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We consider a $\phi$-mixing shift $T$ on a sequence space $\Om$ and study the number $\cN_N$ of returns $\{ T^{q_N(n)}\om\in A^a_n\}$ at times $q_N(n)$ to a cylinder $A^a_n$ constructed by a sequence $a\in\Om$ where $n$ runs either until a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Yuri Kifer

For a $\psi$-mixing stationary process $\xi_0,\xi_1,\xi_2,...$ we consider the number $\mathcal N_N$ of multiple recurrencies $\{\xi_{q_i(n)}\in\Gamma_N,\, i=1,...,\ell\}$ to a set $\Gamma_N$ for $n$ until the moment $\tau_N$ (which we call…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Yuri Kifer , Ariel Rapaport

The classical Poisson theorem says that if $\xi_1,\xi_2,...$ are i.i.d. 0--1 Bernoulli random variables taking on 1 with probability $p_n\equiv \la/n$ then the sum $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n\xi_i$ is asymptotically in $n$ Poisson distributed with…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-11 Yuri Kifer

Given a periodic point $\omega$ in a $\psi$-mixing shift with countable alphabet, the sequence $\{S_{n}\}$ of random variables counting the number of multiple returns to shrinking cylindrical neighborhoods of $\omega$ is considered.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-31 Ariel Rapaport

Let $L_{n}$ be the least common multiple of a random set of integers obtained from $\{1,\ldots,n\}$ by retaining each element with probability $\theta\in (0,1)$ independently of the others. We prove that the process $(\log L_{\lfloor…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Gerold Alsmeyer , Zakhar Kabluchko , Alexander Marynych

In this paper we prove two results. First we show that dynamical systems with a $\phi$-mixing measure have in the limit Poisson distributed return times almost everywhere. We use the Chen-Stein method to also obtain rates of convergence.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Nicolai T A Haydn , Yannis Psiloyenis

We obtain functional central limit theorems for both discrete time expressions of the form $1/\sqrt{N}\sum_{n=1}^{[Nt]}(F(X(q_1(n)),\ldots, X(q_{\ell}(n)))-\bar{F})$ and similar expressions in the continuous time where the sum is replaced…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

Let $X = [0,1]$, and let $T:X\to X$ be an expanding piecewise linear map sending each interval of linearity to $[0,1]$. For $\psi:\mathbb N\to\mathbb R_{\geq 0}$, $x\in X$, and $N\in\mathbb N$ we consider the recurrence counting function \[…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-31 Jason Levesley , Bing Li , David Simmons , Sanju Velani

Previously it has been shown that some classes of mixing dynamical systems have limiting return times distributions that are almost everywhere Poissonian. Here we study the behaviour of return times at periodic points and show that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-03-04 N. Haydn , S. Vaienti

Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process of intensity $t\geq 1$ on some state space $\Y$ and $f$ be a non-negative symmetric function on $\Y^k$ for some $k\geq 1$. Applying $f$ to all $k$-tuples of distinct points of $\eta_t$ generates a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

We prove a quenched limiting law for random measures on subshifts at periodic points. We consider a family of measures $\{\mu_\omega\}_{\omega\in\Omega}$, where the `driving space' $\Omega$ is equipped with a probability measure which is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-12-06 Nicolai Haydn , Mike Todd

Let $X_1,\,X_2,\,\ldots,\,X_N$, $N\in\mathbb{N}$ be independent but not necessarily identically distributed discrete and integer-valued random variables. Assume that $X_1\geqslant m_1$, $X_2\geqslant m_2$, $\ldots$, $X_N\geqslant m_N$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Andrius Grigutis , Artur Nakliuda

We describe an approach that allows us to deduce the limiting return times distribution for arbitrary sets to be compound Poisson distributed. We establish a relation between the limiting return times distribution and the probability of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-08-26 N. Haydn , S. Vaienti

The paper deals with the fast-slow motions setups in the discrete time $X^\epsilon((n+1)\epsilon)=X^\epsilon(n\epsilon)+\epsilon B(X^\epsilon(n\epsilon),\xi(n))$, $n=0,1,...,[T/\epsilon]$ and the continuous time $\frac…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Yuri Kifer

Let $\xi_i$, $i\in \mathbb {N}$, be independent copies of a L\'{e}vy process $\{\xi(t),t\geq0\}$. Motivated by the results obtained previously in the context of the random energy model, we prove functional limit theorems for the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-15 Zakhar Kabluchko

Let $Y_i,i\geq1$, be i.i.d. random variables having values in an $m$-dimensional manifold $\mathcal {M}\subset \mathbb{R}^d$ and consider sums $\sum_{i=1}^n\xi(n^{1/m}Y_i,\{n^{1/m}Y_j\}_{j=1}^n)$, where $\xi$ is a real valued function…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-04 Mathew D. Penrose , J. E. Yukich

Nonlinear time series models with exogenous regressors are essential in econometrics, queuing theory, and machine learning, though their statistical analysis remains incomplete. Key results, such as the law of large numbers and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Attila Lovas

Let $G_{k,n}$ be a group of permutations of $kn$ objects which permutes things independently in disjoint blocks of size $k$ and then permutes the blocks. We investigate the probabilistic and/or enumerative aspects of random elements of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Persi Diaconis , Nathan Tung

We prove that the distributional limit of the normalised number of returns to small neighbourhoods of periodic points of non-uniformly hyperbolic dynamical systems is compound Poisson. The returns to small balls around a fixed point in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

Let $X$ be a random variable with distribution function $F,$ and $X_{1},X_{2},...,X_{n}$ are independent copies of $X.$ Consider the order statistics $X_{i:n},$ $i=1,2,...,n$ and denote $F_{i:n}(x)=P\{X_{i:n}\leq x\}.$ Using majorization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-02 Ismihan Bairamov
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