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Accurate prediction of wildfire spread is crucial for effective risk management, emergency response, and strategic resource allocation. In this study, we present a deep learning (DL)-based framework for forecasting the final extent of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Nikolaos Anastasiou , Spyros Kondylatos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Recent wildfires in Australia have led to considerable economic loss and property destruction, and there is increasing concern that climate change may exacerbate their intensity, duration, and frequency. Hazard quantification for extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-12 Daniela Cisneros , Jordan Richards , Ashok Dahal , Luigi Lombardo , Raphaël Huser

Turbulence is of paramount importance in wildland fire propagation since it randomly transports the hot air mass that can pre-heat and then ignite the area ahead the fire. This contributes to give a random character to the firefront…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-08-27 Gianni Pagnini , Luca Massidda

With the increased size and frequency of wildfire eventsworldwide, accurate real-time prediction of evolving wildfirefronts is a crucial component of firefighting efforts and for-est management practices. We propose a wildfire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Maxfield E. Green , Karl Kaiser , Nat Shenton

Between 2019 and 2020, during the country's hottest and driest year on record, Australia experienced a dramatic bushfire season, with catastrophic ecological and environmental consequences. Several studies highlighted how such abrupt…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-03 Giorgio Nicoletti , Leonardo Saravia , Fernando Momo , Amos Maritan , Samir Suweis

A wildland fire model based on semi-empirical relations for the spread rate of a surface fire and post-frontal heat release is coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting atmospheric model (WRF). The propagation of the fire front is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-08-03 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Soham Chakraborty , Janice L. Coen , Craig C. Douglas , Anthony Vodacek , Zhen Wang

Wildfires have become one of the biggest natural hazards for environments worldwide. The effects of wildfires are heterogeneous, meaning that the magnitude of their effects depends on many factors such as geographical region, climate and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-10 Feliu Serra-Burriel , Pedro Delicado , Andrew T. Prata , Fernando M. Cucchietti

One of the impacts of climate change is the difficulty of tree regrowth after wildfires over areas that traditionally were covered by certain tree species. Here a deep learning model is customized to classify land covers from four-band…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Wang Zhou , Levente Klein

Given the recent increase in wildfires, developing a better understanding of their dynamics is crucial. For this purpose, the advection-diffusion-reaction model has been widely used to study wildfire dynamics. In this study, we introduce…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-02 Luca Nieding , Cordula Reisch , Dirk Langemann , Adrián Navas-Montilla

Each year, wildfires destroy larger areas of Spain, threatening numerous ecosystems. Humans cause 90% of them (negligence or provoked) and the behaviour of individuals is unpredictable. However, atmospheric and environmental variables…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Helena Liz-López , Javier Huertas-Tato , Jorge Pérez-Aracil , Carlos Casanova-Mateo , Julia Sanz-Justo , David Camacho

A geometric model for the computation of the firefront of a forest wildfire which takes into account several effects (possibly time-dependent wind, anisotropies and slope of the ground) is introduced. It relies on a general theoretical…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Miguel Ángel Javaloyes , Enrique Pendás-Recondo , Miguel Sánchez

Wildland fire dynamics is a complex turbulent dimensional process. Cellular automata (CA) is an efficient tool to predict fire dynamics, but the main parameters of the method are challenging to estimate. To overcome this challenge, we…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2017-12-14 Miles Currie , Kevin Speer , Kevin Hiers , Joseph O'Brien , Scott Goodrick , Bryan Quaife

In recent years, advances in computational power and spatial data analysis (GIS, remote sensing, etc) have led to an increase in attempts to model the spread and behvaiour of wildland fires across the landscape. This series of review papers…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-07-28 A. L. Sullivan

Wildfire significantly disturb ecosystems by altering forest structure, vegetation ecophysiology, and soil properties. Understanding the complex interactions between topographic and climatic conditions in post-wildfire recovery is crucial.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-29 Faria Tuz Zahura , Gautam Bisht , Zhi Li , Sarah McKnight , Xingyuan Chen

We introduce a simple mathematical model for bushfires accounting for temperature diffusion in the presence of a combustion term which is activated above a given ignition state. The model also takes into consideration the effect of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Serena Dipierro , Enrico Valdinoci , Glen Wheeler , Valentina-Mira Wheeler

In recent decades, the intensification of wildfire activity in western Canada has resulted in substantial socio-economic and environmental losses. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is hindered by the intrinsic stochasticity of ignition and…

Wildfires are uncontrolled fires in the environment that can be caused by humans or nature. In 2020 alone, wildfires in California have burned 4.2 million acres, damaged 10,500 buildings or structures, and killed more than 31 people,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Samarth Shah

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Atlantic Canada faces significant hurricane threats from damaging winds and coastal flooding that are projected to intensify under climate change. This study adopts a two-stage framework. First, the evolution of wind and coastal-flood…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-24 Saeed Saviz Naeini , Reda Snaiki , Alejandro Di Luca

Climate change is intensifying wildfire risks globally, making reliable forecasting critical for adaptation strategies. While machine learning shows promise for wildfire prediction from Earth observation data, current approaches lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Aditya Chakravarty