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Recently, deep learning has emerged as a promising tool for statistical downscaling, the set of methods for generating high-resolution climate fields from coarse low-resolution variables. Nevertheless, their ability to generalize to climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Jose González-Abad , Jorge Baño-Medina

Ensembles of neural networks achieve superior performance compared to stand-alone networks in terms of accuracy, uncertainty calibration and robustness to dataset shift. \emph{Deep ensembles}, a state-of-the-art method for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Sheheryar Zaidi , Arber Zela , Thomas Elsken , Chris Holmes , Frank Hutter , Yee Whye Teh

In resource-constrained and low-latency settings, uncertainty estimates must be efficiently obtained. Deep Ensembles provide robust epistemic uncertainty (EU) but require training multiple full-size models. BatchEnsemble aims to deliver…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Anton Zamyatin , Patrick Indri , Sagar Malhotra , Thomas Gärtner

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

Ensembling can improve the performance of Neural Networks, but existing approaches struggle when the architecture likelihood surface has dispersed, narrow peaks. Furthermore, existing methods construct equally weighted ensembles, and this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-20 Saad Hamid , Xingchen Wan , Martin Jørgensen , Binxin Ru , Michael Osborne

Ensemble learning combines several individual models to obtain better generalization performance. Currently, deep learning architectures are showing better performance compared to the shallow or traditional models. Deep ensemble learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 M. A. Ganaie , Minghui Hu , A. K. Malik , M. Tanveer , P. N. Suganthan

Artificial neural networks have been successfully applied to a variety of machine learning tasks, including image recognition, semantic segmentation, and machine translation. However, few studies fully investigated ensembles of artificial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-07 Cheng Ju , Aurélien Bibaut , Mark J. van der Laan

Deep neural networks have amply demonstrated their prowess but estimating the reliability of their predictions remains challenging. Deep Ensembles are widely considered as being one of the best methods for generating uncertainty estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Nikita Durasov , Timur Bagautdinov , Pierre Baque , Pascal Fua

Ensembles over neural network weights trained from different random initialization, known as deep ensembles, achieve state-of-the-art accuracy and calibration. The recently introduced batch ensembles provide a drop-in replacement that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Florian Wenzel , Jasper Snoek , Dustin Tran , Rodolphe Jenatton

Ensembles are a straightforward, remarkably effective method for improving the accuracy,calibration, and robustness of models on classification tasks; yet, the reasons that underlie their success remain an active area of research. We build…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Neha Gupta , Jamie Smith , Ben Adlam , Zelda Mariet

In the low-data regime, it is difficult to train good supervised models from scratch. Instead practitioners turn to pre-trained models, leveraging transfer learning. Ensembling is an empirically and theoretically appealing way to construct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Basil Mustafa , Carlos Riquelme , Joan Puigcerver , André Susano Pinto , Daniel Keysers , Neil Houlsby

Classic results establish that encouraging predictive diversity improves performance in ensembles of low-capacity models, e.g. through bagging or boosting. Here we demonstrate that these intuitions do not apply to high-capacity neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Taiga Abe , E. Kelly Buchanan , Geoff Pleiss , John P. Cunningham

Ensembles of deep neural networks demonstrate improved performance over single models. For enhancing the diversity of ensemble members while keeping their performance, particle-based inference methods offer a promising approach from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Shingo Yashima , Teppei Suzuki , Kohta Ishikawa , Ikuro Sato , Rei Kawakami

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

Ensemble learning is a process by which multiple base learners are strategically generated and combined into one composite learner. There are two features that are essential to an ensemble's performance, the individual accuracies of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Wenjing Li , Randy C. Paffenroth , David Berthiaume

Ensemble methods are known for enhancing the accuracy and robustness of machine learning models by combining multiple base learners. However, standard approaches like greedy or random ensembling often fall short, as they assume a constant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Sebastian Pineda Arango , Maciej Janowski , Lennart Purucker , Arber Zela , Frank Hutter , Josif Grabocka

Traffic flow forecasting is a crucial task in intelligent transport systems. Deep learning offers an effective solution, capturing complex patterns in time-series traffic flow data to enable the accurate prediction. However, deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Qiyuan Zhu , A. K. Qin , Hussein Dia , Adriana-Simona Mihaita , Hanna Grzybowska

Deep learning has become very popular for tasks such as predictive modeling and pattern recognition in handling big data. Deep learning is a powerful machine learning method that extracts lower level features and feeds them forward for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-07 Steven Young , Tamer Abdou , Ayse Bener

With the rise of the popularity and usage of neural networks, trustworthy uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly essential. One of the most prominent uncertainty estimation methods is Deep Ensembles (Lakshminarayanan et al., 2017)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-04 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes

Convolutional Neural Networks have achieved state-of-the-art performance on a wide range of tasks. Most benchmarks are led by ensembles of these powerful learners, but ensembling is typically treated as a post-hoc procedure implemented by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-11-20 Stefan Lee , Senthil Purushwalkam , Michael Cogswell , David Crandall , Dhruv Batra