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In this article we look at stochastic processes with uncertain parameters, and consider different ways in which information is obtained when carrying out observations. For example we focus on the case of a the random evolution of a traded…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-08 Will Hicks

We consider the problem of option pricing under stochastic volatility models, focusing on the linear approximation of the two processes known as exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and Stein-Stein. Indeed, we show they admit the same limit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-23 Giacomo Bormetti , Valentina Cazzola , Danilo Delpini

Let $X = \{X_{u}\}_{u \in U}$ be a real-valued Gaussian process indexed by a set $U$. It can be thought of as an undirected graphical model with every random variable $X_{u}$ serving as a vertex. We characterize this graph in terms of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-13 Kartik G. Waghmare , Victor M. Panaretos

We study the asymptotic normality of two feasible estimators of the integrated volatility of volatility based on the Fourier methodology, which does not require the pre-estimation of the spot volatility. We show that the bias-corrected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Giacomo Toscano , Giulia Livieri , Maria Elvira Mancino , Stefano Marmi

We develop a framework for composite likelihood estimation of parametric continuous-time stationary Gaussian processes. We derive the asymptotic theory of the associated maximum composite likelihood estimator. We implement our approach on a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Mikkel Bennedsen , Kim Christensen , Peter Christensen

The characterization of intermittency in turbulence has its roots in the K62 theory, and if no proper definition is to be found in the literature, statistical properties of intermittency were studied and models were developed in attempt to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-14 Roxane Letournel , Ludovic Goudenège , Rémi Zamansky , Aymeric Vié , Marc Massot

We propose a new method for the estimation of a semiparametric tempered stable L\'{e}vy model. The estimation procedure combines iteratively an approximate semiparametric method of moment estimator, Truncated Realized Quadratic Variations…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-25 José E. Figueroa-López , Ruoting Gong , Yuchen Han

We study risk-sharing equilibria with general convex costs on the agents' trading rates. For an infinite-horizon model with linear state dynamics and exogenous volatilities, we prove that the equilibrium returns mean-revert around their…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-16 Lukas Gonon , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Xiaofei Shi

We study the stationary fluctuations of independent run-and-tumble particles. We prove that the joint densities of particles with given internal state converges to an infinite dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We also consider an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Frank Redig , Hidde van Wiechen

We present a stochastic volatility market model where volatility is correlated with return and is represented by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. With this model we exactly measure the leverage effect and other stylized facts, such as mean…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

We consider the Graph Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (GrOU) process observed on a non-uniform discrete time grid and introduce discretised maximum likelihood estimators with parameters specific to the whole graph or specific to each component, or node.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-12 Valentin Courgeau , Almut E. D. Veraart

This paper introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial data such as volatility clustering, intra-day U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Donggyu Kim , Minseok Shin

Time-varying volatility is an inherent feature of most economic time-series, which causes standard correlation estimators to be inconsistent. The quadrant correlation estimator is consistent but very inefficient. We propose a novel…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-01 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Yiyao Luo

A stochastic process with self-interaction as a model of quantum field theory is studied. We consider an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic process x(t) with interaction of the form x^{(\alpha)}(t)^4, where $\alpha$ indicates the fractional…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-08-23 Yaroslav Volovich

The asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes has been subject to intensive investigation. However, this asymptotic analysis is very scarce for non-Gaussian processes. In this paper, we study a class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 François Bachoc , José Bétancourt , Reinhard Furrer , Thierry Klein

The asymptotic behavior of a nonlinear oscillator subject to a multiplicative Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise is investigated. When the dynamics is expressed in terms of energy-angle coordinates, it is observed that the angle is a fast variable as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-12-19 Kirone Mallick , Philippe Marcq

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

In this article, for some $d-$dimensional Gaussian processes \[X=\big\{X_t=(X^1_t,\cdots,X^d_t):t\ge0\big\},\] whose components are i.i.d. $1-$dimensional self-similar Gaussian process with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$, we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Minhao Hong

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

We develop the generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation for the parameters of the finitely mixed multi-mixed fractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck (mmfOU) processes, and analyze the consistency and asymptotic normality of this estimator. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-11 Hamidreza Maleki Almani , Tommi Sottinen
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