English
Related papers

Related papers: Effects of Aggregation Methodology on Uncertain Sp…

200 papers

We investigate the impact of different observational effects affecting a precise and accurate measurement of the growth rate of fluctuations from the anisotropy of clustering in galaxy redshift surveys. We focus on redshift measurement…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-23 Federico Marulli , Davide Bianchi , Enzo Branchini , Luigi Guzzo , Lauro Moscardini , Raul E. Angulo

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner

Predictive distributions need to be aggregated when probabilistic forecasts are merged, or when expert opinions expressed in terms of probability distributions are fused. We take a prediction space approach that applies to discrete, mixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-09 Tilmann Gneiting , Roopesh Ranjan

The stochastic simulation algorithm (SSA) is widely used to perform exact forward simulation of discrete stochastic processes in biology. However, the computational cost, driven by sequential event-by-event sampling across large ensembles,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-04 Tom Kimpson , Mark B. Flegg , Jennifer A. Flegg

We consider the problem of optimizing locations of distribution centers (DCs) and plans for distributing resources such as test kits and vaccines, under spatiotemporal uncertainties of disease spread and demand for the resources. We aim to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Beste Basciftci , Xian Yu , Siqian Shen

Many aspects of life are associated with places of human mobility patterns and nowadays we are facing an increase in the pervasiveness of mobile devices these individuals carry. Positioning technologies that serve these devices such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-26 Thiago Andrade , Brais Cancela , João Gama

Moment-based estimation filters have successfully aided spacecraft navigation for decades. However, future missions plan to venture into deep-space regimes with significant round-trip light-time telecommunication delays, operate in…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-13 Benjamin L. Hanson , Todd A. Ely , Thomas R. Bewley , Aaron J. Rosengren

This study proposes a multi-resolution Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) ensemble framework that leverages diverse temporal input resolutions to mitigate error accumulation and improve long-horizon forecasting of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jihoon Kim , Heejung Youn

Learning causal graphs from multivariate time series is a ubiquitous challenge in all application domains dealing with time-dependent systems, such as in Earth sciences, biology, or engineering, to name a few. Recent developments for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Kevin Debeire , Jakob Runge , Andreas Gerhardus , Veronika Eyring

In this study, we explore in depth a few under-studied topics at the intersection of uncertainty estimation and segmentation. Prior work has shown that the quality of uncertainty estimates can be very sensitive to a range of variables. As…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Michael Smith , Frank P. Ferrie

One of the most common methods to train machine learning algorithms today is the stochastic gradient descent (SGD). In a distributed setting, SGD-based algorithms have been shown to converge theoretically under specific circumstances. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Soumya Sarkar , Shweta Jain

Additive spatial statistical models with weakly stationary process assumptions have become standard in spatial statistics. However, one disadvantage of such models is the computation time, which rapidly increases with the number of data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Sudipto Saha , Jonathan R. Bradley

Clustering is one of the major tasks in data mining. In the last few years, Clustering of spatial data has received a lot of research attention. Spatial databases are components of many advanced information systems like geographic…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-06-04 Mohamed A. El-Zawawy

A time series consists of a series of values or events obtained over repeated measurements in time. Analysis of time series represents and important tool in many application areas, such as stock market analysis, process and quality control,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-12-30 Vladimir Kurbalija , Miloš Radovanović , Zoltan Geler , Mirjana Ivanović

This study presents a comprehensive approach to optimizing inventory management under stochastic demand by leveraging Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) with grid search and Bayesian optimization. By using a business case of historical demand…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Sarit Maitra

Modern network datasets are often composed of multiple layers, either as different views, time-varying observations, or independent sample units, resulting in collections of networks over the same set of vertices but with potentially…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Joshua Agterberg , Zachary Lubberts , Jesús Arroyo

The importance of accurately quantifying forecast uncertainty has motivated much recent research on probabilistic forecasting. In particular, a variety of deep learning approaches has been proposed, with forecast distributions obtained as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Benedikt Schulz , Lutz Köhler , Sebastian Lerch

Spatio-temporal information is used for driving a plethora of intelligent transportation, smart-city, and crowd-sensing applications. Since data is now considered a valuable production factor, data marketplaces have appeared to help…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Santiago Andrés Azcoitia , Marius Paraschiv , Nikolaos Laoutaris

In multiple federated learning schemes, a random subset of clients sends in each round their model updates to the server for aggregation. Although this client selection strategy aims to reduce communication overhead, it remains energy and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Fernanda Famá , Charalampos Kalalas , Sandra Lagen , Paolo Dini

Data aggregation is a promising approach to enable massive machine-type communication (mMTC). This paper focuses on the aggregation phase where a massive number of machine-type devices (MTDs) transmit to aggregators. By using non-orthogonal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-25 Onel L. Alcaraz López , Hirley Alves , Pedro Nardelli , Matti Latva-aho