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We propose a simple method that combines neural networks and Gaussian processes. The proposed method can estimate the uncertainty of outputs and flexibly adjust target functions where training data exist, which are advantages of Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Tomoharu Iwata , Zoubin Ghahramani

We study the stationary fluctuations of independent run-and-tumble particles. We prove that the joint densities of particles with given internal state converges to an infinite dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We also consider an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Frank Redig , Hidde van Wiechen

In this work we investigate the long time behavior of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by Levy noise with regime-switching. We provide explicit criteria on the transience and recurrence of this process. Contrasted with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-21 Zhong-Wei Liao , Jinghai Shao

Path integrals play a crucial role in describing the dynamics of physical systems subject to classical or quantum noise. In fact, when correctly normalized, they express the probability of transition between two states of the system. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-02 Giulio Corazza , Matteo Fadel

Finding the dynamical law of observable quantities lies at the core of physics. Within the particular field of statistical mechanics, the generalized Langevin equation (GLE) comprises a general model for the evolution of observables…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-22 Antonio Russo , Miguel A. Duran-Olivencia , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Serafim Kalliadasis

The aim of this paper is to establish the uniform convergence of the densities of a sequence of random variables, which are functionals of an underlying Gaussian process, to a normal density. Precise estimates for the uniform distance are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-30 Yaozhong Hu , Fei Lu , David Nualart

We construct a least squares estimator for the drift parameters of a fractional Ornstein Uhlenbeck process with periodic mean function and long range dependence. For this estimator we prove consistency and asymptotic normality. In contrast…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Herold Dehling , Brice Franke , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

Parameter inference in ordinary differential equations is an important problem in many applied sciences and in engineering, especially in a data-scarce setting. In this work, we introduce a novel generative modeling approach based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Philippe Wenk , Gabriele Abbati , Michael A Osborne , Bernhard Schölkopf , Andreas Krause , Stefan Bauer

In this work we consider the unbiased estimation of expectations w.r.t.~probability measures that have non-negative Lebesgue density, and which are known point-wise up-to a normalizing constant. We focus upon developing an unbiased method…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-17 Hamza Ruzayqat , Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra

The problem of estimating the parameters of a linear regression model $Z(s,t)=m_1g_1(s,t)+ \cdots + m_pg_p(s,t)+U(s,t)$ based on observations of $Z$ on a spatial domain $G$ of special shape is considered, where the driving process $U$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-02 Sándor Baran , Kinga Sikolya

An Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process can be considered as a continuous time interpolation of the discrete time AR$(1)$ process. Departing from this fact, we analyse in this work the effect of iterating OU treated as a linear operator that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Argimiro Arratia , Alejandra Cabaña , Enrique M. Cabaña

Langevin models are frequently used to model various stochastic processes in different fields of natural and social sciences. They are adapted to measured data by estimation techniques such as maximum likelihood estimation, Markov chain…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-08-04 Clemens Willers , Oliver Kamps

In this paper, we study the problem of signal estimation from noisy non-linear measurements when the unknown $n$-dimensional signal is in the range of an $L$-Lipschitz continuous generative model with bounded $k$-dimensional inputs. We make…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-09 Zhaoqiang Liu , Jonathan Scarlett

For a wide class of stochastic athermal systems, we derive Langevin-like equations driven by non-Gaussian noise, starting from master equations and developing a new asymptotic expansion. We found an explicit condition whereby the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-10 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Tomohiko G. Sano , Takahiro Sagawa , Hisao Hayakawa

The multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is used in many branches of science and engineering to describe the regression of a system to its stationary mean. Here we present an $O(N)$ Bayesian method to estimate the drift and diffusion…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-01 Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , R. Adhikari

The Gaussian mixed-effects model driven by a stationary integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process has been used for analyzing longitudinal data having an explicit and simple serial-correlation structure in each individual. However, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Takumi Imamura , Hiroki Masuda , Hayato Tajima

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\theta$ of physical significance which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

We study an infinite-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $(X_t)$ in a given Hilbert space $H$. This is driven by a cylindrical symmetric L\'evy process without a Gaussian component and taking values in a Hilbert space $U$ which usually…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-08-05 Enrico Priola , Jerzy Zabczyk

We solve a time-dependent linear SPDE with additive Levy noise in the mild and weak sense. Existence of a generalized invariant measure for the associated transition semigroup is established and the generator is characterized on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-20 F. Knäble

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer