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Probabilistic forecasting relies on past observations to provide a probability distribution for a future outcome, which is often evaluated against the realization using a scoring rule. Here, we perform probabilistic forecasting with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-06 Lorenzo Pacchiardi , Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Ritabrata Dutta

Estimation of Distribution Algorithms (EDAs) require flexible probability models that can be efficiently learned and sampled. Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) are generative neural networks which can be trained to implicitly model the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-08-09 Malte Probst

To address the intermittency of renewable energy source (RES) generation, scenario forecasting offers a series of stochastic realizations for predictive objects with superior flexibility and direct views. Based on a long time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yifei Wu , Bo Wang , Jingshi Cui , Pei-chun Lin , Junzo Watada

Forecasting stock prices remains challenging due to the volatile and non-linear nature of financial markets. Despite the promise of deep learning, issues such as mode collapse, unstable training, and difficulty in capturing temporal and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Bahadur Yadav , Sanjay Kumar Mohanty

The signal-noise ratio of a portfolio of p assets, its expected return divided by its risk, is couched as an estimation problem on the sphere. When the portfolio is built using noisy data, the expected value of the signal-noise ratio is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Steven E. Pav

This paper presents a methodology and workflow that overcome the limitations of the conventional Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) for geological facies modeling. It attempts to improve the training stability and guarantee the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-25 Lingchen Zhu , Tuanfeng Zhang

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are one of the greatest advances in AI in recent years. With their ability to directly learn the probability distribution of data, and then sample synthetic realistic data. Many applications have…

Investment approaches in financial instruments have been varied and often produce unpredictable results. Many investors in the earlier days of investment banking suffered catastrophical losses due to poor strategy and lack of understanding…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2011-10-04 Murphy Choy

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) have emerged as a powerful tool for generating high-fidelity data. However, the main bottleneck of existing approaches is the lack of supervision on the generator training, which often results in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Baoren Xiao , Hao Ni , Weixin Yang

We present a deep learning model for data-driven simulations of random dynamical systems without a distributional assumption. The deep learning model consists of a recurrent neural network, which aims to learn the time marching structure,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Kyongmin Yeo , Zan Li , Wesley M. Gifford

The measure of portfolio risk is an important input of the Markowitz framework. In this study, we explored various methods to obtain a robust covariance estimators that are less susceptible to financial data noise. We evaluated the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-04 Qiqin Zhou

Face aging is to render a given face to predict its future appearance, which plays an important role in the information forensics and security field as the appearance of the face typically varies with age. Although impressive results have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Zhizhong Huang , Shouzhen Chen , Junping Zhang , Hongming Shan

Solving portfolio management problems using deep reinforcement learning has been getting much attention in finance for a few years. We have proposed a new method using experts signals and historical price data to feed into our reinforcement…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-02 MohammadAmin Fazli , Mahdi Lashkari , Hamed Taherkhani , Jafar Habibi

Modern portfolio theory(MPT) addresses the problem of determining the optimum allocation of investment resources among a set of candidate assets. In the original mean-variance approach of Markowitz, volatility is taken as a proxy for risk,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Morrel H. Cohen , Vincent D. Natoli

Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) (Goodfellow et al., 2014) are an effective method for training generative models of complex data such as natural images. However, they are notoriously hard to train and can suffer from the problem of…

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Understanding human motion behavior is critical for autonomous moving platforms (like self-driving cars and social robots) if they are to navigate human-centric environments. This is challenging because human motion is inherently…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-30 Agrim Gupta , Justin Johnson , Li Fei-Fei , Silvio Savarese , Alexandre Alahi

The utility of tabular data for tasks ranging from model training to large-scale data analysis is often constrained by privacy concerns or regulatory hurdles. While existing data generation methods, particularly those based on Generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Tu Anh Hoang Nguyen , Dang Nguyen , Tri-Nhan Vo , Thuc Duy Le , Sunil Gupta

Financial datasets often suffer from bias that can lead to unfair decision-making in automated systems. In this work, we propose FairFinGAN, a WGAN-based framework designed to generate synthetic financial data while mitigating bias with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Tai Le Quy , Dung Nguyen Tuan , Trung Nguyen Thanh , Duy Tran Cong , Huyen Giang Thi Thu , Frank Hopfgartner

Recent advances in Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have resulted in its widespread applications to multiple domains. A recent model, IRGAN, applies this framework to Information Retrieval (IR) and has gained significant attention…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Ameet Deshpande , Mitesh M. Khapra