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The paper presents long-term observations of the atmosphere in Yakutsk region. Analysis of the data for 40 year period indicates a gradual strengthening of cyclonic activity in the region and hence the increase of the average winter…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-12-30 Stanislav Knurenko , Igor Petrov

Due to severe societal and environmental impacts, wildfire prediction using multi-modal sensing data has become a highly sought-after data-analytical tool by various stakeholders (such as state governments and power utility companies) to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-12 Chen Xu , Yao Xie , Daniel A. Zuniga Vazquez , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

In high mountains, the effects of climate change are manifesting most rapidly. This is especially critical for the high-altitude carbon cycle, for which new feedbacks could be triggered. However, mountain carbon dynamics is only partially…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-30 Marta Magnani , Ilaria Baneschi , Mariasilvia Giamberini , Pietro Mosca , Brunella Raco , Antonello Provenzale

Cell2Fire is a new cell-based forest and wildland landscape fire growth simulator that is open-source and exploits parallelism to support the modelling of fire growth cross large spatial and temporal scales in a timely manner. The fire…

We study the distribution of ages in the mean field forest fire model introduced by R\'ath and T\'oth. This model is an evolving random graph whose dynamics combine Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi edge-addition with a Poisson rain of lightning strikes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Edward Crane , Balazs Rath , Dominic Yeo

Most contemporary mortality models rely on extrapolating trends or past events. However, population dynamics will be significantly impacted by climate change, notably the influence of temperatures on mortality. In this paper, we introduce a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-04 Quentin Guibert , Gaëlle Pincemin , Frédéric Planchet

This study presents a comprehensive analysis of four significant California wildfires: Palisades, Eaton, Kenneth, and Hurst, examining their impacts through multiple dimensions, including land cover change, jurisdictional management,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-31 Seyd Teymoor Seydi

Climate change is affecting and will increasingly affect astronomical observations. In this paper, we investigated the role some key weather parameters play in the quality of astronomical observations, and analysed their long-term trends…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-25 Faustine Cantalloube , Julien Milli , Christoph Böhm , Susanne Crewell , Julio Navarrete , Kira Rehfeld , Marc Sarazin , Anna Sommani

Extreme heat negatively impacts cognition, learning, and task performance. With increasing global temperatures, workers may therefore be at increased risk of work-related injuries and illness. This study estimates the effects of temperature…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-26 Andrew Ireland , David Johnston , Rachel Knott

We propose a non-steady state model of the global temperature change. The model describes Earth's surface temperature dynamics under main climate forcing. The equations were derived from basic physical relationships and detailed assessment…

Due to climate change and human activity, wildfires are expected to become more frequent and extreme worldwide, causing economic and ecological disasters. The deployment of preventive measures and operational forecasts can be aided by…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-28 Thomas Opitz , Florent Bonneu , Edith Gabriel

Significant events, such as volcanic eruptions, can have global and long-lasting impacts on climate. These global impacts, however, are not uniform across space and time. Understanding how the Mt. Pinatubo eruption affects global and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-13 Samantha Shi-Jun , Lyndsay Shand , Bo Li

With climate change expected to exacerbate fire weather conditions, the accurate anticipation of wildfires on a global scale becomes increasingly crucial for disaster mitigation. In this study, we utilize SeasFire, a comprehensive global…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Dimitrios Michail , Lefki-Ioanna Panagiotou , Charalampos Davalas , Ioannis Prapas , Spyros Kondylatos , Nikolaos Ioannis Bountos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Quantifying long-term historical climate is fundamental to understanding recent climate change. Most instrumentally recorded climate data are only available for the past 200 years, so proxy observations from natural archives are often…

In this study, we introduce a novel and comprehensive extension of a Bayesian spatio-temporal disease mapping model that explicitly accounts for gender-specific effects of meteorological exposures. Leveraging fine-scale weekly mortality and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-18 Corinna Perchtold , Julia Eisenberg , Philipp Otto

Increasing wildfire occurrence has spurred growing interest in wildfire spread prediction. However, even the most complex wildfire models diverge from observed progression during multi-day simulations, motivating need for data assimilation.…

Forest fires impact on soil, water and biota resources has been widely researched. Although forest fires profoundly impact the atmosphere and air quality across the ecosystems, much less research has been developed to examine its impact on…

Over the past couple of decades, the number of wildfires and area of land burned around the world has been steadily increasing, partly due to climatic changes and global warming. Therefore, there is a high probability that more people will…

The thermal dynamics and hydrology of active layer soils and supra-permafrost aquifers determine the fate of the vast pool of carbon that they hold. In permafrost watersheds of Arctic Alaska, air temperature has warmed by up to 3.5 {\deg}C…

Using optimal detection techniques with climate model simulations, most of the observed increase of near surface temperatures over the second half of the twentieth century is attributed to anthropogenic influences. However, the partitioning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Gareth S. Jones , Peter A. Stott , John F. B. Mitchell