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The standard practice of query performance prediction (QPP) evaluation is to measure a set-level correlation between the estimated retrieval qualities and the true ones. However, neither this correlation-based evaluation measure quantifies…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Payel Santra , Partha Basuchowdhuri , Debasis Ganguly

Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, with generalization properties determined by a kernel function. When used for long-range extrapolation, predictions are particularly sensitive to the choice of kernel parameters. It…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-05 Phillip A. Jang , Andrew E. Loeb , Matthew B. Davidow , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We consider a general regression model, without a scale parameter. Our aim is to construct a confidence interval for a scalar parameter of interest $\theta$ that utilizes the uncertain prior information that a distinct scalar parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-17 Paul Kabaila , Nishika Ranathunga

This paper serves as a reference and introduction to using the R package dapper. dapper encodes a sampling framework which allows exact Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation of parameters and latent variables in a statistical model given…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-20 Kevin Eng , Jordan A. Awan , Nianqiao Phyllis Ju , Vinayak A. Rao , Ruobin Gong

Particularly in low-data regimes, an outstanding challenge in machine learning is developing principled techniques for augmenting our models with suitable priors. This is to encourage them to learn in ways that are compatible with our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Kristy Choi , Chris Cundy , Sanjari Srivastava , Stefano Ermon

Correlation among the observations in high-dimensional regression modeling can be a major source of confounding. We present a new open-source package, plmmr, to implement penalized linear mixed models in R. This R package estimates…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-13 Tabitha K. Peter , Anna C. Reisetter , Yujing Lu , Oscar A. Rysavy , Patrick J. Breheny

A prediction interval is a statistical interval that should encompass one (or more) future observation(s) with a given coverage probability and is usually computed based on historical control data. The application of prediction intervals is…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-08 Max Menssen

We present a comprehensive R software ivmodel for analyzing instrumental variables with one endogenous variable. The package implements a general class of estimators called k- class estimators and two confidence intervals that are fully…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-09 Hyunseung Kang , Yang Jiang , Qingyuan Zhao , Dylan S. Small

We introduce new Gaussian Process (GP) high-order approximations to linear operations that are frequently used in various numerical methods. Our method employs the kernel-based GP regression modeling, a non-parametric Bayesian approach to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-09 Christopher DeGrendele , Dongwook Lee

Prediction rule ensembles (PREs) are sparse collections of rules, offering highly interpretable regression and classification models. This paper presents the R package pre, which derives PREs through the methodology of Friedman and Popescu…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-31 Marjolein Fokkema

The R package micompr implements a procedure for assessing if two or more multivariate samples are drawn from the same distribution. The procedure uses principal component analysis to convert multivariate observations into a set of linearly…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Nuno Fachada , João Rodrigues , Vitor V. Lopes , Rui C. Martins , Agostinho C. Rosa

Robust statistical data modelling under potential model mis-specification often requires leaving the parametric world for the nonparametric. In the latter, parameters are infinite dimensional objects such as functions, probability…

Data transformations are essential for broad applicability of parametric regression models. However, for Bayesian analysis, joint inference of the transformation and model parameters typically involves restrictive parametric transformations…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-29 Daniel R. Kowal , Bohan Wu

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

Gaussian process (GP) priors are non-parametric generative models with appealing modelling properties for Bayesian inference: they can model non-linear relationships through noisy observations, have closed-form expressions for training and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-31 Gonzalo Rios

The behavior of many Bayesian models used in machine learning critically depends on the choice of prior distributions, controlled by some hyperparameters that are typically selected by Bayesian optimization or cross-validation. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-09 Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Marcelo Hartmann , Arto Klami

In high-dimensional problems, choosing a prior distribution such that the corresponding posterior has desirable practical and theoretical properties can be challenging. This begs the question: can the data be used to help choose a good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

Motivated by the statistical evaluation of complex computer models, we deal with the issue of objective prior specification for the parameters of Gaussian processes. In particular, we derive the Jeffreys-rule, independence Jeffreys and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rui Paulo

In this paper, we introduce the notion of Gaussian processes indexed by probability density functions for extending the Mat\'ern family of covariance functions. We use some tools from information geometry to improve the efficiency and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-09 A. Fradi , Y. Feunteun , C. Samir , M. Baklouti , F. Bachoc , J-M. Loubes

The power-expected-posterior (PEP) prior provides an objective, automatic, consistent and parsimonious model selection procedure. At the same time it resolves the conceptual and computational problems due to the use of imaginary data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-02 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Konstantinos Perrakis
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