number of renewable generators and the general transition towards a more sustainable future. Simultaneously, business models and market designs evolve, affecting power-grid…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-03-24 Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Mehrnaz Anvari , Holger Kantz , Christian Beck , Dirk Witthaut , Marc Timme , Benjamin Schäfer

Climate change is increasing the intensity and frequency of many extreme weather events, including heatwaves, which results in increased thermal discomfort and mortality rates. While global mitigation action is undoubtedly necessary, so is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Simon Schrodi , Ferdinand Briegel , Max Argus , Andreas Christen , Thomas Brox

In this paper, in an attempt to improve power grid resilience, a machine learning model is proposed to predictively estimate the component states in response to extreme events. The proposed model is based on a multi-dimensional Support…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

Climate science has become more ambitious in recent years as global awareness about the environment has grown. To better understand climate, historical climate (e.g. archived meteorological variables such as temperature, wind, water, etc.)…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Jiantao Wu , Fabrizio Orlandi , Declan O'Sullivan , Soumyabrata Dev

As renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) penetrate the power grid at an accelerating speed, it is essential for operators to have accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting for efficient operations and planning. Generally,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-26 Hossein Sangrody , Morteza Sarailoo , Ning Zhou , Nhu Tran , Mahdi Motalleb , Elham Foruzan

With electric power infrastructure increasingly susceptible to impacts from climate-driven natural disasters, there is an increasing need for optimization algorithms that determine where to harden the power grid. Prior work has primarily…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Ryan Piansky , Daniel K. Molzahn , Nicole D. Jackson , J. Kyle Skolfield

Electrical Distribution Systems are extensively penetrated with Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) to cater the energy demands with the general perception that it enhances the system's resilience. However, integration of DERs may adversely…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-07 Divyanshi Dwivedi , Pradeep Kumar Yemula , Mayukha Pal

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

Several research studies have shown that future sustainable electricity systems, mostly based on renewable generation and storage, are feasible with current technologies and costs. However, recent episodes of extreme weather conditions,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-26 Francisco Gutierrez-Garcia , Angel Arcos-Vargas , Antonio Gomez-Exposito

As energy systems transform to rely on renewable energy and electrification, they encounter stronger year-to-year variability in energy supply and demand. However, most infrastructure planning is based on a single weather year, resulting in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-30 Ebbe Kyhl Gøtske , Gorm Bruun Andresen , Fabian Neumann , Marta Victoria

With increased global warming, there has been a significant emphasis to replace fossil fuel-dependent energy sources with clean, renewable sources. These new-age energy systems are becoming more complex with an increasing proportion of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-11 Millend Roy , Vaibhav Balloli , Anupam Sobti , Srinivasan Iyengar , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman , Tanuja Ganu , Akshay Nambi

Capacity expansion models are frequently used to inform multi-billion dollar grid infrastructure decisions, a context in which there is significant uncertainty surrounding the future need for and performance of such infrastructure. However,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-03 Gabriel Mantegna , Emil Dimanchev , Filippo Pecci , Neha Patankar , Jesse Jenkins

The transition from traditional power grids to smart grids, significant increase in the use of renewable energy sources, and soaring electricity prices has triggered a digital transformation of the energy infrastructure that enables new,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Carolina Fortuna , Gregor Cerar , Blaz Bertalanic , Andrej Campa , Mihael Mohorcic