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A major limitation of clustering approaches is their lack of explainability: methods rarely provide insight into which features drive the grouping of similar observations. To address this limitation, we propose an ensemble-based clustering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-23 Federico Maria Quetti , Elena Ballante , Silvia Figini , Paolo Giudici

Due to the rise in the use of renewable energies as an alternative to traditional ones, and especially solar energy, there is increasing interest in studying how to address photovoltaic forecasting in the face of the challenge of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Ines Montoya-Espinagosa , Antonio Agudo

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

We provide a comprehensive examination of the predictive performance of panel forecasting methods based on individual, pooling, fixed effects, and empirical Bayes estimation, and propose optimal weights for forecast combination schemes. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-30 M. Hashem Pesaran , Andreas Pick , Allan Timmermann

Although the methods of bagging and random forests are some of the most widely used prediction methods, relatively little is known about their algorithmic convergence. In particular, there are not many theoretical guarantees for deciding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Miles E. Lopes

Environmental, economical and technical benefits of photovoltaic (PV) systems make them to be used in many countries. The main characteristic of PV systems is the fluctuations of their output power. Hence, high penetration of PV systems…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-06-07 Farzad Ferdowsi , Ahmad Sadeghi Yazdankhah , Hossein Madadi Kojabadi

In this paper we present a technique for using the bootstrap to estimate the operating characteristics and their variability for certain types of ensemble methods. Bootstrapping a model can require a huge amount of work if the training data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-26 Anthony Gamst , Jay-Calvin Reyes , Alden Walker

This paper presents SolarBoost, a novel approach for forecasting power output in distributed photovoltaic (DPV) systems. While existing centralized photovoltaic (CPV) methods are able to precisely model output dependencies due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Linyuan Geng , Linxiao Yang , Xinyue Gu , Liang Sun

In recent years, renewable energy resources have accounted for an increasing share of electricity energy.Among them, photovoltaic (PV) power generation has received broad attention due to its economic and environmental benefits.Accurate PV…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Xuetao Jiang , Meiyu Jiang , Qingguo Zhou

Drones have become indispensable assets during human-made and natural disasters, offering damage assessment, aid delivery, and communication restoration capabilities. However, most drones rely on batteries that require frequent recharging,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-16 Jonathan Olivares , Tyler Depe , Kanika Sood , Rakeshkumar Mahto

This paper presents a parametric model approach to address the problem of photovoltaic generation forecasting in a scenario where measurements of meteorological variables, i.e., solar irradiance and temperature, are not available at the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Daniele Pepe , Gianni Bianchini , Antonio Vicino

With an increasing high penetration of solar photovoltaic generation in electric power grids, voltage phasors and branch power flows experience more severe fluctuations. In this context, probabilistic power flow (PPF) study aims at…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-03 Kejun Chen , Yu Zhang

Photovoltaic (PV) power is affected by weather conditions, making the power generated from the PV systems uncertain. Solving this problem would help improve the reliability and cost effectiveness of the grid, and could help reduce reliance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Yahya Al Lawati , Jack Kelly , Dan Stowell

Renewable sources of energy are the future due to the environmental problems caused by non-renewable sources to produce energy. The biggest issue with renewable energy sources is that the power produced by devices such as PV solar panels…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-24 Rohaib Bhatti , Ali John Naqvi , Abdullah Tauqeer

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic power is essential for reliable grid integration, yet remains difficult due to highly variable irradiance, complex meteorological drivers, site geography, and device-specific behavior. Although…

Power prediction is crucial to the efficiency and reliability of Photovoltaic (PV) systems. For the model-chain-based (also named indirect or physical) power prediction, the conversion of ground environmental data (plane-of-array irradiance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-20 Baojie Li , Xin Chen , Anubhav Jain

Electricity consumption forecasting has vital importance for the energy planning of a country. Of the enabling machine learning models, support vector regression (SVR) has been widely used to set up forecasting models due to its superior…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Yukun Bao , Liang Shen , Xiaoyuan Zhang , Yanmei Huang , Changrui Deng

Renewable-energy-based grids development needs new methods to maintain the balance between the load and generation using the efficient energy storages models. Most of the available energy storages models do not take into account such…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-10 Denis Sidorov , Qing Tao , Ildar Muftahov , Aleksei Zhukov , Dmitriy Karamov , Aliona Dreglea , Fang Liu

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting plays a critical role in power system dispatch and market participation. Because PV generation is highly sensitive to weather conditions and cloud motion, accurate forecasting requires effective modeling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Hang Fan , Haoran Pei , Runze Liang , Weican Liu , Long Cheng , Wei Wei

Motivated by the increasing integration among electricity markets, in this paper we propose two different methods to incorporate market integration in electricity price forecasting and to improve the predictive performance. First, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-08 Jesus Lago , Fjo De Ridder , Peter Vrancx , Bart De Schutter
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