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We consider the problem of frequency estimation of the periodic signal multiplied by a stationary Gaussian process (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) and observed in the presence of the white Gaussian noise. We show the consistency and asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 O. V. Chernoyarov , Yu. A. Kutoyants

We refer by threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck to a continuous-time threshold autoregressive process. It follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck dynamics when above or below a fixed level, yet at this level (threshold) its coefficients can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

We tackle the extension to the vector-valued case of consistency results for Stepwise Uncertainty Reduction sequential experimental design strategies established in [Bect et al., A supermartingale approach to Gaussian process based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-12 Philip Stange , David Ginsbourger

We consider a discrete-time approximation of paths of an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process as a mean for estimation of a price of European call option in the model of financial market with stochastic volatility. The Euler--Maruyama approximation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-07 Sergii Kuchuk-Iatsenko , Yuliya Mishura

We apply a Gaussian state formalism to track fluctuating perturbations that act on the position and momentum quadrature variables of a harmonic oscillator. Following a seminal proposal by Tsang and Caves [Phys. Rev. Lett. 105, 123601…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-12-12 Jesper Hasseriis Mohr Jensen , Klaus Mølmer

Guyon and Lekeufack recently proposed a path-dependent volatility model and documented its excellent performance in fitting market data and capturing stylized facts. The instantaneous volatility is modeled as a linear combination of two…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-03 Marcel Nutz , Andrés Riveros Valdevenito

We consider statistical inference for a class of continuous semimartingale regression models based on high-frequency observations subject to contamination by finite-activity jumps and spike noise. By employing density-power weighting and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

This paper establishes the small-time asymptotic behaviors of the regular heat content and spectral heat content for general Gaussian processes in both one-dimensional and multi-dimensional settings, where the boundary of the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Kei Kobayashi , Hyunchul Park

Quadratic variations of Gaussian processes play important role in both stochastic analysis and in applications such as estimation of model parameters, and for this reason the topic has been extensively studied in the literature. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-06 Lauri Viitasaari

The paper considers the problem of estimating a $p\geq2$\ dimensional mean vector of a multivariate conditionally normal distribution under quadratic loss. The problem of this type arises when estimating the parameters in a continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-27 Evgeny Pchelintsev

The fractional Ornstein-Uhleneck (fOU) process is described by the overdamped Langevin equation $\dot{x}(t)+\gamma x=\sqrt{2 D}\xi(t)$, where $\xi(t)$ is the fractional Gaussian noise with the Hurst exponent $0<H<1$. For $H\neq 1/2$ the fOU…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-03 Alexander Valov , Baruch Meerson

The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model is a stochastic volatility model where the volatility process is a polynomial function of degree five of a single Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with fast mean reversion and large vol-of-vol. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-10 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Camille Illand , Shaun , Li

In this paper we estimate both the Hurst and the stable indices of a H-self-similar stable process. More precisely, let $X$ be a $H$-sssi (self-similar stationary increments) symmetric $\alpha$-stable process. The process $X$ is observed at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-19 Thi To Nhu Dang , Jacques Istas

We extend the theoretical results for any FOU(p) processes for the case in which the Hurst parameter is less than 1/2 and we show theoretically and by simulations that under some conditions on T and the sample size n it is possible to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Juan Kalemkerian

We consider a real Gaussian process $X$ having a global unknown smoothness $(r_{\scriptscriptstyle 0},\beta_{\scriptscriptstyle 0})$, $r_{\scriptscriptstyle 0}\in \mathds{N}_0$ and $\beta_{\scriptscriptstyle 0} \in]0,1[$, with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-10 Delphine Blanke , Céline Vial

A finite quantum system evolving unitarily equilibrates in a probabilistic fashion. In the general many-body setting the time-fluctuations of an observable \mathcal{A} are typically exponentially small in the system size. We consider here…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-01-22 Lorenzo Campos Venuti , Paolo Zanardi

We study the accuracy of the expected Euler characteristic approximation to the distribution of the maximum of a smooth, centered, unit variance Gaussian process f. Using a point process representation of the error, valid for arbitrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jonathan Taylor , Akimichi Takemura , Robert J. Adler

The paper deals with asymptotic properties of the adaptive procedure proposed in the author paper, 2007, for estimating an unknown nonparametric regression. %\cite{GaPe1}. We prove that this procedure is asymptotically efficient for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-09 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

In this paper, we are concerned with nonparametric inference on the volatility of volatility process in stochastic volatility models. We construct several estimators for its integrated version in a high-frequency setting, all based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Mathias Vetter

We apply the approximate dynamics derived from the Gaussian time-dependent variational principle to the Hamiltonian $ \hat H= {1/2}(\hat p_x ^2+ \hat p_y ^2)+ {1/2}\hat x^2\hat y^2$, which is strongly chaotic in the classical limit. We are…

chao-dyn · Physics 2016-08-31 Arjendu Pattanayak , William Schieve