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An effective way to oppose global warming and mitigate climate change is to electrify our energy sectors and supply their electric power from renewable wind and solar. Spatio-temporal predictions of electric load become increasingly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Arsam Aryandoust , Anthony Patt , Stefan Pfenninger

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

As net-load becomes less predictable there is a lot of pressure in changing decision models for power markets such that they account explicitly for future scenarios in making commitment decisions. This paper proposes to make commitment…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-21 Bita Analui , Anna Scaglione

Accurate forecasting of electric load and renewable generation is essential for reliable and cost effective power system operations. Recent advances in transformer based and foundation machine learning models, driven by large scale…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Muhy Eddin Za'ter , Bri-Mathias Hodge

Distribution power systems (DPSs) are mostly unbalanced, and their loads may have notable static voltage characteristics (ZIP loads). Hence, despite abundant papers on linear single-phase power flow models, it is still necessary to study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-19 Yitong Liu , Zhengshuo Li , Yu Zhou

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

The increasing deployment of distribution-level phasor measurement units (PMUs) calls for dynamic distribution state estimation (DDSE) approaches that tap into high-rate measurements to maintain a comprehensive view of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Jianhan Song , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Andrea Simonetto , Hao Zhu

Urban wastewater sector is being pushed to optimize processes in order to reduce energy consumption without compromising its quality standards. Energy costs can represent a significant share of the global operational costs (between 50% and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Jorge Filipe , Ricardo J. Bessa , Marisa Reis , Rita Alves , Pedro Póvoa

Short-term forecasting models typically assume the availability of input data (features) when they are deployed and in use. However, equipment failures, disruptions, cyberattacks, may lead to missing features when such models are used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-30 Akylas Stratigakos , Panagiotis Andrianesis

In power system operation, characterizing the stochastic nature of wind power is an important albeit challenging issue. It is well known that distributions of wind power forecast errors often exhibit significant variability with respect to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-05 Zhiwen Wang , Chen Shen , Feng Liu

Accurate household electrical energy demand prediction is essential for effectively managing sustainable Energy Communities. Integrated with the Energy Management System, these communities aim to optimise operational costs. However, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Ehtisham Asghar , Martin Hill , Ibrahim Sengor , Conor Lynch , Phan Quang An

In the smart grid of the future, accurate load forecasts on the level of individual clients can help to balance supply and demand locally and to prevent grid outages. While the number of monitored clients will increase with the ongoing…

The increasing penetration of inverter-based resources (IBRs) is fundamentally reshaping power system dynamics and creating new challenges for stability assessment. Data-driven approaches, and in particular machine learning models, require…

We consider a sequential decision making process, such as renewable energy trading or electrical production scheduling, whose outcome depends on the future realization of a random factor, such as a meteorological variable. We assume that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-01 Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

Power systems solvers are vital tools in planning, operating, and optimizing electrical distribution networks. The current generation of solvers employ computationally expensive iterative methods to compute sequential solutions. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-07 Siobhan Powell , Alyona Ivanova , David Chassin

Sustainability reporting for web-based services often relies on simplified end-user energy models that assume constant laptop power during browser interactions. Energy models such as Digst and DIMPACT apply fixed power values (15-22W), yet…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Maja H. Kirkeby , Timmie Lagermann

This paper investigates the integration of machine learning forecasts of intervention durations into a stochastic variant of the Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows (CVRPTW). In particular, we exploit tree-based gradient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Matteo Garbelli

With the expansion of renewables in the electricity mix, power grid variability will increase, hence a need to robustify the system to guarantee its security. Therefore, Transport System Operators (TSOs) must conduct analyses to simulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Nathan Weill , Jonathan Dumas

A significant part of CO2 emissions is due to high electricity consumption in residential buildings. Using load shifting can help to improve the households' energy efficiency. To nudge changes in energy consumption behavior, simple but…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Valentyna Riabchuk , Leon Hagel , Felix Germaine , Alona Zharova

The rising demand of computing power leads to the installation of a large number of Data Centers (DCs). Their Fault-Ride-Through (FRT) behavior and their unique power characteristics, especially for DCs catered to Artificial Intelligence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-23 Alberto Jimenez-Ruiz , Federico Milano