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We propose three different data-driven approaches for pricing European-style call options using supervised machine-learning algorithms. These approaches yield models that give a range of fair prices instead of a single price point. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-08 Anindya Goswami , Sharan Rajani , Atharva Tanksale

Large-scale sequential data is often exposed to some degree of inhomogeneity in the form of sudden changes in the parameters of the data-generating process. We consider the problem of detecting such structural changes in a high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-15 Florencia Leonardi , Peter Bühlmann

This paper introduces a quantile regression estimator for panel data models with individual heterogeneity and attrition. The method is motivated by the fact that attrition bias is often encountered in Big Data applications. For example,…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-08-13 Matthew Harding , Carlos Lamarche

Quantile regression is a very important tool to explore the relationship between the response variable and its covariates. Motivated by mean regression with LASSO for compositional covariates proposed by Lin et al. (2014), we consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Xuejun Ma , Ping Zhang

Recorded option pricing datasets are not always freely available. Additionally, these datasets often contain numerous prices which are either higher or lower than can reasonably be expected. Various reasons for these unexpected observations…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Jaco Visagie

A change point problem occurs in many statistical applications. If there exist change points in a model, it is harmful to make a statistical analysis without any consideration of the existence of the change points and the results derived…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-24 Xiaoping Shi , Yuehua Wu , Baisuo Jin

This paper is concerned with high-dimensional panel data models where the number of regressors can be much larger than the sample size. Under the assumption that the true parameter vector is sparse we propose a panel-Lasso estimator and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-14 Anders Bredahl Kock

Financial derivative pricing is a significant challenge in finance, involving the valuation of instruments like options based on underlying assets. While some cases have simple solutions, many require complex classical computational methods…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-15 Robert Scriba , Yuying Li , Jingbo B Wang

Many machine learning (ML) models are integrated within the context of a larger system as part of a key component for decision making processes. Concretely, predictive models are often employed in estimating the parameters for the input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Bing Zhang , Yuya Jeremy Ong , Taiga Nakamura

This paper considers a linear panel model with interactive fixed effects and unobserved individual and time heterogeneities that are captured by some latent group structures and an unknown structural break, respectively. To enhance realism…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-01 Yiren Wang , Peter C B Phillips , Liangjun Su

Change-point detection and estimation procedures have been widely developed in the literature. However, commonly used approaches in change-point analysis have mainly been focusing on detecting change-points within an entire time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Chak Fung Choi , Chunxue Li , Chun Yip Yau , Zifeng Zhao

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

Based on criteria of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is constructed, the volatility process being driven by fractional noise. Price return statistics and asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Rui Vilela Mendes , M. J. Oliveira

This paper explores different methods to estimate prices paid per efficiency unit of labor in panel data. We study the sensitivity of skill price estimates to different assumptions regarding workers' choice problem, identification…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-25 Michael J. Böhm , Hans-Martin von Gaudecker

This paper discusses the connection between mathematical finance and statistical modelling which turns out to be more than a formal mathematical correspondence. We like to figure out how common results and notions in statistics and their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-23 Arnold Janssen , Martin Tietje

The Arellano-Bond estimator is a fundamental method for dynamic panel data models, widely used in practice. It can be severely biased when the time series dimension of the data, $T$, is long. The source of the bias is the large degree of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-20 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Chen Huang , Weining Wang

Employing probabilistic techniques we compute best possible upper and lower bounds on the price of an option on one or two assets with continuous piecewise linear payoff function based on prices of simple call options of possibly distinct…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Dimitris Bertsimas , Natasha Bushueva

This paper studies the problem of efficient estimation of panel data models in the presence of an increasing number of incidental parameters. We formulate the dynamic panel as a simultaneous equations system, and derive the efficiency bound…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-13 Jushan Bai

In this paper, we consider the problem of (multiple) change-point detection in panel data. We propose the double CUSUM statistic which utilises the cross-sectional change-point structure by examining the cumulative sums of ordered CUSUMs at…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

The problem of European-style option pricing in time-changed L\'{e}vy models in the presence of compound Poisson jumps is considered. These jumps relate to sudden large drops in stock prices induced by political or economical hits. As the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-10 Roman V. Ivanov , Katsunori Ano