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Modeling lies at the core of both the financial and the insurance industry for a wide variety of tasks. The rise and development of machine learning and deep learning models have created many opportunities to improve our modeling toolbox.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Yves-Cédric Bauwelinckx , Jan Dhaene , Tim Verdonck , Milan van den Heuvel

We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

Portfolio optimization is a critical task in investment. Most existing portfolio optimization methods require information on the distribution of returns of the assets that make up the portfolio. However, such distribution information is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-09 Masahiro Kato , Kentaro Baba , Hibiki Kaibuchi , Ryo Inokuchi

This paper investigates the application of Quantum Generative Adversarial Networks (QGANs) for stock price prediction. Financial markets are inherently complex, marked by high volatility and intricate patterns that traditional models often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Sangram Deshpande , Gopal Ramesh Dahale , Sai Nandan Morapakula , Uday Wad

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

In today's complex and volatile financial market environment, risk management of multi-asset portfolios faces significant challenges. Traditional risk assessment methods, due to their limited ability to capture complex correlations between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Fu Lei , Ge Shi

We propose a novel portfolio selection approach that manages to ease some of the problems that characterise standard expected utility maximisation. The optimal portfolio is no longer defined as the extremum of a suitably chosen utility…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-09-29 P. Rossi , M. Tavoni , F. Cocco , R. Marschinski

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

We present a general computational framework for solving continuous-time financial market equilibria under minimal modeling assumptions while incorporating realistic financial frictions, such as trading costs, and supporting multiple…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-08 Anastasis Kratsios , Xiaofei Shi , Qiang Sun , Zhanhao Zhang

The paper solves the problem of optimal portfolio choice when the parameters of the asset returns distribution, like the mean vector and the covariance matrix are unknown and have to be estimated by using historical data of the asset…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 David Bauder , Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

Accurately predicting the prices of financial time series is essential and challenging for the financial sector. Owing to recent advancements in deep learning techniques, deep learning models are gradually replacing traditional statistical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

As a new way of training generative models, Generative Adversarial Nets (GAN) that uses a discriminative model to guide the training of the generative model has enjoyed considerable success in generating real-valued data. However, it has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-28 Lantao Yu , Weinan Zhang , Jun Wang , Yong Yu

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) implicitly learn the probability distribution of a dataset and can draw samples from the distribution. This paper presents, Tabular GAN (TGAN), a generative adversarial network which can generate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Lei Xu , Kalyan Veeramachaneni

As the cornerstone of modern portfolio theory, Markowitz's mean-variance optimization is considered a major model adopted in portfolio management. However, due to the difficulty of estimating its parameters, it cannot be applied to all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Mengying Zhu , Xiaolin Zheng , Yan Wang , Yuyuan Li , Qianqiao Liang

We study a continuous-time Markowitz mean-variance portfolio selection model in which a naive agent, unaware of the underlying time-inconsistency, continuously reoptimizes over time. We define the resulting naive policies through the limit…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-16 Lin Chen , Xun Yu Zhou

The field of portfolio selection is an active research topic, which combines elements and methodologies from various fields, such as optimization, decision analysis, risk management, data science, forecasting, etc. The modeling and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-28 A. Georgantas

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) are proficient at generating synthetic data but continue to suffer from mode collapse, where the generator produces a narrow range of outputs that fool the discriminator but fail to capture the full…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Mahsa Valizadeh , Rui Tuo , James Caverlee

Multi-objective optimization is key to solving many Engineering Design problems, where design parameters are optimized for several performance indicators. However, optimization results are highly dependent on how the designs are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Wei Chen , Faez Ahmed

This paper studies a continuous-time market where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a targeted terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return. The optimal portfolio of such a problem is called…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Xun Li , Xun Yu Zhou

Recommender systems can be helpful for individuals to make well-informed decisions in complex financial markets. While many studies have focused on predicting stock prices, even advanced models fall short of accurately forecasting them.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-03 Youngbin Lee , Yejin Kim , Javier Sanz-Cruzado , Richard McCreadie , Yongjae Lee
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