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Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

We study quasi-stationary distributions and quasi-limiting behavior of Markov chains in general reducible state spaces with absorption. We propose a set of assumptions dealing with particular situations where the state space can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

The focus of this article is on entropy and Markov processes. We study the properties of functionals which are invariant with respect to monotonic transformations and analyze two invariant "additivity" properties: (i) existence of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-12 A. N. Gorban , P. A. Gorban , G. Judge

We establish a new class of functional central limit theorems for partial sum of certain symmetric stationary infinitely divisible processes with regularly varying L\'{e}vy measures. The limit process is a new class of symmetric stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-16 Takashi Owada , Gennady Samorodnitsky

In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

A finite range interacting particle system on a transitive graph is considered. Assuming that the dynamics and the initial measure are invariant, the normalized empirical distribution process converges in distribution to a centered…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Paul Doukhan , Gabriel Lang , Sana Louhichi , Bernard Ycart

Perturbation analysis of Markov chains provides bounds on the effect that a change in a Markov transition matrix has on the corresponding stationary distribution. This paper compares and analyzes bounds found in the literature for finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Karim Abbas , Joost Berkhout , Bernd Heidergott

In this paper, we utilize the framework of Markov processes to attain a more probabilistic perspective on the theory of transfer operators. In doing so, we establish a functional central limit theorem (FLCT) for an $O(N)$ model associated…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Eduardo A. Silva , Elis G. Mesquita , Edgar Matias

In this work, a generalised version of the central limit theorem is proposed for nonlinear functionals of the empirical measure of i.i.d. random variables, provided that the functional satisfies some regularity assumptions for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Benjamin Jourdain , Alvin Tse

The time to converge to the steady state of a finite Markov chain can be greatly reduced by a lifting operation, which creates a new Markov chain on an expanded state space. For a class of quadratic objectives, we show an analogous behavior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-14 Guilherme França , José Bento

The general model of coagulation is considered. For basic classes of unbounded coagulation kernels the central limit theorem (CLT) is obtained for the fluctuations around the dynamic law of large numbers (LLN). A rather precise rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Vassili Kolokoltsov

For a Markov chain $Y$ with values in a Polish space, consider the entrance Markov chain obtained by sampling $Y$ at the moments when it enters a fixed set $A$ from its complement $A^c$. Similarly, consider the exit Markov chain, obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Aleksandar Mijatović , Vladislav Vysotsky

We prove that an irreducible aperiodic Markov chain is geometrically ergodic if and only if any separately bounded functional of the stationary chain satisfies an appropriate subgaussian deviation inequality from its mean.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Jérôme Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel

We compute the stationary distribution of a continuous-time Markov chain which is constructed by gluing together two finite, irreducible Markov chains by identifying a pair of states of one chain with a pair of states of the other and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-22 Bence Mélykúti , Peter Pfaffelhuber

The stratified resampling mechanism is one of the resampling schemes commonly used in the resampling steps of particle filters. In the present paper, we prove a central limit theorem for this mechanism under the assumption that the initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Roberta Flenghi , Benjamin Jourdain

We study the limiting object of a sequence of Markov chains analogous to the limits of graphs, hypergraphs, and other objects which have been studied. Following a suggestion of Aldous, we assign to a sequence of finite Markov chains with…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Henry Towsner

In this paper we establish a general dynamical Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for group actions which are exponentially mixing of all orders. In particular, the main result applies to Cartan flows on finite-volume quotients of simple Lie…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-29 Michael Björklund , Alexander Gorodnik

This paper provides a new path method that can be used to determine when an ergodic continuous-time Markov chain on $\mathbb Z^d$ converges exponentially fast to its stationary distribution in $L^2$. Specifically, we provide general…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-02 David F. Anderson , Daniele Cappelletti , Wai-Tong Louis Fan , Jinsu Kim

In this paper we propose an efficient variance reduction approach for additive functionals of Markov chains relying on a novel discrete time martingale representation. Our approach is fully non-asymptotic and does not require the knowledge…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-22 D. Belomestny , E. Moulines , S. Samsonov

We consider a sequence of Markov chains weakly convergent to a diffusion. We suppose that a drift term contains a linearly increasing component. The usual parametrix method fails because of this unbounded drift term. We show how to modify…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-05 V. Konakov , A. Markova
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