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The random field Curie-Weiss model is derived from the classical Curie-Weiss model by replacing the deterministic global magnetic field by random local magnetic fields. This opens up a new and interestingly rich phase structure. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Matthias Löwe , Raphael Meiners

The purpose of the present paper is to establish moderate deviation principles for a rather general class of random variables fulfilling certain bounds of the cumulants. We apply a celebrated lemma of the theory of large deviations…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-28 Hanna Doering , Peter Eichelsbacher

We consider the small deviation probabilities (SDP) for sums of stationary Gaussian sequences. For the cases of constant boundaries and boundaries tending to zero, we obtain quite general results. For the case of the boundaries tending to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Frank Aurzada , Mikhail Lifshits

We establish the large deviations principle (LDP) and the moderate deviations principle (MDP) and an almost sure version of the central limit theorem (CLT) for the stochastic 3D viscous primitive equations driven by a multiplicative white…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Jakub Slavík

In this paper, we consider moderate deviations for Good's coverage estimator. The moderate deviation principle and the self-normalized moderate deviation principle for Good's coverage estimator are established. The results are also applied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Fuqing Gao

Consider the stochastic differential equation in $\rr^d$ dX^{\e}_t&=b(X^{\e}_t)dt+\sqrt{\e}\sigma(X^\e_t)dB_t X^{\e}_0&=x_0,\quad x_0\in\rr^d$ where $b:\rr^d\to\rr^d$ is $C^1$ such that $<x,b(x)> \leq C(1+|x|^2)$, $\sigma:\rr^d\to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Yutao ma , Ran Wang , Liming Wu

Moderate deviation principle is achieved by the weak convergence approach for a stochastic Schr\"odinger type equation with linear drift term and noise driven by a $Q$-Wiener process. The central limit theorem is also shown for the equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-27 Parisa Fatheddin , Hannelore Lisei

A moderate deviation principle for functionals, with at most quadratic growth, of moving average processes is established. The main assumptions on the moving average process are a Logarithmic Sobolev inequality for the driving random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hacene Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Liming Wu

The term \emph{moderate deviations} is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fill the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-15 Rita Giuliano , Claudio Macci

A moderate deviations principle for the law of a stochastic Burgers equation is proved via the weak convergence approach. In addition, some useful estimates toward a central limit theorem are established.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-17 Rachid Belfadli , Lahcen Boulanba , Mohamed Mellouk

Functionals of spatial point process often satisfy a weak spatial dependence condition known as stabilization. In this paper we prove process level moderate deviation principles (MDP) for such functionals, which are a level-3 result for…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Eichelsbacher , Tomasz Schreiber

Conditional density estimation is complicated by multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a principled nonparametric framework with calibrated uncertainty, but standard GP regression is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Vardaan Tekriwal , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Marcus M. Noack

For ${1/2}<\alpha<1$, we propose the MDP analysis for family $$ S^\alpha_n=\frac{1}{n^\alpha}\sum_{i=1}^nH(X_{i-1}), n\ge 1, $$ where $(X_n)_{n\ge 0}$ be a homogeneous ergodic Markov chain, $X_n\in \mathbb{R}^d$, when the spectrum of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 B. Delyon , A. Juditsky , R. Liptser

In this paper, we establish a central limit theorem (CLT) and the moderate deviation principles (MDP) for a class of semilinear stochastic partial differential equations driven by multiplicative noise on a bounded domain. The main results…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Rangrang Zhang , Jie Xiong

This paper investigates the optimization problem of an infinite stage discrete time Markov decision process (MDP) with a long-run average metric considering both mean and variance of rewards together. Such performance metric is important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Li Xia

In this paper, we investigate a stochastic approximation procedure $\left(X_n\right)_{n\ge 0}$ taking values in $R$. The process is adapted to a filtration $(F_n)_{n\ge 0}$ and satisfies the recursion…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Jianan Shi , Qing Yin , Yu Miao

For ${1/2}<\alpha<1$, we propose the MDP analysis for family $$ S^\alpha_n=\frac{1}{n^\alpha}\sum_{i=1}^nH(X_{i-1}), n\ge 1, $$ where $(X_n)_{n\ge 0}$ be a homogeneous ergodic Markov chain, $X_n\in \mathbb{R}^d$, when the spectrum of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 B. Delyon , A. Juditsky , R. Liptser

Ewens-Pitman model has been successfully applied to various fields including Bayesian statistics. There are four important estimators $K_{n},M_{l,n}$,$K_{m}^{(n)},M_{l,m}^{(n)}$. In particular, $M_{1,n}, M_{1,m}^{(n)}$ are related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Youzhou Zhou

The term "moderate deviations" is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fill the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and a weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

We provide non-asymptotic, relative deviation bounds for the eigenvalues of empirical covariance and Gram matrices in general settings. Unlike typical uniform bounds, which may fail to capture the behavior of smaller eigenvalues, our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Daniel Barzilai , Ohad Shamir