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Granger causality has been used for the investigation of the inter-dependence structure of the underlying systems of multi-variate time series. In particular, the direct causal effects are commonly estimated by the conditional Granger…
The small sample universal hypothesis testing problem is investigated in this paper, in which the number of samples $n$ is smaller than the number of possible outcomes $m$. The goal of this work is to find an appropriate criterion to…
Consider $N\times N$ Hermitian or symmetric random matrices $H$ where the distribution of the $(i,j)$ matrix element is given by a probability measure $\nu_{ij}$ with a subexponential decay. Let $\sigma_{ij}^2$ be the variance for the…
This article describes an extension of classical \chi^2 goodness-of-fit tests to Bayesian model assessment. The extension, which essentially involves evaluating Pearson's goodness-of-fit statistic at a parameter value drawn from its…
The generalized Dickman distribution ${\cal D}_\theta$ with parameter $\theta>0$ is the unique solution to the distributional equality $W=_d W^*$, where \begin{eqnarray} W^*=_d U^{1/\theta}(W+1) \qquad (1) \end{eqnarray} with $W$…
Generalized causal effect estimands, including the Mann-Whitney parameter and causal net benefit, provide flexible summaries of treatment effects in randomized experiments with non-Gaussian or multivariate outcomes. We develop a unified…
Regressing a function $F$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ without the statistical and computational curse of dimensionality requires special statistical models, for example that impose geometric assumptions on the distribution of the data (e.g., that its…
This paper investigates Frequentist consistency properties of the posterior distributions constructed via Generalized Variational Inference (GVI). A number of generic and novel strategies are given for proving consistency, relying on the…
We prove two generalizations of the Cheeger's inequality. The first generalization relates the second eigenvalue to the edge expansion and the vertex expansion of the graph G, $\lambda_2 = \Omega(\phi^V(G) \phi(G))$, where $\phi^V(G)$…
Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…
Generalized likelihood ratio statistics have been proposed in Fan, Zhang and Zhang [Ann. Statist. 29 (2001) 153-193] as a generally applicable method for testing nonparametric hypotheses about nonparametric functions. The likelihood ratio…
We observe $n$ independent pairs of random variables $(W_{i}, Y_{i})$, where the conditional distribution of $Y_{i}$ given $W_{i}=w_{i}$ follows a one-parameter exponential family with parameter $\bsg^{*}(w_{i})\in\R$. Our goal is to…
We derive asymptotic expansions up to order $n^{-1/2}$ for the nonnull distribution functions of the likelihood ratio, Wald, score and gradient test statistics in the class of dispersion models, under a sequence of Pitman alternatives. The…
Consider a random graph $G$ of size $N$ constructed according to a \textit{graphon} $w \, : \, [0,1]^{2} \mapsto [0,1]$ as follows. First embed $N$ vertices $V = \{v_1, v_2, \ldots, v_N\}$ into the interval $[0,1]$, then for each $i < j$…
We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression function for a situation where precisely measured predictors are used to estimate the regression curve for coarsened, that is, less precise or contaminated predictors. Specifically, while…
Gaussian process ($GP$) regression is a widely used non-parametric modeling tool, but its cubic complexity in the training size limits its use on massive data sets. A practical remedy is to predict using only the nearest neighbours of each…
Let $f(y|\theta), \; \theta \in \Omega$ be a parametric family, $\eta(\theta)$ a given function, and $G$ an unknown mixing distribution. It is desired to estimate $E_G (\eta(\theta))\equiv \eta_G$ based on independent observations…
The Collective Graphical Model (CGM) models a population of independent and identically distributed individuals when only collective statistics (i.e., counts of individuals) are observed. Exact inference in CGMs is intractable, and previous…
The proportion of edges in a Gaussian graphical model (GGM) characterizes the complexity of its conditional dependence structure. Since edge presence corresponds to a nonzero entry of the precision matrix, estimation of this proportion can…
For an ergodic Brownian diffusion with invariant measure $\nu$, we consider a sequence of empirical distributions ($\nu$n) n$\ge$1 associated with an approximation scheme with decreasing time step ($\gamma$n) n$\ge$1 along an adapted…