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In a wide variety of situations, anomalies in the behaviour of a complex system, whose health is monitored through the observation of a random vector X = (X1,. .. , X d) valued in R d , correspond to the simultaneous occurrence of extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-18 Maël Chiapino , Stéphan Clémençon , Vincent Feuillard , Anne Sabourin

Complex network theory crucially depends on the assumptions made about the degree distribution, while fitting degree distributions to network data is challenging, in particular for scale-free networks with power-law degrees. We present a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-28 Judith Brugman , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden , Clara Stegehuis

The extremal index parameter theta characterizes the degree of local dependence in the extremes of a stationary time series and has important applications in a number of areas, such as hydrology, telecommunications, finance and…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-25 Kamal Hamidieh , Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis

We consider strictly stationary heavy tailed time series whose finite-dimensional exponent measures are concentrated on axes, and hence their extremal properties cannot be tackled using classical multivariate regular variation that is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-10 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

Extreme events are a major concern in statistical modeling. Ran\-dom missing data can constitute a problem when modeling such rare events. Imputation is crucial in these situations and therefore models that describe different imputation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-10 Helena Ferreira , Ana Paula Martins , Maria da Graça Temido

In a stationary ergodic process, clustering is defined as the tendency of events to appear in series of increased frequency separated by longer breaks. Such behavior, contradicting the theoretical "unbiased behavior" with exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Tomasz Downarowicz , Yves Lacroix , Didier Léandri

The regular variation model for multivariate extremes decomposes the joint distribution of the extremes in polar coordinates in terms of the angles and the norm of the random vector as the product of two independent densities: the angular…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Fernández-Durán , J. J. , Gregorio-Domínguez , M. M

The problem of change-point estimation is considered under a general framework where the data are generated by unknown stationary ergodic process distributions. In this context, the consistent estimation of the number of change-points is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-15 Azaden Khaleghi , Daniil Ryabko

It is often of interest to perform clustering on longitudinal data, yet it is difficult to formulate an intuitive model for which estimation is computationally feasible. We propose a model-based clustering method for clustering objects that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Daniel K. Sewell , Yuguo Chen , William Bernhard , Tracy Sulkin

We study a one-dimensional chain of harmonically coupled units in an asymmetric anharmonic soft potential. Due to nonlinear localisation of energy, this system exhibits extreme events in the sense that individual elements of the chain show…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-12-28 Colm Mulhern , Stephan Bialonski , Holger Kantz

The conditional extremes (CE) framework has proven useful for analysing the joint tail behaviour of random vectors. However, when applied across many locations or variables, it can be difficult to interpret or compare the resulting extremal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-24 Patrick O'Toole , Christian Rohrbeck , Jordan Richards

Stationarity is a very general, qualitative assumption, that can be assessed on the basis of application specifics. It is thus a rather attractive assumption to base statistical analysis on, especially for problems for which less general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Daniil Ryabko

We study the extremes for a class of a symmetric stable random fields with long range dependence. We prove functional extremal theorems both in the space of sup measures and in the space of cadlag functions of several variables. The limits…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Zaoli Chen , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Cluster indices describe extremal behaviour of stationary time series. We consider their sliding blocks estimators. Using a modern theory of multivariate, regularly varying time series, we obtain central limit theorems under conditions that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Youssouph Cissokho , Rafal Kulik

Modeling univariate block maxima by the generalized extreme value distribution constitutes one of the most widely applied approaches in extreme value statistics. It has recently been found that, for an underlying stationary time series,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-01 Axel Bücher , Leandra Zanger

The maxima and the minima of a randomly stopped sample of a random variable, $X$, together with two newly defined random variables that make $X$ into the maxima or minima of a randomly stopped sample of them, can be used to define…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Jordi Valero , Josep Ginebra

The statistics of records in sequences of independent, identically distributed random variables is a classic subject of study. One of the earliest results concerns the stochastic independence of record events. Recently, records statistics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-26 Gregor Wergen , Jasper Franke , Joachim Krug

Extremal graphical models are sparse statistical models for multivariate extreme events. The underlying graph encodes conditional independencies and enables a visual interpretation of the complex extremal dependence structure. For the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-18 Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

We provide a complete asymptotic distribution theory for clustered data with a large number of independent groups, generalizing the classic laws of large numbers, uniform laws, central limit theory, and clustered covariance matrix…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Bruce E. Hansen , Seojeong Lee

The study of concomitants has recently met a renewed interest due to its applications in selection procedures. For instance, concomitants are used in ranked-set sampling, to achieve efficiency and reduce cost when compared to the simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Amir Khorrami Chokami , Marie Kratz