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We consider interval estimation of the difference between two binomial proportions. Several methods of constructing such an interval are known. Unfortunately those confidence intervals have poor coverage probability: it is significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-11 Wojciech Zieliński

We present a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable from samples of the random variable. We conjecture that the confidence interval has guaranteed coverage, i.e., that it contains the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Erik Learned-Miller , Philip S. Thomas

We introduce a new framework for creating point-wise confidence intervals for the distribution of event times for current status data. Existing methods are based on asymptotics. Our framework is based on binomial properties and motivates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-17 Sungwook Kim , Michael P. Fay , Michael A. Proschan

A reasonable confidence interval should have a confidence coefficient no less than the given nominal level and a small expected length to reliably and accurately estimate the parameter of interest, and the bootstrap interval is considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Weizhen Wang , Chongxiu Yu , Zhongzhan Zhang

In many statistical problems, several estimators are usually available for interval estimation of a parameter of interest, and hence, the selection of an appropriate estimator is important. The criterion for a good estimator is to have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-10 Richard Minkah , Tertius de Wet

In this article, we derive an explicit formula for computing confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable. Moreover, we have developed multistage point estimation methods for estimating the mean value with prescribed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Xinjia Chen

This paper concerns the construction of confidence intervals in standard seroprevalence surveys. In particular, we discuss methods for constructing confidence intervals for the proportion of individuals in a population infected with a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-05 Thomas J. DiCiccio , David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

I propose a new type of confidence interval for correct asymptotic inference after using data to select a model of interest without assuming any model is correctly specified. This hybrid confidence interval is constructed by combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Adam McCloskey

We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

It is well known that the asymptotic variance of sample quantiles can be reduced under heterogeneity relative to the i.i.d. setting. However, asymptotically correct confidence intervals for quantiles are not yet available. We propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 John H. J. Einmahl , Yi He

By combining a bound on the absolute value of the difference of mutual information between two joint probablity distributions with a fixed variational distance, and a bound on the probability of a maximal deviation in variational distance…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-01-29 A. G. Stefani , J. B. Huber , C. Jardin , H. Sticht

Standard confidence intervals employed in applied statistical analysis are usually based on asymptotic approximations. Such approximations can be considerably inaccurate in small and moderate sized samples. We derive accurate confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-14 Eliane C. Pinheiro , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Francisco M. C. Medeiros

The current standard for confidence interval construction in the context of a possibly misspecified model is to use an interval based on the sandwich estimate of variance. These intervals provide asymptotically correct coverage, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 James W. Harmon , Peter D. Hoff

A new method is proposed for the correction of confidence intervals when the original interval does not have the correct nominal coverage probabilities in the frequentist sense. The proposed method is general and does not require any…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-30 P. Menendez , Y. Fan , P. H. Garthwaite , S. A. Sisson

Confidence interval of mean is often used when quoting statistics. The same rigor is often missing when quoting percentiles and tolerance or percentile intervals. This article derives the expression for confidence in percentiles of a sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Sanjay M. Joshi

Practical or scientific considerations often lead to selecting a subset of parameters as ``important.'' Inferences about those parameters often are based on the same data used to select them in the first place. That can make the reported…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-04 Yoav Benjamini , Yotam Hechtlinger , Philip B. Stark

To quantify uncertainty around point estimates of conditional objects such as conditional means or variances, parameter uncertainty has to be taken into account. Attempts to incorporate parameter uncertainty are typically based on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-23 Eric Beutner , Alexander Heinemann , Stephan Smeekes

Consider panel data modelled by a linear random intercept model that includes a time-varying covariate. Suppose that we have uncertain prior information that this covariate is exogenous. We present a new confidence interval for the slope…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Paul Kabaila , Rheanna Mainzer

Confidence interval procedures used in low dimensional settings are often inappropriate for high dimensional applications. When a large number of parameters are estimated, marginal confidence intervals associated with the most significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-24 Jean Morrison , Noah Simon

This paper revisits the simple, but empirically salient, problem of inference on a real-valued parameter that is partially identified through upper and lower bounds with asymptotically normal estimators. A simple confidence interval is…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-01 Jörg Stoye
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