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Precise asymptotics for moderate deviation probabilities are established for open convex sets in both the finite- and infinite-dimensional settings. Our results are based on the existence of dominating points for these sets, a related…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Uwe Einmahl , James Kuelbs

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the deviation inequalities and the moderate deviation principle of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of general $p$th-order bifurcating autoregressive processes, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Hacène Djellout , Valère Bitseki Penda

In this paper we derive a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for inhomogeneous U/V-statistics of a general order. Using this, we derive a LDP for two types of statistics: random multilinear forms, and number of monochromatic copies of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Sohom Bhattacharya , Nabarun Deb , Sumit Mukherjee

We apply Lindeberg's method, invented to prove a central limit theorem, to analyze the moderate deviations around such a central limit theorem. In particular, we will show moderate deviation principles for martingales as well as for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Peter Eichelsbacher , Matthias Löwe

We establish a moderate deviation principle for the maximum likelihood estimator of the four parameters of a geometrically ergodic Heston process. We also obtain moderate deviations for the maximum likelihood estimator of the couple of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-26 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray

We prove sample path moderate deviation principles (MDP) for the current and the tagged particle in the symmetric simple exclusion process, which extends the results in \cite{xue2023moderate}, where the MDP was only proved at any fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-04 Xiaofeng Xue , Linjie Zhao

A parametric theory of statistical inference is developed for the moderate deviation probability zone. The new approach to the proofs is based on the Taylor series expansion of the logarithm of the likelihood ratio based on the Hellinger…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Mikhail Ermakov

We establish large deviation principles (LDPs) for empirical measures associated with a sequence of Gibbs distributions on $n$-particle configurations, each of which is defined in terms of an inverse temperature $% \beta_n$ and an energy…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Paul Dupuis , Vaios Laschos , Kavita Ramanan

In this paper we study the moderate deviations principle (MDP) for slow-fast stochastic dynamical systems where the slow motion is governed by small fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/2,1)$. We derive conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-10 Solesne Bourguin , Thanh Dang , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The aim of the paper is to establish a large deviation principle (LDP) for the empirical measure of mean-field interacting diffusions in a random environment. The point is to derive such a result once the environment has been frozen…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Eric Luçon

We consider a stable but nearly unstable autoregressive process of any order. The bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with spectral radius $\rho(A_{n}) < 1$ satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Frédéric Proïa

We establish the moderate deviation principle for the solutions of a class of stochastic partial differential equations with non-Lipschitz continuous coefficients. As an application, we derive the moderate deviation principle for two…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-04 Parisa Fatheddin , Jie Xiong

We consider a collection of fully coupled weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale environment. We study the moderate deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The main aim of this paper is to study the moderate deviation principle for McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations with multiple scales. Specifically, we are interested in the asymptotic estimates of the deviation processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Wei Hong , Ge Li , Shihu Li

We study a one-dimensional elliptic problem with highly oscillatory random diffusion coefficient. We derive a homogenized solution and a so-called Gaussian corrector. We also prove a "pointwise" large deviation principle (LDP) for the full…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-12-07 Guillaume Bal , Roger Ghanem , Ian Langmore

We show that for local alternatives to uniformity which are determined by a sequence of square integrable densities the moderate deviation (MD) theorem for the corresponding Neyman-Pearson statistic does not hold in the full range for all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-27 Tadeusz Inglot

Using martingale methods, we obtain some upper bounds for large and moderate deviations of products of independent and identically distributed elements of GL d (R). We investigate all the possible moment conditions, from super-exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Christophe Cuny , Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

We consider the moderate deviations behaviors for two (co-) volatility estima-tors: generalised bipower variation, Hayashi-Yoshida estimator. The results are obtained by using a new result about the moderate deviations principle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Hacène Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Hui Jiang , Yacouba Samoura

Consider the state space model (X_t,Y_t), where (X_t) is a Markov chain, and (Y_t) are the observations. In order to solve the so-called filtering problem, one has to compute L(X_t|Y_1,...,Y_t), the law of X_t given the observations…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. Douc , A. Guillin , J. Najim

In the present paper, we consider the Pearson chi-square statistic defined on a finite alphabet which is assumed to dynamically vary as the sample size increases, and establish its moderate deviation principle.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Zhenhong Yu , Yu Miao