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Taking agent-based models (ABM) closer to the data is an open challenge. This paper explicitly tackles parameter space exploration and calibration of ABMs combining supervised machine-learning and intelligent sampling to build a surrogate…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-07 Francesco Lamperti , Andrea Roventini , Amir Sani

Stochastic simulators are ubiquitous in many fields of applied sciences and engineering. In the context of uncertainty quantification and optimization, a large number of simulations is usually necessary, which becomes intractable for…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-09 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Inverse modeling for computing a high-dimensional spatially-varying property field from indirect sparse and noisy observations is a challenging problem. This is due to the complex physical system of interest often expressed in the form of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-02-22 Govinda Anantha Padmanabha , Nicholas Zabaras

Surrogate testing techniques have been used widely to investigate the presence of dynamical nonlinearities, an essential ingredient of deterministic chaotic processes. Traditional surrogate testing subscribes to statistical hypothesis…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-18 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

Prediction+optimization is a common real-world paradigm where we have to predict problem parameters before solving the optimization problem. However, the criteria by which the prediction model is trained are often inconsistent with the goal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Kai Yan , Jie Yan , Chuan Luo , Liting Chen , Qingwei Lin , Dongmei Zhang

Characterizing the interior structure of exoplanets is an inverse problem often solved using Bayesian inference, but this approach is hampered by the high computational cost of planetary structure models. To overcome this barrier, we…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-22 Tijn De Wringer , Caroline Dorn , Emily O. Garvin , Stefano Marelli

Numerical simulations in climate, chemistry, or astrophysics are computationally too expensive for uncertainty quantification or parameter-exploration at high-resolution. Reduced-order or surrogate models are multiple orders of magnitude…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Björn Lütjens , Catherine H. Crawford , Campbell D Watson , Christopher Hill , Dava Newman

Solving optimization problems with unknown parameters often requires learning a predictive model to predict the values of the unknown parameters and then solving the problem using these values. Recent work has shown that including the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Kai Wang , Bryan Wilder , Andrew Perrault , Milind Tambe

Due to limited computational power, performing uncertainty quantification analyses with complex computational models can be a challenging task. This is exacerbated in the context of stochastic simulators, the response of which to a given…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-21 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

The present paper proposes a Bayesian framework for inverse problems that seamlessly integrates optimization and inversion to enable rapid surrogate modeling, accurate parameter inference, and rigorous uncertainty quantification. Bayesian…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Mihaela Chiappetta , Massimo Carraturo , Alexander Raßloff , Markus Kästner , Ferdinando Auricchio

Bayesian optimization is a highly efficient approach to optimizing objective functions which are expensive to query. These objectives are typically represented by Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models which are easy to optimize and support…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Yucen Lily Li , Tim G. J. Rudner , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We investigate optimal order execution problems in discrete time with instantaneous price impact and stochastic resilience. First, in the setting of linear transient price impact we derive a closed-form recursion for the optimal strategy,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-31 Tao Chen , Mike Ludkovski , Moritz Voß

Meta-materials are an important emerging class of engineered materials in which complex macroscopic behaviour--whether electromagnetic, thermal, or mechanical--arises from modular substructure. Simulation and optimization of these materials…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-18 Alex Beatson , Jordan T. Ash , Geoffrey Roeder , Tianju Xue , Ryan P. Adams

Bayesian inference typically relies on a large number of model evaluations to estimate posterior distributions. Established methods like Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) can become computationally…

We propose a framework for surrogate modelling of spiking systems. These systems are often described by stiff differential equations with high-amplitude oscillations and multi-timescale dynamics, making surrogate models an attractive tool…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-08 Miguel Aguiar , Amritam Das , Karl H. Johansson

Simulations of optical quantum systems are essential for the development of quantum technologies. However, these simulations are often computationally intensive, especially when repeated evaluations are required for data fitting, parameter…

Predicting the behavior of complex systems in engineering often involves significant uncertainty about operating conditions, such as external loads, environmental effects, and manufacturing variability. As a result, uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-17 S. Marelli , S. Schär , B. Sudret

Biophysical neural system simulations are among the most computationally demanding scientific applications, and their optimization requires navigating high-dimensional parameter spaces under numerous constraints that impose a binary…

Neural networks for LHC physics have to be accurate, reliable, and controlled. Using neural surrogates for the prediction of loop amplitudes as a use case, we first show how activation functions are systematically tested with…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-10-28 Henning Bahl , Nina Elmer , Luigi Favaro , Manuel Haußmann , Tilman Plehn , Ramon Winterhalder

We propose a new approach for building recommender systems by adapting surrogate-assisted interactive genetic algorithms. A pool of user-evaluated items is used to construct an approximative model which serves as a surrogate fitness…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Thomas Gabor , Philipp Altmann
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