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While anomaly detection in time series has been an active area of research for several years, most recent approaches employ an inadequate evaluation criterion leading to an inflated F1 score. We show that a rudimentary Random Guess method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Keval Doshi , Shatha Abudalou , Yasin Yilmaz

Seasonal-trend decomposition is one of the most fundamental concepts in time series analysis that supports various downstream tasks, including time series anomaly detection and forecasting. However, existing decomposition methods rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Xiao He , Ye Li , Jian Tan , Bin Wu , Feifei Li

One of the main features of interest in analysing the light curves of stars is the underlying periodic behaviour. The corresponding observations are a complex type of time series with unequally spaced time points and are sometimes…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-21 Efthymia Derezea , Alfred Kume , Dirk Froebrich

Procedures in assessing the impact of serial dependency on performance analysis are usually built on parametrically specified models. In this paper, we propose a robust, nonparametric approach to carry out this assessment, by computing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-22 Henry Lam

Verification of temporal logic properties plays a crucial role in proving the desired behaviors of hybrid systems. In this paper, we propose an interval method for verifying the properties described by a bounded linear temporal logic. We…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-15 Daisuke Ishii , Naoki Yonezaki , Alexandre Goldsztejn

Time-varying non-Euclidean random objects are playing a growing role in modern data analysis, and periodicity is a fundamental characteristic of time-varying data. However, quantifying periodicity in general non-Euclidean random objects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Jiazhen Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

As the complexity of production processes increases, the diversity of data types drives the development of network monitoring technology. This paper mainly focuses on an online algorithm to detect serially correlated directed networks…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Miaomiao Yu , Yuhao Zhou , Fugee Tsung

In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

Data is essential to performing time series analysis utilizing machine learning approaches, whether for classic models or today's large language models. A good time-series dataset is advantageous for the model's accuracy, robustness, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Chenxi Sun , Hongyan Li , Yaliang Li , Shenda Hong

Organizations leverage anomaly and changepoint detection algorithms to detect changes in user behavior or service availability and performance. Many off-the-shelf detection algorithms, though effective, cannot readily be used in large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Sourav Chatterjee , Rohan Bopardikar , Marius Guerard , Uttam Thakore , Xiaodong Jiang

Patterns that appear rarely or unusually in the data can be defined as outlier patterns. The basic idea behind detecting outlier patterns is comparison of their relative frequencies with frequent patterns. Their frequencies of appearance…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-07-08 Archana N. , S. S. Pawar

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

Time series anomaly detection is an important process for system monitoring and model switching, among other applications in cyber-physical systems. In this document, we present a fast subspace method for time series anomaly detection, with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-23 Fredy Vides , Esteban Segura , Carlos Vargas-Agüero

Causal inference on time series data is a challenging problem, especially in the presence of unobserved confounders. This work focuses on estimating the causal effect between two time series that are confounded by a third, unobserved time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-19 Felix Schur , Jonas Peters

In this paper, we present a new approach for analyzing gene expression data that builds on topological characteristics of time series. Our goal is to identify cell cycle regulated genes in micro array dataset. We construct a point cloud out…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-03 Saba Emrani , Hamid Krim

Anomaly detection in time-series has a wide range of practical applications. While numerous anomaly detection methods have been proposed in the literature, a recent survey concluded that no single method is the most accurate across various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Mononito Goswami , Cristian Challu , Laurent Callot , Lenon Minorics , Andrey Kan

The problem of detecting anomalies in multiple processes is considered. We consider a composite hypothesis case, in which the measurements drawn when observing a process follow a common distribution with an unknown parameter (vector), whose…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Bar Hemo , Tomer Gafni , Kobi Cohen , Qing Zhao

Conformal prediction offers a practical framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees under relatively mild assumptions on data exchangeability. However, these assumptions cease to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Derck W. E. Prinzhorn , Thijmen Nijdam , Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans

In this work, we introduce metrics to evaluate the use of simplified time series in the context of interpretability of a TSC -- a Time Series Classifier. Such simplifications are important because time series data, in contrast to text and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Brigt Håvardstun , Felix Marti-Perez , Cèsar Ferri , Jan Arne Telle

In this study, we present a novel constraint-based algorithm for causal structure learning specifically designed for nonlinear autoregressive time series. Our algorithm significantly reduces computational complexity compared to existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Mohammad Fesanghary , Achintya Gopal