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In the US, `black box' studies are increasingly being used to estimate the error rate of forensic disciplines. A sample of forensic examiner participants are asked to evaluate a set of items whose source is known to the researchers but not…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-25 Amanda Luby , Joseph B. Kadane

Item Response Theory (IRT) is a ubiquitous model for understanding human behaviors and attitudes based on their responses to questions. Large modern datasets offer opportunities to capture more nuances in human behavior, potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Mike Wu , Richard L. Davis , Benjamin W. Domingue , Chris Piech , Noah Goodman

Many statisticians regularly teach large lecture courses on statistics, probability, or mathematics for students from other fields such as business and economics, social sciences and psychology, etc. The corresponding exams often use a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-06 Achim Zeileis

Forensic scientists are often criticised for the lack of quantitative support for the conclusions of their examinations. While scholars advocate for the use of a Bayes factor to quantify the weight of forensic evidence, it is often…

Forensic examination of evidence like firearms and toolmarks, traditionally involves a visual and therefore subjective assessment of similarity of two questioned items. Statistical models are used to overcome this subjectivity and allow…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Ganesh Krishnan , Heike Hofmann

Forensic gait analysis can aid the investigation of crimes through comparing features of gait captured in video footage. Modelling the probative value of gait evidence requires an understanding of the variation of features of gait between…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-06 Ruoyun Hui , Amy L Wilson , Colin Aitken , Ivan Birch , Nadia Asgeirsdottir , Graham Jackson

Item response theory (IRT) has become one of the most popular statistical models for psychometrics, a field of study concerned with the theory and techniques of psychological measurement. The IRT models are latent factor models tailored to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-20 Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu , Zhiliang Ying

The persistent issue of wrongful convictions in the United States emphasizes the need for scrutiny and improvement of the criminal justice system. While statistical methods for the evaluation of forensic evidence, including glass,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-25 Xiangyu Xu , Giuseppe Vinci

Although fundamental to the advancement of Machine Learning, the classic evaluation metrics extracted from the confusion matrix, such as precision and F1, are limited. Such metrics only offer a quantitative view of the models' performance,…

Biometric recognition is used across a variety of applications from cyber security to border security. Recent research has focused on ensuring biometric performance (false negatives and false positives) is fair across demographic groups.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-24 Michael Schuckers , Sandip Purnapatra , Kaniz Fatima , Daqing Hou , Stephanie Schuckers

Item Response Theory (IRT) is a ubiquitous model for understanding humans based on their responses to questions, used in fields as diverse as education, medicine and psychology. Large modern datasets offer opportunities to capture more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-17 Mike Wu , Richard L. Davis , Benjamin W. Domingue , Chris Piech , Noah Goodman

A goal in the forensic interpretation of scientific evidence is to make an inference about the source of a trace of unknown origin. The evidence is composed of the following three elements: (a) the trace of unknown origin, (b) a sample from…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-31 Danica M. Ommen , Christopher P. Saunders , Cedric Neumann

When a latent shoeprint is discovered at a crime scene, forensic analysts inspect it for distinctive patterns of wear such as scratches and holes (known as accidentals) on the source shoe's sole. If its accidentals correspond to those of a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-28 Neil A. Spencer , Jared S. Murray

Since the introduction of network psychometrics, several connections to statistical models in "classical" psychometrics (i.e., IRT, SEM, GLM) as well as to approaches from other research fields have been established. In this paper, these…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Kevin Kistermann , Vivato V. Andriamiarana , Augustin Kelava

For more than a century, fingerprints have been used with considerable success to identify criminals or verify the identity of individuals. The categorical conclusion scheme used by fingerprint examiners, and more generally the inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 J. H. Hendricks , C. Neumann , C. P. Saunders

For several decades, legal and scientific scholars have argued that conclusions from forensic examinations should be supported by statistical data and reported within a probabilistic framework. Multiple models have been proposed to quantify…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-14 Cedric Neumann , Madeline A. Ausdemore

Due to the increasing availability and functionality of image editing tools, many forensic techniques such as digital image authentication, source identification and tamper detection are important for forensic image analysis. In this paper,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-07 Ruiting Shao , Edward J. Delp

Shoe print evidence recovered from crime scenes plays a key role in forensic investigations. By examining shoe prints, investigators can determine details of the footwear worn by suspects. However, establishing that a suspect's shoes match…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Alokesh Manna , Neil Spencer , Dipak K. Dey

Over the past decade, the field of forensic science has received recommendations from the National Research Council of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology, and the U.S. President's…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-08 Jessie Hendricks , Cedric Neumann

Criminal and victim identification based on crime scene images is an important part of forensic investigation. Criminals usually avoid identification by covering their faces and tattoos in the evidence images, which are taken in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Wojciech Michal Matkowski , Frodo Kin Sun Chan , Adams Wai Kin Kong
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