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Calibration, the practice of choosing the parameters of a structural model to match certain empirical moments, can be viewed as minimum distance estimation. Existing standard error formulas for such estimators require a consistent estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-19 Matthew D. Cocci , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

An artificial neural network architecture, parameterization networks, is proposed for simulating extrapolated dynamics beyond observed data in dynamical systems. Parameterization networks are used to ensure the long term integrity of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-03-21 James P. L. Tan

We present a novel optimization strategy for training neural networks which we call "BitNet". The parameters of neural networks are usually unconstrained and have a dynamic range dispersed over all real values. Our key idea is to limit the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Aswin Raghavan , Mohamed Amer , Sek Chai , Graham Taylor

Data-driven approaches are increasingly popular for identifying dynamical systems due to improved accuracy and availability of sensor data. However, relying solely on data for identification does not guarantee that the identified systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-04 Nam T. Nguyen , Juan C. Tique

This paper introduces a novel direct approach to system identification of dynamic networks with missing data based on maximum likelihood estimation. Dynamic networks generally present a singular probability density function, which poses a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-31 João Victor Galvão da Mata , Anders Hansson , Martin S. Andersen

A method of simultaneously optimizing both the structure of neural networks and the connection weights in a single training loop can reduce the enormous computational cost of neural architecture search. We focus on the probabilistic…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Shota Saito , Shinichi Shirakawa

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

Model-based methods are the dominant paradigm for controlling robotic systems, though their efficacy depends heavily on the accuracy of the model used. Deep neural networks have been used to learn models of robot dynamics from data, but…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Jayesh K. Gupta , Kunal Menda , Zachary Manchester , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Effective inclusion of physics-based knowledge into deep neural network models of dynamical systems can greatly improve data efficiency and generalization. Such a-priori knowledge might arise from physical principles (e.g., conservation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Franck Djeumou , Cyrus Neary , Eric Goubault , Sylvie Putot , Ufuk Topcu

Stochastic simulation models are generative models that mimic complex systems to help with decision-making. The reliability of these models heavily depends on well-calibrated input model parameters. However, in many practical scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-11 Ziwei Su , Diego Klabjan

The discovery of structure from time series data is a key problem in fields of study working with complex systems. Most identifiability results and learning algorithms assume the underlying dynamics to be discrete in time. Comparatively…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Bellot , Kim Branson , Mihaela van der Schaar

This article describes a numerical procedure designed to tune the parameters of periodically-driven dynamical systems to a state in which they exhibit rich dynamical behavior. This is achieved by maximizing the diversity of subharmonic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-13 Leandro M. Alonso

In applications of dynamical systems, situations can arise where it is desired to predict the onset of synchronization as it can lead to characteristic and significant changes in the system performance and behaviors, for better or worse. In…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-30 Huawei Fan , Ling-Wei Kong , Ying-Cheng Lai , Xingang Wang

Precise kinematic modeling is critical in calibration and controller design for soft robots, yet remains a challenging issue due to their highly nonlinear and complex behaviors. To tackle the issue, numerous data-driven machine learning…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Zhanhong Jiang , Dylan Shah , Hsin-Jung Yang , Soumik Sarkar

Modern deep neural network (DNN) trainings utilize various training techniques, e.g., nonlinear activation functions, batch normalization, skip-connections, etc. Despite their effectiveness, it is still mysterious how they help accelerate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Cheng Chen , Junjie Yang , Yi Zhou

Rapid development in numerical modelling of materials and the complexity of new models increases quickly together with their computational demands. Despite the growing performance of modern computers and clusters, calibration of such models…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-03-08 Tomáš Mareš , Eliška Janouchová , Anna Kučerová

Data-driven methods for modeling dynamic systems have received considerable attention as they provide a mechanism for control synthesis directly from the observed time-series data. In the absence of prior assumptions on how the time-series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Atiye Alaeddini , Siavash Alemzadeh , Afshin Mesbahi , Mehran Mesbahi

Neural networks are usually not the tool of choice for nonparametric high-dimensional problems where the number of input features is much larger than the number of observations. Though neural networks can approximate complex multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-25 Jean Feng , Noah Simon

Model selection methods are used in different scientific contexts to represent a characteristic data set in terms of a reduced number of parameters. Apparently, these methods have not found their way into the literature on multibody systems…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-30 Javier Ros , Xabier Iriarte , Aitor Plaza , Vicente Mata