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We study the contact process on a dynamic random~$d$-regular graph with an edge-switching mechanism, as well as an interacting particle system that arises from the local description of this process, called the herds process. Both these…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-02 Bruno Schapira , Daniel Valesin

In the multitype contact process, vertices of a graph can be empty or occupied by a type 1 or a type 2 individual; an individual of type $i$ dies with rate 1 and sends a descendant to a neighboring empty site with rate $\lambda_i$. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Thomas Mountford , Pedro Luis Barrios Pantoja , Daniel Valesin

We are interested in the spread of an epidemic between two communities that have higher connectivity within than between them. We model the two communities as independent Erdos-Renyi random graphs, each with n vertices and edge probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-15 David Sivakoff

In a famous paper, Bezuidenhout and Grimmett demonstrated that the contact process dies out at the critical point.Their proof technique has often been used to study the growth of population patterns. The present text is intended as an…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Olivier Garet

This paper is concerned with a natural variant of the contact process modeling the spread of knowledge on the integer lattice. Each site is characterized by its knowledge, measured by a real number ranging from 0 = ignorant to 1 =…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer , Hyunsik Yun

We consider an interacting particle system on trees known as the frog model: initially, a single active particle begins at the root and i.i.d.~$\mathrm{Poiss}(\lambda)$ many inactive particles are placed at each non-root vertex. Active…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-24 Marcus Michelen , Josh Rosenberg

We consider the contact process on finite and connected graphs and study the behavior of the extinction time, that is, the amount of time that it takes for the infection to disappear in the process started from full occupancy. We prove,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Bruno Schapira , Daniel Valesin

We study the contact process on the configuration model with a power law degree distribution, when the exponent is smaller than or equal to two. We prove that the extinction time grows exponentially fast with the size of the graph and prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-20 Van Hao Can , Bruno Schapira

We consider a random process on recursive trees, with three types of events. Vertices give birth at a constant rate (growth), each edge may be removed independently (fragmentation of the tree) and clusters (or trees) are frozen with a rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Vincent Bansaye , Chenlin Gu , Linglong Yuan

We study the contact process on a class of evolving scale-free networks, where each node updates its connections at independent random times. We give a rigorous mathematical proof that there is a transition between a phase where for all…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Emmanuel Jacob , Peter Mörters

Distinguishing between continuous and first-order phase transitions is a major challenge in random discrete systems. We study the topic for events with recursive structure on Galton-Watson trees. For example, let $\mathcal{T}_1$ be the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-05 Tobias Johnson

This paper studies contact processes on general countable groups. It is shown that any such contact process has a well-defined exponential growth rate, and this quantity is used to study the process. In particular, it is proved that on any…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-28 Jan M. Swart

In this paper we are concerned with the contact process on the squared lattice. The contact process intuitively describes the spread of the infectious disease on a graph, where an infectious vertex becomes healthy at a constant rate while a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Xiaofeng Xue

Branching processes in a random environment are natural generalisations of Galton-Watson processes. In this paper we analyse the asymptotic decay of the survival probability for a sequence of slightly supercritical branching processes in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Florin Boenkost , Götz Kersting

We refine previous results concerning the Renewal Contact Processes. We significantly widen the family of distributions for the interarrival times for which the critical value can be shown to be strictly positive. The result now holds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Luiz Renato Fontes , Thomas S. Mountford , Daniel Ungaretti , Maria Eulália Vares

We study the threshold $\theta$ contact process on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with infection parameter $\lambda$. We show that the critical point $\lambda_{\mathrm{c}}$, defined as the threshold for survival starting from every site occupied, vanishes…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-31 Thomas Mountford , Roberto H. Schonmann

We study a contact process (CP) with two species that interact in a symbiotic manner. In our model, each site of a lattice may be vacant or host individuals of species A and/or B; multiple occupancy by the same species is prohibited.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-05-29 Marcelo Martins de Oliveira , Renato Vieira Dos Santos , Ronald Dickman

The shapes of branching trees have been linked to disease transmission patterns. In this paper we use the general Crump-Mode-Jagers branching process to model an outbreak of an infectious disease under mild assumptions. Introducing a new…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-13 Giacomo Plazzotta , Caroline Colijn

Crump-Mode-Jagers (CMJ) trees generalize Galton-Watson trees by allowing individuals to live for an arbitrary duration and give birth at arbitrary times during their life-time. In this paper, we are interested in the height and contour…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-28 Emmanuel Schertzer , Florian Simatos

In this paper, we study the time required for a {\lambda}-biased ({\lambda}>1) walk to visit all the vertices of a supercritical Galton-Watson tree up to generation n. Inspired by the extremal landscape approach in [Cortines, Louidor,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Tianyi Bai