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The analysis of experimental data with mixed-effects models requires decisions about the specification of the appropriate random-effects structure. Recently, Barr, Levy, Scheepers, and Tily, 2013 recommended fitting `maximal' models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-29 Douglas Bates , Reinhold Kliegl , Shravan Vasishth , Harald Baayen

The use of machine learning algorithms in finance, medicine, and criminal justice can deeply impact human lives. As a consequence, research into interpretable machine learning has rapidly grown in an attempt to better control and fix…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Thibaut Vidal , Toni Pacheco , Maximilian Schiffer

Random forests remain among the most popular off-the-shelf supervised learning algorithms. Despite their well-documented empirical success, however, until recently, few theoretical results were available to describe their performance and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-17 Wei Peng , Tim Coleman , Lucas Mentch

Sequential model-based optimization sequentially selects a candidate point by constructing a surrogate model with the history of evaluations, to solve a black-box optimization problem. Gaussian process (GP) regression is a popular choice as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-23 Jungtaek Kim , Seungjin Choi

The prevailing mindset is that a single decision tree underperforms classic random forests in testing accuracy, despite its advantages in interpretability and lightweight structure. This study challenges such a mindset by significantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Qiangqiang Mao , Yankai Cao

Designing effective model-based reinforcement learning algorithms is difficult because the ease of data generation must be weighed against the bias of model-generated data. In this paper, we study the role of model usage in policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Michael Janner , Justin Fu , Marvin Zhang , Sergey Levine

We propose a modification that corrects for split-improvement variable importance measures in Random Forests and other tree-based methods. These methods have been shown to be biased towards increasing the importance of features with more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-25 Zhengze Zhou , Giles Hooker

Due to their long-standing reputation as excellent off-the-shelf predictors, random forests continue remain a go-to model of choice for applied statisticians and data scientists. Despite their widespread use, however, until recently, little…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-01 Siyu Zhou , Lucas Mentch

Label ranking aims to learn a mapping from instances to rankings over a finite number of predefined labels. Random forest is a powerful and one of the most successful general-purpose machine learning algorithms of modern times. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-19 Yangming Zhou , Guoping Qiu

Treebank selection for parsing evaluation and the spurious effects that might arise from a biased choice have not been explored in detail. This paper studies how evaluating on a single subset of treebanks can lead to weak conclusions.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-09-15 Iago Alonso-Alonso , David Vilares , Carlos Gómez-Rodríguez

The best-performing models in ML are not interpretable. If we can explain why they outperform, we may be able to replicate these mechanisms and obtain both interpretability and performance. One example are decision trees and their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-09 Hugh Panton , Gavin Leech , Laurence Aitchison

We have carried out an exercise in the classification of W+W- and ttbar events as produced in a high-energy proton-proton collider, motivated in part by the current tension between the measured and predicted values of the WW cross section.…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2014-10-30 J. Lovelace Rainbolt , Thoth Gunter , Michael Schmitt

The Bayesian method is noted to produce spuriously high posterior probabilities for phylogenetic trees in analysis of large datasets, but the precise reasons for this over-confidence are unknown. In general, the performance of Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-15 Ziheng Yang , Tianqi Zhu

Although adversarial examples and model robustness have been extensively studied in the context of linear models and neural networks, research on this issue in tree-based models and how to make tree-based models robust against adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-12 Hongge Chen , Huan Zhang , Duane Boning , Cho-Jui Hsieh

Nowadays new technologies, and especially artificial intelligence, are more and more established in our society. Big data analysis and machine learning, two sub-fields of artificial intelligence, are at the core of many recent breakthroughs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-22 Antonio Sutera

The random forest (RF) algorithm has become a very popular prediction method for its great flexibility and promising accuracy. In RF, it is conventional to put equal weights on all the base learners (trees) to aggregate their predictions.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-18 Xinyu Chen , Dalei Yu , Xinyu Zhang

Tree-based machine learning models, such as decision trees and random forests, have been hugely successful in classification tasks primarily because of their predictive power in supervised learning tasks and ease of interpretation. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Tanmay Surve , Romila Pradhan

Random Forests [Breiman:2001] (RF) are a fully non-parametric statistical method requiring no distributional assumptions on covariate relation to the response. RF are a robust, nonlinear technique that optimizes predictive accuracy by…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-30 John Ehrlinger

There are numerous randomized algorithms to generate spanning trees in a given ambient graph; several target the uniform distribution on trees (UST), while in practice the fastest and most frequently used draw random weights on the edges…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Eric Babson , Moon Duchin , Annina Iseli , Pietro Poggi-Corradini , Dylan Thurston , Jamie Tucker-Foltz

We study the problem of sharing as many branching conditions of a given forest classifier or regressor as possible while keeping classification performance. As a constraint for preventing from accuracy degradation, we first consider the one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Atsuyoshi Nakamura , Kento Sakurada