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The way that people make choices or exhibit preferences can be strongly affected by the set of available alternatives, often called the choice set. Furthermore, there are usually heterogeneous preferences, either at an individual level…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Kiran Tomlinson , Austin R. Benson

We study the impacts of incomplete information on centralized one-to-one matching markets. We focus on the commonly used Deferred Acceptance mechanism (Gale and Shapley, 1962). We show that many complete-information results are fragile to a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-07-12 Marcelo Ariel Fernandez , Kirill Rudov , Leeat Yariv

We study the utilitarian distortion of social choice mechanisms under the recently proposed learning-augmented framework where some (possibly unreliable) predicted information about the preferences of the agents is given as input. In…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Georgios Kalantzis , Alexandros A. Voudouris

In a dynamic matching market, such as a marriage or job market, how should agents balance accepting a proposed match with the cost of continuing their search? We consider this problem in a discrete setting, in which agents have cardinal…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Ishan Agarwal , Richard Cole , Yixin Tao

We study two-player constant-sum Bayesian games with type-independent payoffs. Under a "completeness" statistical condition, any "identifiable'" equilibrium is an ex-post equilibrium. We apply this result to a Downsian election in which…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-22 Navin Kartik , Francesco Squintani , Katrin Tinn

Estimating discrete games of complete information is often computationally difficult due to partial identification and the absence of closed-form moment characterizations. This paper proposes computationally tractable approaches to…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-02 Paul S. Koh

In recent studies of political decision-making, apparently anomalous behavior has been observed on the part of voters, in which negative information about a candidate strengthens, rather than weakens, a prior positive opinion about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-12 William W. Cohen , David P. Redlawsk , Douglas Pierce

The methodology discussed in this paper aims to enhance choice models' comprehensiveness and explanatory power for forecasting choice outcomes. To achieve these, we have developed a data-driven method that leverages machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-02 Amir Ghorbani , Neema Nassir , Patricia Sauri Lavieri , Prithvi Bhat Beeramoole

To what extent can an external observer observing an equilibrium action distribution in an incomplete information game infer the underlying information structure? We investigate this issue in a general linear-quadratic-Gaussian framework. A…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-19 Masaki Miyashita

Modeling the interaction between traffic agents is a key issue in designing safe and non-conservative maneuvers in autonomous driving. This problem can be challenging when multi-modality and behavioral uncertainties are engaged. Existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Zhenmin Huang , Tong Li , Shaojie Shen , Jun Ma

We study the problem of {\em impartial selection}, a topic that lies at the intersection of computational social choice and mechanism design. The goal is to select the most popular individual among a set of community members. The input can…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Ioannis Caragiannis , George Christodoulou , Nicos Protopapas

This paper examines strategic trading under incomplete information, where firms lack full knowledge of key aspects of their competitors' trading strategies such as target sizes and market impact models. We extend previous work on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Neil A. Chriss

We investigate Bayesian predictive inference for finite population quantities when there are unequal probabilities of selection. Only limited information about the sample design is available; i.e., only the first-order selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Junheng Ma , Joe Sedransk , Balgobin Nandram , Lu Chen

In imperfect-information games, agents must make decisions based on partial knowledge of the game state. The Belief Stochastic Game model addresses this challenge by delegating state estimation to the game model itself. This allows agents…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Achille Morenville , Éric Piette

Machine learning algorithms are increasingly used for consequential decision making regarding individuals based on their relevant features. Features that are relevant for accurate decisions may however lead to either explicit or implicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Sajad Khodadadian , Mohamed Nafea , AmirEmad Ghassami , Negar Kiyavash

We consider in discrete time, a general class of sequential stochastic dynamic games with asymmetric information with the following features. The underlying system has Markovian dynamics controlled by the agents' joint actions. Each agent's…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Yi Ouyang , Hamidreza Tavafoghi , Demosthenis Teneketzis

We study a model of games that combines concurrency, imperfect information and stochastic aspects. Those are finite states games in which, at each round, the two players choose, simultaneously and independently, an action. Then a successor…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2011-08-31 Vincent Gripon , Olivier Serre

We study the value and the optimal strategies for a two-player zero-sum optimal stopping game with incomplete and asymmetric information. In our Bayesian set-up, the drift of the underlying diffusion process is unknown to one player…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Tiziano De Angelis , Erik Ekström , Kristoffer Glover

A researcher observes a finite sequence of choices made by multiple agents in a binary-state environment. Agents maximize expected utilities that depend on their chosen alternative and the unknown underlying state. Agents learn about the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-11 Rahul Deb , Ludovic Renou

Perceptions of political bias in the media are formed directly, through the independent consumption of the published outputs of a media organization, and indirectly, through observing the collective responses of political allies and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-28 Nicholas Kah Yean Low , Andrew Melatos