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Linear regression models have been extensively considered in the literature. However, in some practical applications they may not be appropriate all over the range of the covariate. In this paper, a more flexible model is introduced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Graciela Boente , Florencia Leonardi , Daniela Rodriguez , Mariela Sued

This paper presents a practical and simple fully nonparametric multivariate smoothing procedure that adapts to the underlying smoothness of the true regression function. Our estimator is easily computed by successive application of existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-08 P. A. Cornillon , N. Hengartner , E. Matzner-Løber

In multivariate nonparametric analysis, sparseness of the covariates also called curse of dimensionality, forces one to use large smoothing parameters. This leads to a biased smoother. Instead of focusing on optimally selecting the…

Computation · Statistics 2011-05-19 P. A. Cornillon , N. Hengartner , E. Matzner-Løber

In the context of the expected-posterior prior (EPP) approach to Bayesian variable selection in linear models, we combine ideas from power-prior and unit-information-prior methodologies to simultaneously produce a minimally-informative…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-27 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , David Draper

Traditional regression and prediction tasks often only provide deterministic point estimates. To estimate the distribution or uncertainty of the response variable, traditional methods either assume that the posterior distribution of samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Daojun Liang , Haixia Zhang , Dongfeng Yuan

Functional data analysis has become a tool of interest in applied areas such as economics, medicine, and chemistry. Among the techniques developed in recent literature, functional semiparametric regression stands out for its balance between…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Silvia Novo , Germán Aneiros

Prediction models are used to predict an outcome based on input variables. Missing data in input variables often occurs at model development and at prediction time. The missForestPredict R package proposes an adaptation of the missForest…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Elena Albu , Shan Gao , Laure Wynants , Ben Van Calster

Sparsity in a regression context makes the model itself an object of interest, pointing to a confidence set of models as the appropriate presentation of evidence. A difficulty in areas such as genomics, where the number of candidate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Heather Battey , Daniel Garcia Rasines , Yanbo Tang

Projection predictive inference is a decision theoretic Bayesian approach that decouples model estimation from decision making. Given a reference model previously built including all variables present in the data, projection predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-15 Alejandro Catalina , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

Statisticians often face the choice between using probability models or a paradigm defined by minimising a loss function. Both approaches are useful and, if the loss can be re-cast into a proper probability model, there are many tools to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Jack Jewson , David Rossell

We introduce a new R package useful for inference about network count time series. Such data are frequently encountered in statistics and they are usually treated as multivariate time series. Their statistical analysis is based on linear or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Mirko Armillotta , Michail Tsagris , Konstantinos Fokianos

The use of standard statistical methods, such as maximum likelihood, is often justified based on their asymptotic properties. For suitably regular models, this theory is standard but, when the model is non-regular, e.g., the support depends…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-25 Ryan Martin , Yi Lin

Recursive Bayesian inference, in which posterior beliefs are updated in light of accumulating data, is a tool for implementing Bayesian models in applications with streaming and/or very large data sets. As the posterior of one iteration…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Henry R. Scharf

We study semisupervised mean estimation with a small labeled sample, a large unlabeled sample, and a black-box prediction model whose output may be miscalibrated. A standard approach in this setting is augmented inverse-probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Lars van der Laan , Mark Van Der Laan

A conventional Bayesian approach to prediction uses the posterior distribution to integrate out parameters in a density for unobserved data conditional on the observed data and parameters. When the true posterior is intractable, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Lucas Kock , Scott A. Sisson , G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott

We consider the functional regression model with multivariate response and functional predictors. Compared to fitting each individual response variable separately, taking advantage of the correlation between the response variables can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Ruiyan Luo , Xin Qi

Often in real-world datasets, especially in high dimensional data, some feature values are missing. Since most data analysis and statistical methods do not handle gracefully missing values, the first step in the analysis requires the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-08 Yehezkel S. Resheff , Daphna Weinshall

Hierarchical modeling is wonderful and here to stay, but hyperparameter priors are often chosen in a casual fashion. Unfortunately, as the number of hyperparameters grows, the effects of casual choices can multiply, leading to considerably…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 James O. Berger , William Strawderman , Dejun Tang

Gaussian processes (GP) are powerful tools for probabilistic modeling purposes. They can be used to define prior distributions over latent functions in hierarchical Bayesian models. The prior over functions is defined implicitly by the mean…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-16 Jarno Vanhatalo , Jaakko Riihimäki , Jouni Hartikainen , Pasi Jylänki , Ville Tolvanen , Aki Vehtari
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