Related papers: Extremal clustering in non-stationary random seque…
The accurate estimation of scaling exponents is central in the observational study of scale-invariant phenomena. Natural systems unavoidably provide observations over restricted intervals; consequently a stationary stochastic process (time…
The sum of independent, but not necessary identically distributed, exponential random variables follows hypoexponential distribution. We focus on a particular case when all, but one rate parameters of the exponential variables are…
The statistical modelling of spatial extremes has recently made major advances. Much of its focus so far has been on the modelling of the magnitudes of extreme events but little attention has been paid on the timing of extremes. To address…
The occurrence of extreme events like heavy precipitation or storms at a certain location often shows a clustering behaviour and is thus not described well by a Poisson process. We construct a general model for the inter-exceedance times in…
In this paper we consider a heavy-tailed stochastic volatility model, $X_t=\sigma_tZ_t$, $t\in\mathbb{Z}$, where the volatility sequence $(\sigma_t)$ and the i.i.d. noise sequence $(Z_t)$ are assumed independent, $(\sigma_t)$ is regularly…
Extreme value analysis is an essential methodology in the study of rare and extreme events, which hold significant interest in various fields, particularly in the context of environmental sciences. Models that employ the exceedances of…
Recursive max-linear vectors model causal dependence between its components by expressing each node variable as a max-linear function of its parental nodes in a directed acyclic graph and some exogenous innovation. Motivated by extreme…
In this paper, we provide a central limit theorem for the finite-dimensional marginal distributions of empirical processes $(Z_n(f))_{f\in\mathcal{F}}$ whose index set $\mathcal{F}$ is a family of cluster functionals valued on blocks of…
The analysis of seasonal or annual block maxima is of interest in fields such as hydrology, climatology or meteorology. In connection with the celebrated method of block maxima, we study several tests that can be used to assess whether the…
The extremal index is a quantity introduced in extreme value theory to measure the presence of clusters of exceedances. In the dynamical systems framework, it provides important information about the dynamics of the underlying systems. In…
The key to successful statistical analysis of bivariate extreme events lies in flexible modelling of the tail dependence relationship between the two variables. In the extreme value theory literature, various techniques are available to…
We examine the stationary distribution of random walks on directed graphs. In particular, we focus on the {\em principal ratio}, which is the ratio of maximum to minimum values of vertices in the stationary distribution. We give an upper…
Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…
The sums and maxima of weighted non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraints are that there exists a unique…
We propose a new class of models for variable clustering called Asymptotic Independent block (AI-block) models, which defines population-level clusters based on the independence of the maxima of a multivariate stationary mixing random…
We study the clustering problem for mixtures of bounded covariance distributions, under a fine-grained separation assumption. Specifically, given samples from a $k$-component mixture distribution $D = \sum_{i =1}^k w_i P_i$, where each $w_i…
Extreme precipitation shows non-stationary behavior over time, but also with respect to other large-scale variables. While this effect is often neglected, we propose a model including the influence of North Atlantic Oscillation, time,…
This note is concerned with weakly interacting stochastic particle systems with possibly singular pairwise interactions. In this setting, we observe a connection between entropic propagation of chaos and exponential concentration bounds for…
In this paper we study precise large deviations for the partial sums of a stationary sequence with a subexponential marginal distribution. Our main focus is on distributions which either have a regularly varying or a lognormal-type tail. We…
In the regularly varying time series setting, a cluster of exceedances is a short period for which the supremum norm exceeds a high threshold. We propose to study a generalization of this notion considering short periods, or blocks, with…