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We give a mathematical framework for Exact Milestoning, a recently introduced algorithm for mapping a continuous time stochastic process into a Markov chain or semi-Markov process that can be efficiently simulated and analyzed. We…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-12-09 David Aristoff , Juan M. Bello-Rivas , Ron Elber

Many probabilistic inference problems such as stochastic filtering or the computation of rare event probabilities require model analysis under initial and terminal constraints. We propose a solution to this bridging problem for the widely…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-28 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

We develop novel numerical methods and perturbation approaches to determine the mean first passage time (MFPT) for a Brownian particle to be captured by either small stationary or mobile traps inside a bounded 2-D confining domain. Of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-20 Sarafa Iyaniwura , Tony Wong , Michael J. Ward , Colin B. Macdonald

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

In this paper, we present a numerical framework for constructing bounds on stationary performance measures of random walks in the positive orthant using the Markov reward approach. These bounds are established in terms of stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

Markov processes are widely used models for investigating kinetic networks. Here we collate and present a variety of results pertaining to kinetic network models, in a unified framework. The aim is to lay out explicit links between several…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Adam Kells , Edina Rosta , Alessia Annibale

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

The presence of temporal correlations in random movement trajectories is a widespread phenomenon across biological, chemical and physical systems. The ubiquity of persistent and anti-persistent motion in many natural and synthetic systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-03 Daniel Marris , Luca Giuggioli

The influence of a time-periodic forcing on stochastic processes can essentially be emphasized in the large time behaviour of their paths. The statistics of transition in a simple Markov chain model permits to quantify this influence. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Samuel Herrmann , Damien Landon

In this paper we address the problem of the calculation of the mean first passage time (MFPT) on generic graphs. We focus in particular on the mean first passage time on a node 's' for a random walker starting from a generic, unknown, node…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrea Baronchelli , Vittorio Loreto

In a series of recent works, Boyd, Diaconis, and their co-authors have introduced a semidefinite programming approach for computing the fastest mixing Markov chain on a graph of allowed transitions, given a target stationary distribution.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-07 S. Roch

In this paper, we consider the problem of mean first-passage time (MFPT) in quantum mechanics; the MFPT is the average time of the transition from a given initial state, passing through some intermediate states, to a given final state for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Rong-Tao Qiu , Wu-Sheng Dai , Mi Xie

Biochemical processes in cells are governed by complex networks of many chemical species interacting stochastically in diverse ways and on different time scales. Constructing microscopically accurate models of such networks is often…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-09 Catalina Rivera , David Hofmann , Ilya Nemenman

The spatial symmetry property of truncated birth-death processes studied in Di Crescenzo [6] is extended to a wider family of continuous-time Markov chains. We show that it yields simple expressions for first-passage-time densities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Annapatrizia Nastro

This paper analyzes a method to approximate the first passage time probability density function which turns to be particularly useful if only sample data are available. The method relies on a Laguerre-Gamma polynomial approximation and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Elvira Di Nardo , Giuseppe D'Onofrio , Tommaso Martini

The first passage is a generic concept for quantifying when a random quantity such as the position of a diffusing molecule or the value of a stock crosses a preset threshold (target) for the first time. The last decade saw an enlightening…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-26 Aljaz Godec , Ralf Metzler

One of the major challenges in neuroscience is to determine how noise that is present at the molecular and cellular levels affects dynamics and information processing at the macroscopic level of synaptically coupled neuronal populations.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2014-06-12 Paul C. Bressloff , Jay M. Newby

Graphs are commonly used to model various complex systems, including social networks, power grids, transportation networks, and biological systems. In many applications, the connectivity of these networks can be expressed through the Mean…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Christian P. C. Franssen , Alessandro Zocca , Bernd F. Heidergott

A new mechanism for efficiently solving the Markov decision processes (MDPs) is proposed in this paper. We introduce the notion of reachability landscape where we use the Mean First Passage Time (MFPT) as a means to characterize the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-10 Shoubhik Debnath , Lantao Liu , Gaurav Sukhatme

In this paper, we are interested in investigating the perturbation bounds for the stationary distributions for discrete-time or continuous-time Markov chains on a countable state space. For discrete-time Markov chains, two new norm-wise…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-27 Yuanyuan Liu
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