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In this paper we estimate the propagation of liquidity shocks through interbank markets when the information about the underlying credit network is incomplete. We show that techniques such as Maximum Entropy currently used to reconstruct…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Elia Zarinelli , Matteo Marsili

We study contagion and systemic risk in sparse financial networks with balance-sheet interactions on a directed random graph. Each institution has homogeneous liabilities and equity, and exposures along outgoing edges are split equally…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-08 Riley James Bendel

We live in a modern world supported by large, complex networks. Examples range from financial markets to communication and transportation systems. In many realistic situations the flow of physical quantities in the network, as characterized…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Adilson E. Motter , Ying-Cheng Lai

Financial and economic history is strewn with bubbles and crashes, booms and busts, crises and upheavals of all sorts. Understanding the origin of these events is arguably one of the most important problems in economic theory. In this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In this article we propose a novel measure of systemic risk in the context of financial networks. To this aim, we provide a definition of systemic risk which is based on the structure, developed at different levels, of clustered neighbours…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-30 Roy Cerqueti , Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi

Interdependent networks are ubiquitous in our society, ranging from infrastructure to economics, and the study of their cascading behaviors using percolation theory has attracted much attention in the recent years. To analyze the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-06 Ling Feng , Christopher Pineda Monterola , Yanqing Hu

We develop a structural default model for interconnected financial institutions in a probabilistic framework. For all possible network structures we characterize the joint default distribution of the system using Bayesian network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-02 Carsten Chong , Claudia Klüppelberg

We study the formation of an optimal interbank network in a model where banks control both their supply of liquidity, through cash reserves, and their exposures to other banks' risky projects. The value of each bank's project may suddenly…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 Daniel E. Rigobon , Ronnie Sircar

We provide an overview of the relationship between financial networks and systemic risk. We present a taxonomy of different types of systemic risk, differentiating between direct externalities between financial organizations (e.g.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-24 Matthew O. Jackson , Agathe Pernoud

Economic and financial networks play a crucial role in various important processes, including economic integration, globalization, and financial crises. Of particular interest is understanding whether the temporal evolution of a real…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-08 Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli

Internet finance is a new financial model that applies Internet technology to payment, capital borrowing and lending and transaction processing. In order to study the internal risks, this paper uses the Internet financial risk elements as…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-08 Runjie Xu , Chuanmin Mi , Rafal Mierzwiak , Runyu Meng

In this research, we introduce a robust metric to identify Systemically Important Financial Institution (SIFI) in a financial network by taking into account both common idiosyncratic shocks and contagion through counterparty exposures. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-23 Amirhossein Sadoghi

Large scale networks delineating collective dynamics often exhibit cascading failures across nodes leading to a system-wide collapse. Prominent examples of such phenomena would include collapse on financial and economic networks.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-07 Sudarshan Kumar , Tiziana Di Matteo , Anindya S. Chakrabarti

We introduce a novel framework for computing optimal randomized security policies in networked domains which extends previous approaches in several ways. First, we extend previous linear programming techniques for Stackelberg security games…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Joshua Letchford , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Flash crashes in financial markets have become increasingly important attracting attention from financial regulators, market makers as well as from the media and the broader audience. Systemic risk and propagation of shocks in financial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-23 Jeremy Turiel , Tomaso Aste

A modern version of Monetary Circuit Theory with a particular emphasis on stochastic underpinning mechanisms is developed. It is explained how money is created by the banking system as a whole and by individual banks. The role of central…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-27 Alexander Lipton

Large but rare cascades triggered by small initial shocks are present in most of the infrastructure networks. Here we present a simple model for cascading failures based on the dynamical redistribution of the flow on the network. We show…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Paolo Crucitti , Vito Latora , Massimo Marchiori

Threshold cascade models have been used to describe spread of behavior in social networks and cascades of default in financial networks. In some cases, these networks may have multiple kinds of interactions, such as distinct types of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-05 Kyu-Min Lee , Charles D. Brummitt , K. -I. Goh

Financial spillovers in interconnected systems, such as global banking networks, require tools that capture temporal and frequency dynamics, while incorporating the underlying network topology. While current network time series models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Marina I. Knight

Many systems, ranging from engineering to medical to societal, can only be properly characterized by multiple interdependent networks whose normal functioning depends on one another. Failure of a fraction of nodes in one network may lead to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 Sergey V. Buldyrev , Roni Parshani , Gerald Paul , H. Eugene Stanley , Shlomo Havlin
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