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The application of Bayesian methods in cosmology and astrophysics has flourished over the past decade, spurred by data sets of increasing size and complexity. In many respects, Bayesian methods have proven to be vastly superior to more…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-23 Roberto Trotta

The aim of this article is to make a contribution to the Bayesian procedure of testing precise hypotheses for parametric models. For this purpose, we define the Bayesian Discrepancy Measure that allows one to evaluate the suitability of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-21 Francesco Bertolino , Mara Manca , Monica Musio , Walter Racugno , Laura Ventura

We examine systematically the (in)consistency between cosmological constraints as obtained from various current data sets of the expansion history, Large Scale Structure (LSS), and Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) from Planck. We run…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-08 Weikang Lin , Mustapha Ishak

How should we quantify the inconsistency of a database that violates integrity constraints? Proper measures are important for various tasks, such as progress indication and action prioritization in cleaning systems, and reliability…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Ester Livshits , Rina Kochirgan , Segev Tsur , Ihab F. Ilyas , Benny Kimelfeld , Sudeepa Roy

Current analysis of astronomical data are confronted with the daunting task of modeling the awkward features of astronomical data, among which heteroscedastic (point-dependent) errors, intrinsic scatter, non-ignorable data collection…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-12-19 S. Andreon

Current and upcoming cosmological surveys will produce unprecedented amounts of high-dimensional data, which require complex high-fidelity forward simulations to accurately model both physical processes and systematic effects which describe…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-11 Aizhan Akhmetzhanova , Carolina Cuesta-Lazaro , Siddharth Mishra-Sharma

It is known that modeling uncertainties and astrophysical foregrounds can potentially introduce appreciable bias in the deduced values of cosmological parameters. While it is commonly assumed that these uncertainties will be accounted for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Meir Shimon , Nissan Itzhaki , Yoel Rephaeli

When the data do not conform to the hypothesis of a known sampling-variance, the fitting of a constant to a set of measured values is a long debated problem. Given the data, fitting would require to find what measurand value is the most…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-07-21 Giovanni Mana , Enrico Massa , Maria Predescu

We investigate the problem of inconsistency measurement on large knowledge bases by considering stream-based inconsistency measurement, i.e., we investigate inconsistency measures that cannot consider a knowledge base as a whole but process…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-05-21 Matthias Thimm

In the theory of belief functions, many measures of uncertainty have been introduced. However, it is not always easy to understand what these measures really try to represent. In this paper, we re-interpret some measures of uncertainty in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-19 Florentin Smarandache , Arnaud Martin , Christophe Osswald

We deal with the analysis of on-off measurements designed for the confirmation of a weak source of events whose presence is hypothesized, based on former observations. The problem of a small number of source events that are masked by an…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-23 Dalibor Nosek , Jana Nosková

In this paper we propose a Bayesian answer to testing problems when the hypotheses are not well separated. The idea of the method is to study the posterior distribution of a discrepancy measure between the parameter and the model we want to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Jean-Bernard Salomond

By introducing Crossing functions and hyper-parameters I show that the Bayesian interpretation of the Crossing Statistics [1] can be used trivially for the purpose of model selection among cosmological models. In this approach to falsify a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-05-24 Arman Shafieloo

We use a complete and rigorous statistical indicator to measure the level of concordance between cosmological data sets, without relying on the inspection of the marginal posterior distribution of some selected parameters. We apply this…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-24 Marco Raveri

Bayesian inference paradigms are regarded as powerful tools for solution of inverse problems. However, when applied to inverse problems in physical sciences, Bayesian formulations suffer from a number of inconsistencies that are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Klaus Mosegaard

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

The standard model of cosmology has provided a good phenomenological description of a wide range of observations both at astrophysical and cosmological scales for several decades. This concordance model is constructed by a universal…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-26 Eleonora Di Valentino , Jackson Levi Said , Adam Riess , Agnieszka Pollo , Vivian Poulin , Adrià Gómez-Valent , Amanda Weltman , Antonella Palmese , Caroline D. Huang , Carsten van de Bruck , Chandra Shekhar Saraf , Cheng-Yu Kuo , Cora Uhlemann , Daniela Grandón , Dante Paz , Dominique Eckert , Elsa M. Teixeira , Emmanuel N. Saridakis , Eoin Ó Colgáin , Florian Beutler , Florian Niedermann , Francesco Bajardi , Gabriela Barenboim , Giulia Gubitosi , Ilaria Musella , Indranil Banik , Istvan Szapudi , Jack Singal , Jaume Haro Cases , Jens Chluba , Jesús Torrado , Jurgen Mifsud , Karsten Jedamzik , Khaled Said , Konstantinos Dialektopoulos , Laura Herold , Leandros Perivolaropoulos , Lei Zu , Lluís Galbany , Louise Breuval , Luca Visinelli , Luis A. Escamilla , Luis A. Anchordoqui , M. M. Sheikh-Jabbari , Margherita Lembo , Maria Giovanna Dainotti , Maria Vincenzi , Marika Asgari , Martina Gerbino , Matteo Forconi , Michele Cantiello , Michele Moresco , Micol Benetti , Nils Schöneberg , Özgür Akarsu , Rafael C. Nunes , Reginald Christian Bernardo , Ricardo Chávez , Richard I. Anderson , Richard Watkins , Salvatore Capozziello , Siyang Li , Sunny Vagnozzi , Supriya Pan , Tommaso Treu , Vid Irsic , Will Handley , William Giarè , Yukei Murakami , Adèle Poudou , Alan Heavens , Alan Kogut , Alba Domi , Aleksander Łukasz Lenart , Alessandro Melchiorri , Alessandro Vadalà , Alexandra Amon , Alexander Bonilla , Alexander Reeves , Alexander Zhuk , Alfio Bonanno , Ali Övgün , Alice Pisani , Alireza Talebian , Amare Abebe , Amin Aboubrahim , Ana Luisa González Morán , András Kovács , Andreas Papatriantafyllou , Andrew R. Liddle , Andreas Lymperis , Andronikos Paliathanasis , Andrzej Borowiec , Anil Kumar Yadav , Anita Yadav , Anjan Ananda Sen , Anjitha John William Mini Latha , Anne Christine Davis , Anowar J. Shajib , Anthony Walters , Anto Idicherian Lonappan , Anton Chudaykin , Antonio Capodagli , Antonio da Silva , Antonio De Felice , Antonio Racioppi , Araceli Soler Oficial , Ariadna Montiel , Arianna Favale , Armando Bernui , Arrianne Crystal Velasco , Asta Heinesen , Athanasios Bakopoulos , Athanasios Chatzistavrakidis , Bahman Khanpour , Bangalore S. Sathyaprakash , Bartek Zgirski , Benjamin L'Huillier , Benoit Famaey , Bhuvnesh Jain , Biesiada Marek , Bing Zhang , Biswajit Karmakar , Branko Dragovich , Brooks Thomas , Carlos Correa , Carlos G. Boiza , Catarina Marques , Celia Escamilla-Rivera , Charalampos Tzerefos , Chi Zhang , Chiara De Leo , Christian Pfeifer , Christine Lee , Christo Venter , Cláudio Gomes , Clecio Roque De bom , Cristian Moreno-Pulido , Damianos Iosifidis , Dan Grin , Daniel Blixt , Dan Scolnic , Daniele Oriti , Daria Dobrycheva , Dario Bettoni , David Benisty , David Fernández-Arenas , David L. Wiltshire , David Sanchez Cid , David Tamayo , David Valls-Gabaud , Davide Pedrotti , Deng Wang , Denitsa Staicova , Despoina Totolou , Diego Rubiera-Garcia , Dinko Milaković , Dom Pesce , Dominique Sluse , Duško Borka , Ebrahim Yusofi , Elena Giusarma , Elena Terlevich , Elena Tomasetti , Elias C. Vagenas , Elisa Fazzari , Elisa G. M. Ferreira , Elvis Barakovic , Emanuela Dimastrogiovanni , Emil Brinch Holm , Emil Mottola , Emre Özülker , Enrico Specogna , Enzo Brocato , Erik Jensko , Erika Antonette Enriquez , Esha Bhatia , Fabio Bresolin , Felipe Avila , Filippo Bouchè , Flavio Bombacigno , Fotios K. Anagnostopoulos , Francesco Pace , Francesco Sorrenti , Francisco S. N. Lobo , Frédéric Courbin , Frode K. Hansen , Greg Sloan , Gabriel Farrugia , Gabriel Lynch , Gabriela Garcia-Arroyo , Gabriella Raimondo , Gaetano Lambiase , Gagandeep S. Anand , Gaspard Poulot , Genly Leon , Gerasimos Kouniatalis , Germano Nardini , Géza Csörnyei , Giacomo Galloni , Giada Bargiacchi , Giannis Papagiannopoulos , Giovanni Montani , Giovanni Otalora , Giulia De Somma , Giuliana Fiorentino , Giuseppe Fanizza , Giuseppe Gaetano Luciano , Giuseppe Sarracino , Gonzalo J. Olmo , Goran S. Djordjević , Guadalupe Cañas-Herrera , Hanyu Cheng , Harry Desmond , Hassan Abdalla , Houzun Chen , Hsu-Wen Chiang , Hume A. Feldman , Hussain Gohar , Ido Ben-Dayan , Ignacio Sevilla-Noarbe , Ignatios Antoniadis , Ilim Cimdiker , Inês S. Albuquerque , Ioannis D. Gialamas , Ippocratis Saltas , Iryna Vavilova , Isidro Gómez-Vargas , Ismael Ayuso , Ismailov Nariman Zeynalabdi , Ivan De Martino , Ivonne Zavala , J. Alberto Vázquez , Jacobo Asorey , Janusz Gluza , Javier Rubio , Jenny G. Sorce , Jenny Wagner , Jeremy Sakstein , Jessica Santiago , Jim Braatz , Joan Solà Peracaula , John Blakeslee , John Webb , Jose A. R. Cembranos , José Pedro Mimoso , Joseph Jensen , Juan García-Bellido , Judit Prat , Kathleen Sammut , Kay Lehnert , Keith R. Dienes , Kishan Deka , Konrad Kuijken , Krishna Naidoo , László Árpád Gergely , Laur Järv , Laura Mersini-Houghton , Leila L. Graef , Léo Vacher , Levon Pogosian , Lilia Anguelova , Lindita Hamolli , Lu Yin , Luca Caloni , Luca Izzo , Lucas Macri , Luis E. Padilla , Luz Ángela García , Maciej Bilicki , Mahdi Najafi , Manolis Plionis , Manuel Gonzalez-Espinoza , Manuel Hohmann , Marcel A. van der Westhuizen , Marcella Marconi , Marcin Postolak , Marco de Cesare , Marco Regis , Marek Biesiada , Maret Einasto , Margus Saal , Maria Caruana , Maria Petronikolou , Mariam Bouhmadi-López , Mariana Melo , Mariaveronica De Angelis , Marie-Noëlle Célérier , Marina Cortês , Mark Reid , Markus Michael Rau , Martin S. Sloth , Martti Raidal , Masahiro Takada , Masoume Reyhani , Massimiliano Romanello , Massimo Marengo , Mathias Garny , Matías Leizerovich , Matteo Martinelli , Matteo Tagliazucchi , Mehmet Demirci , Miguel A. S. Pinto , Miguel A. Sabogal , Miguel A. García-Aspeitia , Milan Milošević , Mina Ghodsi , Mustapha Ishak , Nelson J. Nunes , Nick Samaras , Nico Hamaus , Nico Schuster , Nicola Borghi , Nicola Deiosso , Nicola Tamanini , Nicolao Fornengo , Nihan Katırcı , Nikolaos E. Mavromatos , Nicholas Petropoulos , Nikolina Šarčević , Nils A. Nilsson , Noemi Frusciante , Octavian Postavaru , Oem Trivedi , Oleksii Sokoliuk , Olga Mena , Paloma Morilla , Paolo Campeti , Paolo Salucci , Paula Boubel , Paweł Bielewicz , Pekka Heinämäki , Petar Suman , Petros Asimakis , Pierros Ntelis , Pilar Ruiz-Lapuente , Pran Nath , Predrag Jovanović , Purba Mukherjee , Radosław Wojtak , Rafaela Gsponer , Rafid H. Dejrah , Rahul Shah , Rasmi Hajjar , Rebecca Briffa , Rebecca Habas , Reggie C. Pantig , Renier Mendoza , Riccardo Della Monica , Richard Stiskalek , Rishav Roshan , Rita B. Neves , Roberto Molinaro , Roberto Terlevich , Rocco D'Agostino , Rodrigo Sandoval-Orozco , Ronaldo C. Batista , Ruchika Kaushik , Ruth Lazkoz , Saeed Rastgoo , Sahar Mohammadi , Salvatore Samuele Sirletti , Sandeep Haridasu , Sanjay Mandal , Saurya Das , Sebastian Bahamonde , Sebastian Grandis , Sebastian Trojanowski , Sergei D. Odintsov , Sergij Mazurenko , Shahab Joudaki , Sherry H. Suyu , Shouvik Roy Choudhury , Shruti Bhatporia , Shun-Sheng Li , Simeon Bird , Simon Birrer , Simone Paradiso , Simony Santos da Costa , Sofia Contarini , Sophie Henrot-Versillé , Spyros Basilakos , Stefano Casertano , Stefano Gariazzo , Stylianos A. Tsilioukas , Surajit Kalita , Suresh Kumar , Susana J. Landau , Sveva Castello , Swayamtrupta Panda , Tanja Petrushevska , Thanasis Karakasis , Thejs Brinckmann , Tiago B. Gonçalves , Tiziano Schiavone , Tom Abel , Tomi Koivisto , Torsten Bringmann , Umut Demirbozan , Utkarsh Kumar , Valerio Marra , Maurice H. P. M. van Putten , Vasileios Kalaitzidis , Vasiliki A. Mitsou , Vasilios Zarikas , Vedad Pasic , Venus Keus , Verónica Motta , Vesna Borka Jovanović , Víctor H. Cárdenas , Vincenzo Ripepi , Vincenzo Salzano , Violetta Impellizzeri , Vitor da Fonseca , Vittorio Ghirardini , Vladas Vansevičius , Weiqiang Yang , Wojciech Hellwing , Xin Ren , Yu-Min Hu , Yuejia Zhai , Abdul Malik Sultan , Adrienn Pataki , Alessandro Santoni , Aliya Batool , Aneta Wojnar , Arman Tursunov , Avik De , Ayush Hazarika , Baojiu Li , Benjamin Bose , Bivudutta Mishra , Bobomurat Ahmedov , Chandra Shekhar Saraf , Claudia Scóccola , Crescenzo Tortora , D'Arcy Kenworthy , Daniel E. Holz , David F. Mota , David S. Pereira , Devon M. Williams , Dillon Brout , Dong Ha Lee , Eduardo Guendelman , Edward Olex , Emanuelly Silva , Emre Onur Kahya , Enzo Brocato , Eva-Maria Mueller , Felipe Andrade-Oliveira , Feven Markos Hunde , F. R. Joaquim , Florian Pacaud , Francis-Yan Cyr-Racine , Pozo Nuñez , F. Gábor Rácz , Gene Carlo Belinario , Geraint F. Lewis , Gergely Dálya , Giorgio Laverda , Guido Risaliti , Guillermo Franco-Abellán , Hayden Zammit , Hayley Camilleri , Helene M. Courtois , Hooman Moradpour , Igor de Oliveira Cardoso Pedreira , Ilí dio Lopes , István Csabai , James W. Rohlf , J. Bogdanoska , Javier de Cruz Pérez , Joan Bachs-Esteban , Joseph Sultana , Julien Lesgourgues , Jun-Qian Jiang , Karem Peñaló Castillo , Kimet Jusufi , Lavinia Heisenberg , Laxmipriya Pati , Léon V. E. Koopmans , Lokesh kumar Duchaniya , Lucas Lombriser , Mahdieh Gol Bashmani Moghadam , María Pérez Garrote , Mariano Domínguez , Marine Samsonyan , Mark Pace , Martin Krššák , Masroor C. Pookkillath , Matteo Peronaci , Matteo Piani , Matthildi Raftogianni , Meet J. Vyas , Melina Michalopoulou , Merab Gogberashvili , Michael Klasen , Michele Cicoli , Michele Moresco , Miguel Quartin , Miguel Zumalacárregui , Milan S. Dimitrijević , Milos Dordevic , Mindaugas Karčiauskas , Morgan Le Delliou , Nastassia Grimm , Nicolás Augusto Kozameh , Nicoleta Voicu , Nicolina Pop , Nikos Chatzifotis , Oliver Fabio Piattella , Paula Boubel , Pedro da Silveira Ferreira , Péter Raffai , Peter Schupp , Pierros Ntelis , Pradyumn Kumar Sahoo , Roberto V. Maluf , Ruth Durrer , S. A. Kadam , Sabino Matarrese , Samuel Brieden , Santiago González-Gaitán , Santosh V. Lohakare , Scott Watson , Shao-Jiang Wang , Simão Marques Nunes , Soumya Chakrabarti , Suvodip Mukherjee , Tajron Jurić , Tessa Baker , Theodoros Nakas , Tiago Barreiro , Upala Mukhopadhyay , Veljko Vujčić , Violetta Sagun , Vladimir A. Srećković , Wangzheng Zhang , Yo Toda , Yun-Song Piao , Zahra Davari

In astronomy, there is an opportunity to enhance the practice of validating models through statistical techniques, specifically to account for measurement error uncertainties. While models are commonly used to describe observations, there…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-09 Fiorenzo Stoppa , Eric Cator , Gijs Nelemans

Measuring inconsistency is viewed as an important issue related to handling inconsistencies. Good measures are supposed to satisfy a set of rational properties. However, defining sound properties is sometimes problematic. In this paper, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-06-03 Said Jabbour , Yue Ma , Badran Raddaoui , Lakhdar Sais , Yakoub Salhi

Bayesian model selection is a tool to decide whether the introduction of a new parameter is warranted by data. I argue that the usual sampling statistic significance tests for a null hypothesis can be misleading, since they do not take into…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Roberto Trotta