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The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins

We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

We consider the clustering of extremes for stationary regularly varying random fields over arbitrary growing index sets. We study sufficient assumptions on the index set such that the limit of the point random fields of the exceedances…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Riccardo Passeggeri , Olivier Wintenberger

We consider a stationary random field indexed by an increasing sequence of subsets of $\mathbb{Z}^d$ obeying a very broad geometrical assumption on how the sequence expands. Under certain mixing and local conditions, we show how the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Anders Rønn-Nielsen , Mads Stehr

In this paper, we investigate temporal clusters of extremes defined as subsequent exceedances of high thresholds in a stationary time series. Two meaningful features of these clusters are the probability distribution of the cluster size and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Marco Oesting , Alexander Schnurr

The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Betina Berghaus , Axel Bücher

We propose a spectral clustering algorithm for analyzing the dependence structure of multivariate extremes. More specifically, we focus on the asymptotic dependence of multivariate extremes characterized by the angular or spectral measure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-02 Marco Avella Medina , Richard A. Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

The goal of this paper is two-fold: 1. We review classical and recent measures of serial extremal dependence in a strictly stationary time series as well as their estimation. 2. We discuss recent concepts of heavy-tailed time series,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao

Any limiting point process for the time normalized exceedances of high levels by a stationary sequence is necessarily compound Poisson under appropriate long range dependence conditions. Typically exceedances appear in clusters. The…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-03 Christian Y. Robert

We explore the dependence structure in the sampled sequence of large networks. We consider randomized algorithms to sample the nodes and study extremal properties in any associated stationary sequence of characteristics of interest like…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-25 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Natalia M. Markovich , Jithin K. Sreedharan

We generalize the concept of extremal index of a stationary random sequence to the series scheme of identically distributed random variables with random series sizes tending to infinity in probability. We introduce new extremal indices…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Alexey V. Lebedev

We re-consider Leadbetter's extremal index for stationary sequences. It has interpretation as reciprocal of the expected size of an extremal cluster above high thresholds. We focus on heavy-tailed time series, in particular on regularly…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-10 Gloria Buriticá , Meyer Nicolas , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

A measure of primal importance for capturing the serial dependence of a stationary time series at extreme levels is provided by the limiting cluster size distribution. New estimators based on a blocks declustering scheme are proposed and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-11 Axel Bücher , Tobias Jennessen

In this paper, we investigated the effect on extreme of random replacing for a stationary sequence satisfying a type of long dependent condition and a local dependent condition, and derived the joint asymptotic distribution of maximum from…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Yuwei Li , Zhongquan Tan

The multivariate extremal index function relates the asymptotic distribution of the vector of pointwise maxima of a multivariate stationary sequence to that of the independent sequence from the same stationary distribution. It also measures…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-14 Christian Y. Robert

Both marginal and dependence features must be described when modelling the extremes of a stationary time series. There are standard approaches to marginal modelling, but long- and short-range dependence of extremes may both appear. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-17 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

We give necessary and sufficient conditions for two sub-vectors of a random vector with a multivariate extreme value distribution, corresponding to the limit distribution of the maximum of a multidimensional stationary sequence with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-09 Clara Viseu , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins , Helena Ferreira

We study clustering of the extremes in a stationary sequence with subexponential tails in the maximum domain of attraction of the Gumbel We obtain functional limit theorems in the space of random sup-measures and in the space $D(0,\infty)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Zaoli Chen , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Extremes occur in stationary regularly varying time series as short periods with several large observations, known as extremal blocks. We study cluster statistics summarizing the behavior of functions acting on these extremal blocks.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Gloria Buriticá , Olivier Wintenberger

The impact of an extreme climate event depends strongly on its geographical scale. Max-stable processes can be used for the statistical investigation of climate extremes and their spatial dependencies on a continuous area. Most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Justus Contzen , Thorsten Dickhaus , Gerrit Lohmann
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