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Meta-analysis can be formulated as combining $p$-values across studies into a joint $p$-value function, from which point estimates and confidence intervals can be derived. We extend the meta-analytic estimation framework based on combined…
An energy-biased method to evaluate ensemble averages requiring test-particle insertion is presented. The method is based on biasing the sampling within the subdomains of the test-particle configurational space with energies smaller than a…
In traditional thermodynamical and statistical-mechanical approaches one has (some) detailed knowledge of the principles governing the microdynamics of a system. However in many instances we may not have a Hamiltonian or good information…
Designing an appropriate set of collective variables is crucial to the success of several enhanced sampling methods. Here we focus on how to obtain such variables from information limited to the metastable states. We characterize these…
Statistical models with constrained probability distributions are abundant in machine learning. Some examples include regression models with norm constraints (e.g., Lasso), probit, many copula models, and latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA).…
The softmax function is a cornerstone of multi-class classification, integral to a wide range of machine learning applications, from large-scale retrieval and ranking models to advanced large language models. However, its computational cost…
Sampling from an unnormalized probability distribution is a fundamental problem in machine learning with applications including Bayesian modeling, latent factor inference, and energy-based model training. After decades of research,…
Many biological processes occur on time scales longer than those accessible to molecular dynamics simulations. Identifying collective variables (CVs) and introducing an external potential to accelerate them is a popular approach to address…
Collective variable-based enhanced sampling methods are routinely used on systems with metastable states, where high free energy barriers impede proper sampling of the free energy landscapes when using conventional molecular dynamics…
We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…
Thermodynamics could be seen as an expression of physics at a high epistemic level. As such, its potential as an inductive bias to help machine learning procedures attain accurate and credible predictions has been recently realized in many…
Normal molecular dynamics simulations are usually unable to simulate chemical reactions due to the low probability of forming the transition state. Therefore, enhanced sampling methods are implemented to accelerate the occurrence of…
In this paper, the problem of reconstruction of signals in mixed Lebesgue spaces from their random average samples has been studied. Probabilistic sampling inequalities for certain subsets of shift-invariant spaces have been derived. It is…
We propose a regularization framework inspired by thermodynamic work for guiding pre-trained probability flow generative models (e.g., continuous normalizing flows or diffusion models) by minimizing excess work, a concept rooted in…
Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations are useful in obtaining thermodynamic and kinetic properties of bio-molecules but are limited by the timescale barrier, i.e., we may be unable to efficiently obtain properties because we need to run…
Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…
Molecular systems often remain trapped for long times around some local minimum of the potential energy function, before switching to another one -- a behavior known as metastability. Simulating transition paths linking one metastable state…
Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…
A composite likelihood is a non-genuine likelihood function that allows to make inference on limited aspects of a model, such as marginal or conditional distributions. Composite likelihoods are not proper likelihoods and need therefore…
Exploring the free-energy landscape along reaction coordinates or system parameters $\lambda$ is central to many studies of high-dimensional model systems in physics, e.g. large molecules or spin glasses. In simulations this usually…