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Suppose that a cascade (e.g., an epidemic) spreads on an unknown graph, and only the infection times of vertices are observed. What can be learned about the graph from the infection times caused by multiple distinct cascades? Most of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

A new strategy is introduced for estimating population size and networked population characteristics. Sample selection is based on a multi-wave snowball sampling design. A generalized stochastic block model is posited for the population's…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-30 Kyle Vincent , Steve Thompson

Compartmental models of epidemics are widely used to forecast the effects of communicable diseases such as COVID-19 and to guide policy. Although it has long been known that such processes take place on social networks, the assumption of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-14 Samuel Johnson

We introduce a probabilistic framework that represents stylized banking networks with the aim of predicting the size of contagion events. Most previous work on random financial networks assumes independent connections between banks, whereas…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-12 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson , Sergey Melnik

In a network, a local disturbance can propagate and eventually cause a substantial part of the system to fail, in cascade events that are easy to conceptualize but extraordinarily difficult to predict. Here, we develop a statistical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-07 Yang Yang , Takashi Nishikawa , Adilson E. Motter

The uniqueness of online social networks makes it possible to implement new methods that increase the quality and effectiveness of research processes. While surveys are one of the most important tools for research, the representativeness of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Jarosław Jankowski , Radosław Michalski , Piotr Bródka , Przemysław Kazienko , Sonja Utz

In this study, we propose an algorithm for computing the network size of communicating agents. The algorithm is distributed: a) it does not require a leader selection; b) it only requires local exchange of information, and; c) its design…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-13 Federica Garin , Ye Yuan

'Causal' direction is of great importance when dealing with complex systems. Often big volumes of data in the form of time series are available and it is important to develop methods that can inform about possible causal connections between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-24 Fatimah Abdul Razak , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

In this work we study the set size distribution estimation problem, where elements are randomly sampled from a collection of non-overlapping sets and we seek to recover the original set size distribution from the samples. This problem has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-04 Fabricio Murai , Bruno Ribeiro , Don Towsley , Pinghui Wang

Complex social systems are composed of interconnected individuals whose interactions result in group behaviors. Optimal control of a real-world complex system has many applications, including road traffic management, epidemic prevention,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-08 Wen Dong , Bo Liu , Fan Yang

Robustness and cascading failures in interdependent systems has been an active research field in the past decade. However, most existing works use percolation-based models where only the largest component of each network remains functional…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-21 Yingrui Zhang , Alex Arenas , Osman Yağan

Understanding cascading processes on complex network topologies is paramount for modelling how diseases, information, fake news and other media spread. In this paper, we extend the multi-type branching process method developed in Keating et…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-02 Leah A. Keating , James P. Gleeson , David J. P. O'Sullivan

The dynamical processes taking place on a network depend on its topology. Influencing the growth process of a network therefore has important implications on such dynamical processes. We formulate the problem of influencing the growth of a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Dominik Thalmeier , Vicenç Gómez , Hilbert J. Kappen

The problem of targeted network immunization can be defined as the one of finding a subset of nodes in a network to immunize or vaccinate in order to minimize a tradeoff between the cost of vaccination and the final (stationary) expected…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-10 F. Altarelli , A. Braunstein , L. Dall'Asta , J. R. Wakeling , R. Zecchina

We study the averaging-based distributed optimization solvers over random networks. We show a general result on the convergence of such schemes using weight-matrices that are row-stochastic almost surely and column-stochastic in expectation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Adel Aghajan , Behrouz Touri

Understanding the spread of false or dangerous beliefs through a population has never seemed so urgent. Network science researchers have often taken a page from epidemiologists, and modeled the spread of false beliefs as similar to how a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Nicholas Rabb , Lenore Cowen , Jan P. de Ruiter , Matthias Scheutz

Dynamic trees are mixtures of tree structured belief networks. They solve some of the problems of fixed tree networks at the cost of making exact inference intractable. For this reason approximate methods such as sampling or mean field…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Amos J. Storkey

We provide a framework for determining the centralities of agents in a broad family of random networks. Current understanding of network centrality is largely restricted to deterministic settings, but practitioners frequently use random…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Krishna Dasaratha

Mathematical modeling of disease spreading plays a crucial role in understanding, controlling and preventing epidemic outbreaks. In a microscopic description of the propagation of a disease over the complex network of human contacts, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-08 Federico Malizia , Luca Gallo , Mattia Frasca , Vito Latora , Giovanni Russo

Understanding the process by which a contagion disseminates throughout a network is of great importance in many real world applications. The required sophistication of the inference approach depends on the type of information we want to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-26 Shohreh Shaghaghian , Mark Coates