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Gravitational waveform templates are a key ingredient for the detection and characterization of gravitational waves emitted by compact binary mergers in the universe. These templates must be physically accurate and extensive, but also…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-04-17 Christopher Whittall , Geraint Pratten

We propose a method for obtaining statistically guaranteed prediction sets for functional machine learning methods: surrogate models which map between function spaces, motivated by the need to build reliable PDE emulators. The method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Ander Gray , Vignesh Gopakumar , Sylvain Rousseau , Sébastien Destercke

Surrogate models driven by sizeable datasets and scientific machine-learning methods have emerged as an attractive microstructure simulation tool with the potential to deliver predictive microstructure evolution dynamics with huge savings…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-01-22 Shaoxun Fan , Andrew L. Hitt , Ming Tang , Babak Sadigh , Fei Zhou

Modern approaches for simulation-based inference rely upon deep learning surrogates to enable approximate inference with computer simulators. In practice, the estimated posteriors' computational faithfulness is, however, rarely guaranteed.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-30 Arnaud Delaunoy , Joeri Hermans , François Rozet , Antoine Wehenkel , Gilles Louppe

Improving predictive understanding of Earth system variability and change requires data-model integration. Efficient data-model integration for complex models requires surrogate modeling to reduce model evaluation time. However, building a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-17 Dan Lu , Daniel Ricciuto

We develop a systematic approach for surrogate model construction in reduced input parameter spaces. A sparse set of model evaluations in the original input space is used to approximate derivative based global sensitivity measures (DGSMs)…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-19 Manav Vohra , Alen Alexanderian , Cosmin Safta , Sankaran Mahadevan

High-Performance Computing (HPC) schedulers must balance user performance with facility-wide resource constraints. The task boils down to selecting the optimal number of nodes for a given job. We present a surrogate-assisted multi-objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Ashna Nawar Ahmed , Banooqa Banday , Terry Jones , Tanzima Z. Islam

Offline design optimization problem arises in numerous science and engineering applications including material and chemical design, where expensive online experimentation necessitates the use of in silico surrogate functions to predict and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Minh Hoang , Azza Fadhel , Aryan Deshwal , Janardhan Rao Doppa , Trong Nghia Hoang

Simulators based on neural networks offer a path to orders-of-magnitude faster electromagnetic wave simulations. Existing models, however, only address narrowly tailored classes of problems and only scale to systems of a few dozen degrees…

Optics · Physics 2024-04-02 Charles Dove , Jatearoon Boondicharern , Laura Waller

A surrogate model approximates the outputs of a solver of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) with a low computational cost. In this article, we propose a method to build learning-based surrogates in the context of parameterized PDEs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Alejandro Ribés , Nawfal Benchekroun , Théo Delagnes

AI-assisted molecular optimization is a very active research field as it is expected to provide the next-generation drugs and molecular materials. An important difficulty is that the properties to be optimized rely on costly evaluations.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Jules Leguy , Thomas Cauchy , Beatrice Duval , Benoit Da Mota

Neural estimators are simulation-based estimators for the parameters of a family of statistical models, which build a direct mapping from the sample to the parameter vector. They benefit from the versatility of available network…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-24 Almut Rödder , Manuel Hentschel , Sebastian Engelke

Most real-world optimization problems are difficult to solve with traditional statistical techniques or with metaheuristics. The main difficulty is related to the existence of a considerable number of local optima, which may result in the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Gloria Pietropolli , Giuliamaria Menara , Mauro Castelli

Emulating high-accuracy computationally expensive models is crucial for tasks requiring numerous model evaluations, such as uncertainty quantification and optimization. When lower-fidelity models are available, they can be used to improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Katerina Giannoukou , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Systematic exploration of Agent-Based Models (ABMs) is challenged by the curse of dimensionality and their inherent stochasticity. We present a multi-stage pipeline integrating the systematic design of experiments with machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Paul Saves , Matthieu Mastio , Nicolas Verstaevel , Benoit Gaudou

Bayesian Optimization is a popular tool for tuning algorithms in automatic machine learning (AutoML) systems. Current state-of-the-art methods leverage Random Forests or Gaussian processes to build a surrogate model that predicts algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Jeroen van Hoof , Joaquin Vanschoren

While Bayesian inference is the gold standard for uncertainty quantification and propagation, its use within physical chemistry encounters formidable computational barriers. These bottlenecks are magnified for modeling data with many…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 B. L. Shanks , H. W. Sullivan , A. R. Shazed , M. P. Hoepfner

Neural surrogates promise large speedups over classical solvers for physical dynamics but fail silently at sharp dynamical events such as shocks, fronts, and contact. We present hybrid neural world models for physical dynamics: a recipe for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Pranav Lakshmanan , Paras Chopra

Epidemic models are powerful tools in understanding infectious disease. However, as they increase in size and complexity, they can quickly become computationally intractable. Recent progress in modelling methodology has shown that surrogate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Giovanni Charles , Timothy M. Wolock , Peter Winskill , Azra Ghani , Samir Bhatt , Seth Flaxman

Large-scale numerical simulations are used across many scientific disciplines to facilitate experimental development and provide insights into underlying physical processes, but they come with a significant computational cost. Deep neural…

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