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A simultaneous change-point detection and estimation in a piece-wise constant model is a common task in modern statistics. If, in addition, the whole estimation can be performed automatically, in just one single step without going through…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Gabriela Ciuperca , Matúš Maciak

We propose a general adaptive LASSO method for a quantile regression model. Our method is very interesting when we know nothing about the first two moments of the model error. We first prove that the obtained estimators satisfy the oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-05 Gabriela Ciuperca

We propose an innovative data-driven option pricing methodology that relies exclusively on the dataset of historical underlying asset prices. While the dataset is rooted in the objective world, option prices are commonly expressed as…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-23 Min Dai , Hanqing Jin , Xi Yang

The paper considers a linear regression model with multiple change-points occurring at unknown times. The LASSO technique is very interesting since it allows the parametric estimation, including the change-points, and automatic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-19 Gabriela Ciuperca

We study the nonparametric change point estimation for common changes in the means of panel data. The consistency of estimates is investigated when the number of panels tends to infinity but the sample size remains finite. Our focus is on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-21 Leonid Torgovitski

The paper uses structured machine learning regressions for nowcasting with panel data consisting of series sampled at different frequencies. Motivated by the problem of predicting corporate earnings for a large cross-section of firms with…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-07 Andrii Babii , Ryan T. Ball , Eric Ghysels , Jonas Striaukas

This paper proposes a method for estimating multiple change points in panel data models with unobserved individual effects via ordinary least-squares (OLS). Typically, in this setting, the OLS slope estimators are inconsistent due to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-08-10 Otilia Boldea , Bettina Drepper , Zhuojiong Gan

Detecting recent changepoints in time-series can be important for short-term prediction, as we can then base predictions just on the data since the changepoint. In many applications we have panel data, consisting of many related univariate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-20 Lawrence Bardwell , Idris Eckley , Paul Fearnhead , Simon Smith , Martin Spott

We consider estimation and inference in panel data models with additive unobserved individual specific heterogeneity in a high dimensional setting. The setting allows the number of time varying regressors to be larger than the sample size.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Damian Kozbur

A novel approach to quantile estimation in multivariate linear regression models with change-points is proposed: the change-point detection and the model estimation are both performed automatically, by adopting either the quantile fused…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-10 Gabriela Ciuperca , Matus Maciak

We establish the convergence rates and asymptotic distributions of the common break change-point estimators, obtained by least squares and maximum likelihood in panel data models and compare their asymptotic variances. Our model assumptions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-22 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

Panel data allows for the modeling of unobserved heterogeneity, significantly raising the number of nuisance parameters and making high dimensionality a practical issue. Meanwhile, temporal and cross-sectional dependence in panel data…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-23 Kaicheng Chen

We study the problem of detecting a common change point in large panel data based on a mean shift model, wherein the errors exhibit both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. A least squares based procedure is used to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

In this paper we introduce a new approach to model-free path-dependent option pricing. We first introduce a general duality result for linear optimisation problems over signed measures introduced in [3] and show how the the problem of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-16 Raphael Hauser , Sergey Shahverdyan

The paper considers a linear regression model in high-dimension for which the predictive variables can change the influence on the response variable at unknown times (called change-points). Moreover, the particular case of the heavy-tailed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-03 Gabriela Ciuperca

The Lasso has become a benchmark data analysis procedure, and numerous variants have been proposed in the literature. Although the Lasso formulations are stated so that overall prediction error is optimized, no full control over the…

We propose a generalization of the linear panel quantile regression model to accommodate both \textit{sparse} and \textit{dense} parts: sparse means while the number of covariates available is large, potentially only a much smaller number…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-24 Alexandre Belloni , Mingli Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Zixuan , Wang

Panel data, also known as longitudinal data, consist of a collection of time series. Each time series, which could itself be multivariate, comprises a sequence of measurements taken on a distinct unit. Mechanistic modeling involves writing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-27 Carles Bretó , Edward L. Ionides , Aaron A. King

Change-point problems have appeared in a great many applications for example cancer genetics, econometrics and climate change. Modern multiscale type segmentation methods are considered to be a statistically efficient approach for multiple…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-04 Chengcheng Huang , Housen Li , Lizhi Cheng , Wei Peng

The LASSO is an attractive regularisation method for linear regression that combines variable selection with an efficient computation procedure. This paper is concerned with enhancing the performance of LASSO for square-free hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-10 Shaoxiong Hu , Hugo Maruri-Aguliar , Zixiang Ma
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