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We consider parameter inference for linear quantile regression with non-stationary predictors and errors, where the regression parameters are subject to inequality constraints. We show that the constrained quantile coefficient estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-08 Yuan Sun , Zhou Zhou

We consider a complex-valued linear mixture model, under discrete weakly stationary processes. We recover latent components of interest, which have undergone a linear mixing. We study asymptotic properties of a classical unmixing estimator,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Niko Lietzén , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

This paper proposes a model-free nonparametric estimator of conditional quantile of a time series regression model where the covariate vector is repeated many times for different values of the response. This type of data is abound in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Soudeep Deb , Kaushik Jana

Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) are given for a general class of multidimensional causal processes. For particular cases already studied in the literature (for instance univariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-09 Jean-Marc Bardet , Olivier Wintenberger

Financial data are as a rule asymmetric, although most econometric models are symmetric. This applies also to continuous-time models for high-frequency and irregularly spaced data. We discuss some asymmetric versions of the continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Kathrin Mayr

Semiparametric models are often considered for analyzing longitudinal data for a good balance between flexibility and parsimony. In this paper, we study a class of marginal partially linear quantile models with possibly varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-19 Huixia Judy Wang , Zhongyi Zhu , Jianhui Zhou

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator of a stationary GARCH process with heavy-tailed innovations. This means that the innovations are regularly varying with index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Thomas Mikosch , Daniel Straumann

Inspired by the adaptive Golden Ratio Algorithm (aGRAAL), we propose two new methods for solving monotone variational inequalities. We show that by selecting the momentum parameter beyond the golden ratio in aGRAAL, the convergence speed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Reza Rahimi Baghbadorani , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Sergio Grammatico

We propose a new model for nonstationary integer-valued time series which is particularly suitable for data with a strong trend. In contrast to popular Poisson-INGARCH models, but in line with classical GARCH models, we propose to pick the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Anne Leucht , Michael H. Neumann

A standard model of (conditional) heteroscedasticity, i.e., the phenomenon that the variance of a process changes over time, is the Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, which is especially important for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Balázs Csanád Csáji

Here, we have analysed a GARCH(1,1) model with the aim to fit higher order moments for different companies' stock prices. When we assume a gaussian conditional distribution, we fail to capture any empirical data when fitting the first three…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-31 Luke De Clerk , Sergey Savel'ev

We propose a panel ARMA-GARCH model to capture the dynamics of large panel data with $N$ individuals over $T$ time periods. For this model, we provide a two-step estimation procedure to estimate the ARMA parameters and GARCH parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Bing Su , Ke Zhu

We propose novel parameter estimation algorithms for a class of dynamical systems with nonlinear parametrization. The class is initially restricted to smooth monotonic functions with respect to a linear functional of the parameters. We show…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

Quantile regression is a fundamental problem in statistical learning motivated by a need to quantify uncertainty in predictions, or to model a diverse population without being overly reductive. For instance, epidemiological forecasts, cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Rasool Fakoor , Taesup Kim , Jonas Mueller , Alexander J. Smola , Ryan J. Tibshirani

In this paper the class of ARCH$(\infty)$ models is generalized to the nonstationary class of ARCH$(\infty)$ models with time-varying coefficients. For fixed time points, a stationary approximation is given leading to the notation ``locally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rainer Dahlhaus , Suhasini Subba Rao

This paper proposes the asymmetric linear double autoregression, which jointly models the conditional mean and conditional heteroscedasticity characterized by asymmetric effects. A sufficient condition is established for the existence of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu

For long memory time series models with uncorrelated but dependent errors, we establish the asymptotic normality of the Whittle estimator under mild conditions. Our framework includes the widely used FARIMA models with GARCH-type…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-19 Xiaofeng Shao

Quantiles and expectiles are determined by different loss functions: asymmetric least absolute deviation for quantiles and asymmetric squared loss for expectiles. This distinction ensures that quantile regression methods are robust to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Abdellah Atanane , Abdallah Mkhadri , Karim Oualkacha

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme for estimating the states and time-varying parameters of nonlinear systems. We consider the case where observability of the parameters depends on the excitation of the system and may be absent…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-21 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal exponential generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (spatiotemporal E-GARCH) model, extending traditional spatiotemporal GARCH models by incorporating asymmetric volatility…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-10 Ariane Nidelle Meli Chrisko , Philipp Otto , Wolfgang Schmid