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The problem of dynamic estimation of all parameters of a model representing chaotic and hyperchaotic systems using information from a scalar measured output is solved. The variational calculus based method is robust in the presence of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 Rahul Konnur

We develop misspecification tests for building additive time-varying (ATV-)GARCH models. In the model, the volatility equation of the GARCH model is augmented by a deterministic time-varying intercept modeled as a linear combination of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-01 Niklas Ahlgren , Alexander Back , Timo Teräsvirta

This paper introduces a Nearly Unstable INteger-valued AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (NU-INARCH) process for dealing with count time series data. It is proved that a proper normalization of the NU-INARCH process endowed with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-19 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Ngai Hang Chan

In this article, we develop a semiparametric Bayesian estimation and model selection approach for partially linear additive models in conditional quantile regression. The asymmetric Laplace distribution provides a mechanism for Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-11 Yuao Hu , Kaifeng Zhao , Heng Lian

In ordinary quantile regression, quantiles of different order are estimated one at a time. An alternative approach, which is referred to as quantile regression coefficients modeling (QRCM), is to model quantile regression coefficients as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Paolo Frumento , Matteo Bottai , Iván Fernández-Val

We propose a new framework for imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian nonparametric setting based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations. We derive a nonparametric model of monotonic functions that allows for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-26 Ivan Ustyuzhaninov , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell

Exponential stability and solution estimates are investigated for a delay system $$ \dot{x}(t) - A(t)\dot{x}(g(t))=\sum_{k=1}^m B_k(t)x(h_k(t)) $$ of a neutral type, where $A$ and $B_k$ are $n\times n$ bounded matrix functions, and $g, h_k$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Leonid Berezansky , Elena Braverman

We provide a simple explicit estimator for discretely observed Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models, prove rigorously consistency and asymptotic normality based on the single assumption that all moments of the stationary distribution of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Friedrich Hubalek , Petra Posedel

We propose to use the complex quantum dynamics of a massive particle in a non-quadratic potential to reconstruct an initial unknown motional quantum state. We theoretically show that the reconstruction can be efficiently done by measuring…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-12-11 Talitha Weiss , Oriol Romero-Isart

Stationarity is a very general, qualitative assumption, that can be assessed on the basis of application specifics. It is thus a rather attractive assumption to base statistical analysis on, especially for problems for which less general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Daniil Ryabko

This article proposes a novel Bayesian multivariate quantile regression to forecast the tail behavior of energy commodities, where the homoskedasticity assumption is relaxed to allow for time-varying volatility. In particular, we exploit…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-08 Matteo Iacopini , Francesco Ravazzolo , Luca Rossini

We consider estimation of quantile curves for a general class of nonstationary processes. Consistency and central limit results are obtained for local linear quantile estimates under a mild short-range dependence condition. Our results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Zhou Zhou , Wei Biao Wu

The paper focuses on the automatic selection of the grouped explanatory variables in an high-dimensional model, when the model errors are asymmetric. After introducing the model and notations, we define the adaptive group LASSO expectile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-14 Angelo Alcaraz , Gabriela Ciuperca

A new approach to summation of divergent field-theoretical series is suggested. It is based on the Borel transformation combined with a conformal mapping and does not imply the knowledge of the exact asymptotic parameters. The method is…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 A. I. Mudrov , K. B. Varnashev

This article investigates the Fokker-Planck equations that arise from the application of quantum stochastic calculus to the modelling of illiquid financial markets, using asymptotic methods. We present a power series solution for quantum…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-13 Will Hicks

A multi-factor extension of the Hobson and Rogers (HR) model, incorporating a quadratic variance function (QHR model), is proposed and analysed. The QHR model allows for greater flexibility in defining the moving average filter while…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-13 Paolo Foschi

In this paper, we propose an Adaptive Realized Hyperbolic GARCH (A-Realized HYGARCH) process to model the long memory of high-frequency time series with possible structural breaks. The structural change is modeled by allowing the intercept…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-03 El Hadji Mamadou Sall , El Hadji Deme , Abdou Kâ Diongue

This work investigates the effects of using the independent Jeffreys prior for the degrees of freedom parameter of a Student-t model in the asymmetric generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. To capture…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-04 T. C. O. Fonseca , V. S. Cerqueira , H. S. Migon , C. A. C. Torres

This paper considers the problem of estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with a general square integrable semimartingale noise. A model selection adaptive procedure is proposed. Sharp non-asymptotic oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-18 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We propose a continuous-time Markov-switching generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (COMS-GARCH) process for handling irregularly spaced time series (TS) with multiple volatilities states. We employ a Gibbs sampler in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Yinan Li , Fang Liu
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