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Few problems in statistics are as perplexing as variable selection in the presence of very many redundant covariates. The variable selection problem is most familiar in parametric environments such as the linear model or additive variants…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-25 Yi Liu , Veronika Ročková , Yuexi Wang

A common approach to aggregate classification estimates in an ensemble of decision trees is to either use voting or to average the probabilities for each class. The latter takes uncertainty into account, but not the reliability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Florian Busch , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Hendrik Blockeel

This paper describes experiments, on two domains, to investigate the effect of averaging over predictions of multiple decision trees, instead of using a single tree. Other authors have pointed out theoretical and commonsense reasons for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Suk Wah Kwok , Chris Carter

An important issue when using Machine Learning algorithms in recent research is the lack of interpretability. Although these algorithms provide accurate point predictions for various learning problems, uncertainty estimates connected with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-11 Burim Ramosaj

Despite their performance and widespread use, little is known about the theory of Random Forests. A major unanswered question is whether, or when, the Random Forest algorithm is consistent. The literature explores various variants of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Nicholas Waltz

We propose a theoretical study of two realistic estimators of conditional distribution functions and conditional quantiles using random forests. The estimation process uses the bootstrap samples generated from the original dataset when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Kevin Elie-Dit-Cosaque , Véronique Maume-Deschamps

D. Wilson~\cite{[Wi]} in the 1990's described a simple and efficient algorithm based on loop-erased random walks to sample uniform spanning trees and more generally weighted trees or forests spanning a given graph. This algorithm provides a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-29 L. Avena , F. Castell , A. Gaudilliere , C. Melot

Multi-label classification is a challenging task, particularly in domains where the number of labels to be predicted is large. Deep neural networks are often effective at multi-label classification of images and textual data. When dealing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Nikolaos Mylonas , Ioannis Mollas , Nick Bassiliades , Grigorios Tsoumakas

We introduce random spatial forests, a method of bagging regression trees allowing for spatial correlation. Our main contribution is the development of a computationally efficient tree building algorithm which selects each split of the tree…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-24 Travis Hee Wai , Michael T. Young , Adam A. Szpiro

Random forests remain among the most popular off-the-shelf supervised machine learning tools with a well-established track record of predictive accuracy in both regression and classification settings. Despite their empirical success as well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-15 Lucas Mentch , Siyu Zhou

The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

We introduce a modification of Random Forests to estimate functions when unobserved confounding variables are present. The technique is tailored for high-dimensional settings with many observed covariates. We use spectral deconfounding…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-25 Markus Ulmer , Cyrill Scheidegger , Peter Bühlmann

Random forest is widely exploited as an ensemble learning method. In many practical applications, however, there is still a significant challenge to learn from imbalanced data. To alleviate this limitation, we propose a deep dynamic boosted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Haixin Wang , Xingzhang Ren , Jinan Sun , Wei Ye , Long Chen , Muzhi Yu , Shikun Zhang

We study various types of consistency of honest decision trees and random forests in the regression setting. In contrast to related literature, our proofs are elementary and follow the classical arguments used for smoothing methods. Under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

In this paper we study asymptotic properties of random forests within the framework of nonlinear time series modeling. While random forests have been successfully applied in various fields, the theoretical justification has not been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Richard A. Davis , Mikkel S. Nielsen

Differential evolution possesses a multitude of various strategies for generating new trial solutions. Unfortunately, the best strategy is not known in advance. Moreover, this strategy usually depends on the problem to be solved. This paper…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-07-04 Iztok Fister , Iztok Fister , Janez Brest

Due to the steadily increasing relevance of machine learning for practical applications, many of which are coming with safety requirements, the notion of uncertainty has received increasing attention in machine learning research in the last…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Mohammad Hossein Shaker , Eyke Hüllermeier

Dealing with datasets of very high dimension is a major challenge in machine learning. In this paper, we consider the problem of feature selection in applications where the memory is not large enough to contain all features. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-07 Antonio Sutera , Célia Châtel , Gilles Louppe , Louis Wehenkel , Pierre Geurts

Analysis of sample survey data often requires adjustments to account for missing data in the outcome variables of principal interest. Standard adjustment methods based on item imputation or on propensity weighting factors rely heavily on…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-08 Wei-Yin Loh , John Eltinge , MoonJung Cho , Yuanzhi Li

In this article, we strengthen the proof methods of some previously weakly consistent variants of random forests into strongly consistent proof methods, and improve the data utilization of these variants, in order to obtain better…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-11 Junhao Chen , Xueli wang