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We consider the sums $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$ of independent identically distributed random variables. We do not assume that the $\xi$'s have a finite mean. Under subexponential type conditions on distribution of the summands, we find the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 D. Denisov , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

We consider transient random walks in random environment on Z in the positive speed (ballistic) and critical zero speed regimes. A classical result of Kesten, Kozlov and Spitzer proves that the hitting time of level $n$, after proper…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-02 Nathanaël Enriquez , Christophe Sabot , Laurent Tournier , Olivier Zindy

We study an epidemic type change in innovations of a first order autoregressive process $ y_{n,k} = \varphi_n y_{n,k-1} + \epsilon_{k} + a_{n,k}$, where $\phi_n$ is either a constant in $(-1,1)$ or a sequence in $(0,1)$, converging to 1.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-21 Jurgita Markevičiūtė , Alfredas Račkauskas , Charles Suquet

We consider a non-autonomous ordinary differential equation on a smooth manifold, with right-hand side that randomly switches between the elements of a finite family of smooth vector fields. For the resulting random dynamical system, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Yuri Bakhtin , Tobias Hurth

We prove existence of (at most denumerable many) absolutely continuous invariant probability measures for random one-dimensional dynamical systems with asymptotic expansion. If the rate of expansion (Lyapunov exponents) is bounded away from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-18 Vitor Araujo , Javier Solano

We consider the branching random walks in $d$-dimensional integer lattice with time--space i.i.d. offspring distributions. Then the normalization of the total population is a nonnegative martingale and it almost surely converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-07 Makoto Nakashima

Let $X_1,\dots, X_n,\dots$ be i.i.d.\ $d$-dimensional random vectors with common distribution $F$. Then $S_n = X_1+\dots+X_n$ has distribution $F^n$ (degree is understood in the sense of convolution). Let $$ \rho_{\mathcal{C}_d}(F,G) =…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-18 Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

We deal with a random graph model evolving in discrete time steps by duplicating and deleting the edges of randomly chosen vertices. We prove the existence of an a.s. asymptotic degree distribution, with streched exponential decay; more…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-10 Ágnes Backhausz , Tamás F. Móri

For estimating the unknown parameters in an unstable autoregressive AR(p), the paper proposes sequential least squares estimates with a special stopping time defined by the trace of the observed Fisher information matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-07 Leonid Galtchouk , Victor Konev

We study how to sample paths of a random walk up to the first time it crosses a fixed barrier, in the setting where the step sizes are iid with negative mean and have a regularly varying right tail. We introduce a desirable property for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Ton Dieker , Guido Lagos

We consider a state-dependent, time-dependent, discrete random walks $X_t^{\{a_n\}}$ defined on natural numbers $\mathbb{N}$ (bent to a "stair" in $\mathbb{N}^2$) where the random walk depends on input of a positive deterministic sequence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-01 Yufan Li , Jeffery Rosenthal

We consider recurrent diffusive random walks on a strip. We present constructive conditions on Green functions of finite sub-domains which imply a Central Limit Theorem with polynomial error bound, a Local Limit Theorem, and mixing of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Ilya Goldsheid

Consider $M_n$ the maximal position at generation $n$ of a supercritical branching random walk. A\"id\'ekon (2013) obtained and described the convergence in law, as time $n$ goes to infinity, of $M_n-m_n$, where $m_n$ is an explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Louis Chataignier , Lianghui Luo

We establish metastability in the sense of Lebowitz and Penrose under practical and simple hypothesis for (families of) Markov chains on finite configuration space in some asymptotic regime, including the case of configuration space size…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Alexandre Gaudillière

Let $\{S_n,n\geq 0\} $ be a random walk whose increments belong without centering to the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law $\{Y_t,t\geq 0\}$, i.e. $S_{nt}/a_n\Rightarrow Y_t,t\geq 0,$ for some scaling constants $a_n$. Assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-15 Congzao Dong , Elena Dyakonova , Vladimir Vatutin

A switching random walk, commonly known under the misnomer `oscillating random walk', is a real-valued Markov chain whose distribution of increments is determined by the sign of the current position. We explicitly identify an invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Vladislav Vysotsky

Let $S_n$ be the sum of independent random variables with distribution $F$. Under the assumption that $-\log(1-F(x))$ is slowly varying, conditions for $$ \lim_{n\to\infty}\sup_{s\ge t_n}\left|{P[S_n>s]\over n(1-F(s))}-1\right| =0 $$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Daren B. H. Cline , Tailen Hsing

Let $X_{1},X_{2},...$ be a sequence of independent copies (s.i.c) of a real random variable (r.v.) $X\geq 1$, with distribution function $df$ $F(x)=\mathbb{P}% (X\leq x)$ and let $X_{1,n}\leq X_{2,n} \leq ... \leq X_{n,n}$ be the order…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-22 Gane Samb Lo , El Hadji Deme , Aliou Diop

We consider a discrete time random walk in one dimension. At each time step the walker jumps by a random distance, independent from step to step, drawn from an arbitrary symmetric density function. We show that the expected positive maximum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Alain Comtet , Satya N. Majumdar

Random walk on changing graphs is considered. For sequences of finite graphs increasing monotonically towards a limiting infinite graph, we establish transition probability upper bounds. It yields sufficient transience criteria for simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Ruojun Huang