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The aim of this paper is to establish the uniform convergence of the densities of a sequence of random variables, which are functionals of an underlying Gaussian process, to a normal density. Precise estimates for the uniform distance are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-30 Yaozhong Hu , Fei Lu , David Nualart

We propose automated augmented conjugate inference, a new inference method for non-conjugate Gaussian processes (GP) models. Our method automatically constructs an auxiliary variable augmentation that renders the GP model conditionally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Théo Galy-Fajou , Florian Wenzel , Manfred Opper

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

In this article, we obtain a super-exponential rate of convergence in total variation between the traces of the first $m$ powers of an $n\times n$ random unitary matrices and a $2m$-dimensional Gaussian random variable. This generalizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Kurt Johansson , Gaultier Lambert

We propose a correlated stochastic process of which the novel non-Gaussian probability mass function is constructed by exactly solving moment generating function. The calculation of cumulants and auto-correlation shows that the process is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-14 Jongwook Kim , Junghyo Jo

We prove that the tail probabilities of sums of independent uniform random variables, up to a multiplicative constant, are dominated by the Gaussian tail with matching variance and find the sharp constant for such stochastic domination.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Xinjie He , Tomasz Tkocz , Katarzyna Wyczesany

Decentralized optimization is well studied for smooth unconstrained problems. However, constrained problems or problems with composite terms are an open direction for research. We study structured (or composite) optimization problems, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-10 Alexander Rogozin , Anton Novitskii , Alexander Gasnikov

L\'{e}vy processes with completely monotone jumps appear frequently in various applications of probability. For example, all popular stock price models based on L\'{e}vy processes (such as the Variance Gamma, CGMY/KoBoL and Normal Inverse…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Daniel Hackmann , Alexey Kuznetsov

A new type of nonstationary Gaussian process model is developed for approximating computationally expensive functions. The new model is a composite of two Gaussian processes, where the first one captures the smooth global trend and the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Shan Ba , V. Roshan Joseph

Under K.-T. Sturm's formulation, we obtain a Gaussian upper bound for tail probability of mean value of independent, identically distributed random variables with values in $\mathbb{R}$-trees and Hadamard manifolds.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-04 Kei Funano

Sparse variational Gaussian processes (GPs) construct tractable posterior approximations to GP models. At the core of these methods is the assumption that the true posterior distribution over training function values ${\bf f}$ and inducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Michalis K. Titsias

The frozen Gaussian approximation provides a highly efficient computational method for high frequency wave propagation. The derivation of the method is based on asymptotic analysis. In this paper, for general linear strictly hyperbolic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-12-23 Jianfeng Lu , Xu Yang

Let $Z_1,\ldots,Z_n$ be i.i.d. isotropic random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^p$, and $T \subset \mathbb{R}^p$ be a compact set. A classical line of empirical process theory characterizes the size of the suprema of the quadratic process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Qiyang Han

In this paper, we derive tail approximations of integrals of exponential functions of Gaussian random fields with varying mean functions and approximations of the associated point processes. This study is motivated naturally by multiple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Jingchen Liu , Gongjun Xu

We investigate approximation of a Bernoulli partial sum process to the accompanying Poisson process in the non-i.i.d. case. The rate of closeness is studied in terms of the minimal distance in probability.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Pavel S. Ruzankin , Igor S. Borisov

We consider the rate of piecewise constant approximation to a locally stationary process $X(t),t\in [0,1]$, having a variable smoothness index $\alpha(t)$. Assuming that $\alpha(\cdot)$ attains its unique minimum at zero and satisfies the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Enkelejd Hashorva , Mikhail Lifshits , Oleg Seleznjev

In this paper we develop non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation results for the sampling distribution of suprema of empirical processes when the indexing function class $\mathcal{F}_n$ varies with the sample size $n$ and may not be Donsker.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing

The aim of the present work is to show that the results obtained earlier on the approximation of distributions of sums of independent summands by the accompanying compound Poisson laws and the estimates of the proximity of sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

In this paper, we consider the estimation of a change-point for possibly high-dimensional data in a Gaussian model, using a k-means method. We prove that, up to a logarithmic term, this change-point estimator has a minimax rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Aurélie Fischer , Dominique Picard

We propose a conjugate and calibrated Gaussian process (GP) model for multi-class classification by exploiting the geometry of the probability simplex. Our approach uses Aitchison geometry to map simplex-valued class probabilities to an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Bernardo Williams , Harsha Vardhan Tetali , Arto Klami , Marcelo Hartmann