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We present a novel framework for spatiotemporal photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting and use it to evaluate the reliability, sharpness, and overall performance of seven intraday PV power nowcasting models. The model suite includes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Luca Lanzilao , Angela Meyer

Wind energy is a widely distributed, renewable, and environmentally friendly energy source that plays a crucial role in mitigating global warming and addressing energy shortages. Nevertheless, wind power generation is characterized by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Meiyu Jiang , Jun Shen , Xuetao Jiang , Lihui Luo , Rui Zhou , Qingguo Zhou

Accurate load forecasting is critical for reliable and efficient planning and operation of electric power grids. In this paper, we propose a unifying deep learning framework for load forecasting, which includes time-varying feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Jing Xiong , Yu Zhang

Rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) power generator is a widely used distributed energy resource (DER) in distribution systems. Currently, the majority of PVs are installed behind-the-meter (BTM), where only customers' net demand is recorded by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-31 Fankun Bu , Kaveh Dehghanpour , Yuxuan Yuan , Zhaoyu Wang , Yingchen Zhang

Photovoltaics (PV) are widely used to harvest solar energy, an important form of renewable energy. Photovoltaic arrays consist of multiple solar panels constructed from solar cells. Solar cells in the field are vulnerable to various…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-13 Xinyi Song , Kennedy Odongo , Francis G. Pascual , Yili Hong

Accurate forecasting of renewable generation is crucial to facilitate the integration of Renewable Energy Sources into the power system. Focusing on photovoltaic (PV) units, forecasting methods can be divided into two main categories:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Matteo Tortora , Francesco Conte , Gianluca Natrella , Paolo Soda

Accurate time series forecasting is critical for a wide range of problems with temporal data. Ensemble modeling is a well-established technique for leveraging multiple predictive models to increase accuracy and robustness, as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Dimitris Bertsimas , Leonard Boussioux

We consider the problem of estimating the unobserved amount of photovoltaic (PV) generation and demand in a power distribution network starting from measurements of the aggregated power flow at the point of common coupling (PCC) and local…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-16 Fabrizio Sossan , Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici , Mario Paolone

Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is an important variable for forecasting severe weather and understanding deep convection and precipitation. The latest versions of the Global Forecast System (GFS) and related Global Ensemble…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness , Arthur DeGaetano

Accurate load forecasting is essential to the operation of modern electric power systems. Given the sensitivity of electricity demand to weather variability and temporal dynamics, capturing non-linear patterns is essential for long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Abhiram Bhupatiraju , Sung Bum Ahn

This paper presents a fast power-setpoint tracking algorithm to enable utility-scale photovoltaic (PV) systems to provide high quality grid services such as power reserves and fast frequency response. The algorithm unites maximum…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-05 Victor Paduani , Hui Yu , Bei Xu , Ning Lu

Weather is one of the main problems in implementing forecasts for photovoltaic panel systems. Since it is the main generator of disturbances and interruptions in electrical energy. It is necessary to choose a reliable forecasting model for…

Weather forecasts from numerical weather prediction models play a central role in solar energy forecasting, where a cascade of physics-based models is used in a model chain approach to convert forecasts of solar irradiance to solar power…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-10 Nina Horat , Sina Klerings , Sebastian Lerch

Forecast combinations have been widely applied in the last few decades to improve forecasting. Estimating optimal weights that can outperform simple averages is not always an easy task. In recent years, the idea of using time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Yanfei Kang , Wei Cao , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li

The rapid deployment of renewable generations such as photovoltaic (PV) generations brings great challenges to the resiliency of existing power systems. Because PV generations are volatile and typically invisible to the power system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Ming Yi , Meng Wang

It is essential to find solar predictive methods to massively insert renewable energies on the electrical distribution grid. The goal of this study is to find the best methodology allowing predicting with high accuracy the hourly global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-20 Cyril Voyant , C. Darras , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet , Philippe Poggi

The increasing use of renewable energy sources with variable output, such as solar photovoltaic and wind power generation, calls for Smart Grids that effectively manage flexible loads and energy storage. The ability to forecast consumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-02 Andreas Veit , Christoph Goebel , Rohit Tidke , Christoph Doblander , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

Short-term load forecasting for AI data centers presents new challenges because it is computing-driven, with heterogeneous job arrivals, sizes, and durations exhibiting bursty, non-stationary dynamics. Compared with traditional load types,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Ziying Wang , Ying Zhang , Lei Wang , Yuzhang Lin

The growing penetration of intermittent, renewable generation in US power grids, especially wind and solar generation, results in increased operational uncertainty. In that context, accurate forecasts are critical, especially for wind…

The rapid expansion of wind and solar energy leads to an increasing volatility in the electricity generation. Previous studies have shown that storage devices provide an opportunity to balance fluctuations in the power grid. An economical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Lars Siemer , Wided Medjroubi