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Predicting the time series of future evolutions of renewable injections and demands is of utmost importance for the operation of power systems. However, the current state of the art is mostly focused on mean-value time series predictions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-01 Marco Jeschke , Timm Faulwasser , Roland Fried

This study investigates the application of Transfer Learning (TL) on Transformer architectures to enhance building energy consumption forecasting. Transformers are a relatively new deep learning architecture, which has served as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Robert Spencer , Surangika Ranathunga , Mikael Boulic , Andries van Heerden , Teo Susnjak

The integration of renewable energy sources (RES) into power grids presents significant challenges due to their intrinsic stochasticity and uncertainty, necessitating the development of new techniques for reliable and efficient forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-13 Hanyu Zhang , Reza Zandehshahvar , Mathieu Tanneau , Pascal Van Hentenryck

This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Herman Bayem , Yannick Phulpin , Philippe Dessante , Julien Bect

With the advancement of sensing and communication in power networks, high-frequency real-time data from a power network can be used as a resource to develop better monitoring capabilities. In this work, a systematic approach based on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-12 Subhrajit Sinha , Sai Pushpak Nandanoori , Enoch Yeung

Short Term Load forecasting in this paper uses input data dependent on parameters such as load for current hour and previous two hours, temperature for current hour and previous two hours, wind for current hour and previous two hours, cloud…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2009-12-08 Mrs. J. P. Rothe , Dr. A. K. Wadhwani , Dr. Mrs. S. Wadhwani

Residential Load Profile (RLP) generation and prediction are critical for the operation and planning of distribution networks, especially as diverse low-carbon technologies (e.g., photovoltaic and electric vehicles) are increasingly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Weijie Xia , Chenguang Wang , Peter Palensky , Pedro P. Vergara

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

We propose a forecasting technique based on multi-feature data fusion to enhance the accuracy of an electric vehicle (EV) charging station load forecasting deep-learning model. The proposed method uses multi-feature inputs based on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-01 Prince Aduama , Zhibo Zhang , Ameena S. Al Sumaiti

We consider the problem of reconstructing the dynamic state matrix of transmission power grids from time-stamped PMU measurements in the regime of ambient fluctuations. Using a maximum likelihood based approach, we construct a family of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-31 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Vuffray , Dmitry Shemetov , Deepjyoti Deka , Michael Chertkov

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs) into modern power systems presents significant opportunities but also notable challenges, primarily due to the inherent variability of RES generation. Accurate forecasting of RES…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Farshid Kamrani , Kristen Schell

In South Korea, power grid is currently operated based on the static line rating (SLR) method, where the transmission line capacity is determined based on extreme weather conditions. However, with global warming, there is a concern that the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-19 Junseon Park , Junhyun Lee , Hyeongon Park

Data-driven methods for battery lifetime prediction are attracting increasing attention for applications in which the degradation mechanisms are poorly understood and suitable training sets are available. However, while advanced machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Peter M. Attia , Kristen A. Severson , Jeremy D. Witmer

Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources is essential for grid stability and price prediction. Regional power supply forecasts are usually indirect through a bottom-up approach of plant-level forecasts, incorporate…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-24 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

Accurately predicting the dynamic responses of building structures under seismic loads is essential for ensuring structural safety and minimizing potential damage. This critical aspect of structural analysis allows engineers to evaluate how…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Shiqiao Meng , Ying Zhou , Qinghua Zheng , Bingxu Liao , Mushi Chang , Tianshu Zhang , Abderrahim Djerrad

Electricity load forecasting enables the grid operators to optimally implement the smart grid's most essential features such as demand response and energy efficiency. Electricity demand profiles can vary drastically from one region to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Abdul Wahab , Muhammad Anas Tahir , Naveed Iqbal , Faisal Shafait , Syed Muhammad Raza Kazmi

In this paper, we propose a robust data-driven process model whose hyperparameters are robustly estimated using the Schweppe-type generalized maximum likelihood estimator. The proposed model is trained on recorded time-series data of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Pooja Algikar , Yijun Xu , Somayeh Yarahmadi , Lamine Mili

Recent data-driven approaches have shown great potential in early prediction of battery cycle life by utilizing features from the discharge voltage curve. However, these studies caution that data-driven approaches must be combined with…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-16 Valentin Sulzer , Peyman Mohtat , Suhak Lee , Jason B. Siegel , Anna G. Stefanopoulou

We present a data-driven approach to efficiently approximate nonlinear transient dynamics in solid-state systems. Our proposed machine-learning model combines a dimensionality reduction stage with a nonlinear vector autoregression scheme.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Stefan Meinecke , Felix Köster , Dominik Christiansen , Kathy Lüdge , Andreas Knorr , Malte Selig

Short-term uncertainty should be properly modeled when the expansion planning problem in a power system is analyzed. Since the use of all available historical data may lead to intractability, clustering algorithms should be applied in order…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Álvaro García-Cerezo , Luis Baringo